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Prospectus - Notowania

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- 60 -<br />

RISK FACTORS<br />

A number of LBO loans with significant balances outstanding, could, as a result of the<br />

decreased operating ability of the borrowers to repay the debt used to finance the<br />

acquisitions, lead to a deterioration in the overall performance of the UniCredit<br />

Group’s loan portfolio. A continuation of the economic recession could make the<br />

deterioration of the borrowers’ ability to repay the debt worse, by means of an<br />

increase in the rates of insolvency of the various counterparts. The UniCredit Group<br />

has been involved and may continue to be involved in transactions for restructuring<br />

the debt of the borrowers. Some of the future restructuring transactions could have the<br />

purpose of getting the Group to accept a credit position different from the previous<br />

one, until in the last instance reaching the full or partial conversion of the credit<br />

position on the capital of the borrower of the funds.<br />

The UniCredit Group is also exposed to risks deriving from investments in companies<br />

attributable to the private equity and hedge fund sectors.<br />

These investments are attributable to three categories: direct equity investments of the<br />

Group which due to their entity are considered core clients, investment portfolios in<br />

private equity funds considered with a risk profile adapted to the so-called “risk<br />

appetite” of the Group and long-term investments in hedge funds. As at September 30,<br />

2009, the total amount of the commitments came to €2,672 million, of which €1,837<br />

million (equal to approximately 69%) effectively deployed. These investments are<br />

distributed over a high and diversified number of counterparts.<br />

The Group’s direct equity investments in core customers and investments in private<br />

equity funds are valued at original cost and are subject to periodic impairment tests.<br />

During the first nine months of 2009, following the afore-mentioned tests, the Group<br />

registered writedowns for €314 million, of which €110 million on direct investments<br />

and €204 million attributable to private equity. Investments in hedge funds are by<br />

contrast valued at fair value (mark-to-market): during the first 9 months of 2009, there<br />

was a positive impact on the income statement for €20 million. The reduction in the<br />

total exposure observed in the same period (from approximately €540 million to<br />

around €380 million) was entirely attributable to divestments.<br />

Any deterioration in the current macro-economic context and the market conditions<br />

could have a negative impact on the value of these investments, exposing the<br />

UniCredit Group to the risk of recording additional writedowns or generating transfer<br />

values under the current book values.<br />

4.1.10 Risks connected to the exposure to the trend of the real estate sector<br />

The UniCredit Group is exposed to the real estate property segment also by means of<br />

financing activities to companies, operating in this sector, whose cash flows are<br />

essentially generated by the lease or sale of properties (commercial real estate). Over<br />

the past year, the real estate market disclosed a drop in market prices and transactions<br />

carried out; consequently, those active in the sector have experienced a drop in the<br />

volumes of transactions, an increase in the commitments deriving from financial<br />

charges and greater difficulty with regard to refinancing.

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