Prospectus - Notowania

Prospectus - Notowania Prospectus - Notowania

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With regard to the use of the AMA (Advanced Measurement Approach) model for the calculation of capital to cover operational risks, this method, which is determined centrally by the Parent Company, will be extended to the Group’s main entities over time on the basis of a specific implementation plan. In the third quarter of 2009 relevant enhancements to the Credit Portfolio Model, used for estimating Economic Capital on credit risk, have been introduced. A revision of the global correlation framework was implemented and combined with a more granular description of Central and Eastern European countries' dependencies on macroeconomic variables. The correlation between retail and corporate exposures was reviewed producing, on a global basis, a more robust design of the dependencies in light of the recent financial turmoil. Further enhancements of the framework, e.g. introducing a methodology for risk appetite regarding Country Risks, are either ongoing or will be planned in the course of 2010. During the reporting period, the Group continued the reorganization of the Market Risk department. The harmonization and integration of VaR calculation models and systems allowed the Group to implement the pilot version of the Group’s new unified internal model in Q1. Similarly, the Parent Company’s Market Risk function has intensified its monitoring and control of portfolios' risk profiles by introducing individual risk limits 3 for additional risk factors and by revising and updating the limits introduced in 2008. During the same period, the Group also introduced statistical models to study retail customers’ behavior in connection with assets and liabilities with unspecified maturities (sight deposits) or with a prepayment option (residential mortgages). The risk associated with changes in interest rates is therefore complemented by an assessment of the likely statistical error of forecast models. In order to ensure that product and portfolio valuations are as conservative as possible, specific guidelines were issued concerning the evaluation of derivatives and the identification of model reserves. These guidelines focus in particular on structured credit derivatives; however the relevant calculations have been extended to cover all types of financial products, and thus all asset classes. As far as liquidity risk is concerned, this year the Group Liquidity Policy was updated with a view to adopting an even more prudent liquidity management policy, both in the short and the long term, and also for currencies other than the Euro. The experience of the recent turmoil was used in the regular update of the Group’s Liquidity Policy, strengthening the resilience of the Group to future liquidity shocks. Also in light of the period it took for the market to regain market liquidity, the liquidity exposure of the Group has been reduced, reflecting the diminishing risk appetite. Due to improvement in the markets, this risk reduction was achieved relatively easily. The Group’s transfer price policy was updated in order to provide a more efficient allocation of liquidity within the Group and ensure adequate liquidity pricing based on market conditions. The following sets forth some specific risk factors connected, in particular, with funding liquidity, interest rate fluctuations, exchange rates, and the performance of the financial markets that are particularly affected by the present global financial scenario and upon which the results of the Group depend. Constant monitoring and management of such risk factors allow to continue to resort to the principle of business continuity in preparing the Consolidated Interim Report. 3 Limits applied on risk factors (e.g. interest rates, FX rates, index or stock prices etc. ) CONSOLIDATED INTERIM REPORT AS AT SEPTEMBER 30, 2009 40

