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Prospectus - Notowania

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- 52 -<br />

RISK FACTORS<br />

demand for financial services, which meant a slowdown in Group activities for<br />

UniCredit, along with an increase in finance costs, a decrease in share prices and the<br />

value of the assets, as well as additional costs deriving from writedowns and<br />

depreciations, with a decrease in profitability (see First Section, Chapters 9 and 20).<br />

Despite a number of recent macro-economic forecasts having been reviewed<br />

positively, there are no certainties with regard to the economic pick-up and in the<br />

event that a further deterioration in the global economic situation or in the countries in<br />

which it operates should come about in the future or the economic pick-up is modest,<br />

the UniCredit Group could suffer further negative consequences with regard to its<br />

operating results and its balance sheet, income statement and financial situation.<br />

Furthermore, the UniCredit Group, despite limited exposure to the risks deriving from<br />

recent instability and from the injections of public capital into financial institutions, is<br />

in any event exposed to the risk of losses if financial institutions or other lending<br />

counterparts become insolvent or in any event are not in a position to meet their<br />

obligations. The performance of the UniCredit Group could also be influenced by the<br />

impossibility of recouping the value of its assets in percentage terms consistent with<br />

its historic recovery estimates, which could in fact emerge as inaccurate in the<br />

changed market context.<br />

A number of specific risk factors are illustrated below, associated in particular with<br />

the fluctuation in interest rates, exchange rates and financial market trends,<br />

particularly affected by the current global financial scenario and on which, what is<br />

more, the UniCredit Group’s results depend.<br />

(a) Risks associated with the fluctuation in interest rates<br />

The performances of the UniCredit Group are influenced by the trend and by the<br />

fluctuation in interest rates in Europe and on other markets in which the<br />

UniCredit Group carries out its activities. In detail, the results of banking and<br />

finance transactions depend on the handling of the exposure to the interest rates<br />

of said UniCredit Group, in other words the relationship existing between the<br />

changes in the interest rates of the reference markets and those of the net interest<br />

income. Any misalignment between interest income accrued by the Group and<br />

interest expense payable by the same (in the absence of suitable instruments for<br />

protecting against this misalignment), could have significant effects on the<br />

financial position and the Group’s operating results.<br />

For further information, reference should be made to the matters described in the<br />

First Section, Chapter 9, of the <strong>Prospectus</strong>.<br />

(b) Risks associated with exchange rates<br />

A significant part of the UniCredit Group’s activities are carried out in<br />

currencies other than the Euro and mainly in currencies used in CEE countries<br />

and in US dollars (USD). This exposes the UniCredit Group to risks associated<br />

with changes in exchange rates and the monetary market.

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