Risks connected with raising funds on the markets 41 >> Interim Report on Operations Group Results During the period the conditions of funding markets continued to normalize both for medium- and short-term funding requirements. Fund rising capability and its related costs are monitored on a continuous basis throughout the Group. Since the Bank relies on these type of funding sources, a change in market sentiment may make the funding more difficult and more expensive. Risks connected with the lending business Lending represents the most important activity performed by the Group and consequently the most significant risk component, as it consists in the potential future losses that the Group may suffer if customers do not fulfill their obligations to pay back the amounts lent. As a consequence, the Group may incur losses which may have a negative impact on the capital, income and financial situation. Additionally, an unfavorable economic situation in industries/geographical areas where the Group operates may negatively impact the redemption capacity of a number of counterparts at the same time and consequently significantly impact the Group’s credit risk exposure. Risks connected with interest rate fluctuations Results are affected by interest rate trends and fluctuations in Europe and in the other markets where the Group operates. In particular, the results of banking and lending operations depend on managing sensitivity to interest rate exposure. In the absence of suitable hedging instruments, any misalignment between interest income and interest expense could have significant effects on financial standing and operating profits. Risks connected with exchange rate fluctuations A significant portion of UniCredit Group business is done in currencies other than the euro, predominantly in the legal tender of CEE States and in United States dollars. The Group is therefore exposed to risks connected with fluctuations in exchange rates and with the monetary market. Since the financial statements and interim reporting are prepared in Euro, the necessary currency conversions are made in accordance with the applicable accounting standards. Any negative change in exchange rates could thus have effects on the Group's performance. Risks connected with the performance of the financial markets Group results depend significantly on the performance of the financial markets. In particular, volatility and the unfavorable performance of financial markets affect: (i) the flows from the placement of savings under management and administration products with the resulting impact on the levels of placement commissions earned; (ii) management commissions, by virtue of the lower value of the assets (direct effect) and due to redemptions caused by unsatisfactory performance (indirect effect); (iii) operations by the Markets unit, with particular reference to placement and brokerage of financial instruments; and (iv) the results of the banking portfolio and of the trading portfolio. For risk and uncertainty due to use of estimated figures see Part A1) of the Explanatory Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements (page 103).

Risks connected with raising funds on the markets<br />

41<br />

>> Interim Report on Operations<br />

Group Results<br />

During the period the conditions of funding markets continued to normalize both for medium- and short-term funding requirements.<br />

Fund rising capability and its related costs are monitored on a continuous basis throughout the Group. Since the Bank relies on<br />

these type of funding sources, a change in market sentiment may make the funding more difficult and more expensive.<br />

Risks connected with the lending business<br />

Lending represents the most important activity performed by the Group and consequently the most significant risk component, as it<br />

consists in the potential future losses that the Group may suffer if customers do not fulfill their obligations to pay back the amounts<br />

lent. As a consequence, the Group may incur losses which may have a negative impact on the capital, income and financial<br />

situation. Additionally, an unfavorable economic situation in industries/geographical areas where the Group operates may<br />

negatively impact the redemption capacity of a number of counterparts at the same time and consequently significantly impact the<br />

Group’s credit risk exposure.<br />

Risks connected with interest rate fluctuations<br />

Results are affected by interest rate trends and fluctuations in Europe and in the other markets where the Group operates. In<br />

particular, the results of banking and lending operations depend on managing sensitivity to interest rate exposure. In the absence of<br />

suitable hedging instruments, any misalignment between interest income and interest expense could have significant effects on<br />

financial standing and operating profits.<br />

Risks connected with exchange rate fluctuations<br />

A significant portion of UniCredit Group business is done in currencies other than the euro, predominantly in the legal tender of CEE<br />

States and in United States dollars. The Group is therefore exposed to risks connected with fluctuations in exchange rates and with<br />

the monetary market. Since the financial statements and interim reporting are prepared in Euro, the necessary currency conversions<br />

are made in accordance with the applicable accounting standards. Any negative change in exchange rates could thus have effects<br />

on the Group's performance.<br />

Risks connected with the performance of the financial markets<br />

Group results depend significantly on the performance of the financial markets. In particular, volatility and the unfavorable<br />

performance of financial markets affect: (i) the flows from the placement of savings under management and administration products<br />

with the resulting impact on the levels of placement commissions earned; (ii) management commissions, by virtue of the lower value<br />

of the assets (direct effect) and due to redemptions caused by unsatisfactory performance (indirect effect); (iii) operations by the<br />

Markets unit, with particular reference to placement and brokerage of financial instruments; and (iv) the results of the banking<br />

portfolio and of the trading portfolio.<br />

For risk and uncertainty due to use of estimated figures see Part A1) of the Explanatory Notes to the Condensed Consolidated<br />

Financial Statements (page 103).

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