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Prospectus - Notowania

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27<br />

>> Interim Reports on Operations<br />

Group Results<br />

More specifically, current account deposits rose by 24.7% on an annual basis in Germany, by 15.4% y/y in Italy and by<br />

19.5% y/y in Austria. On the other hand, the total deposit growth rate varied in the three reference countries with steady<br />

growth in Italy (+15.1% y/y in August 2009), and a gradual slowdown in both Germany and Austria where total deposit growth<br />

was +5.3% and +2.8% y/y respectively. The differences were largely attributable to time deposit performance in Germany,<br />

and more generally, the performance of deposits other than current account deposits in Austria, which were down on an<br />

annual basis by 6.4% and 4.0% y/y respectively. Finally, in Italy bank bonds continued to grow at a healthy pace of +15.4%<br />

y/y in August.<br />

In recent months, the reduction in bank rates has also continued, and these rates are starting to reflect the reduction in<br />

official rates, although only to a partial extent and with differences between the three countries. To be specific, the decline in<br />

rates on bank loans still appears to be less evident in Germany than in Austria, and especially in Italy. As a result, in Germany<br />

bank spreads (the difference between lending and deposit rates) continued to rise with a level of 3.43% in August 2009, up<br />

from 2.76% at the end of last year. On the other hand, there was a particularly sharp reduction in bank spreads in Austria (at<br />

1.81% in August 2009, down from 2.34% in December 2008) and in Italy where the spread between the average lending rate<br />

and average deposit rate stood at 3.13% in August, which was a ten-year low (the spread was 4.10% in December 2008).<br />

In Q3 2009 stock markets solidified the recovery that started in Q2, due to a widespread improvement in stock prices in all<br />

sectors and the strong recovery reflected in financial sector indices. At the end of September 2009, stock exchanges in all<br />

three of the Group's reference countries reported increases close to (for the Italian stock exchange) or in excess of 20% (for<br />

the German and Austrian stock exchanges) over Q2. Looking at stock performance from the beginning of the year, it can be<br />

seen that the overall index was up by 18% for the Italian stock exchange, up by 20.6% for the German stock exchange and<br />

by 50.6% for the Austrian stock exchange.<br />

The mutual fund market also showed signs of recovery, but at a much slower growth rate. Compared to December 2008, in<br />

Q3 mutual fund balances were up 5% in Italy, 7.6% in Austria and about 9% in Germany. Looking at the net inflow of funds<br />

since the beginning of the year, in August 2009 this measure totaled €5.7 billion in Germany and €441 million in Austria. In<br />

Italy from January to September 2009, there was still a net outflow of funds of €7.6 billion; however, after Q1 which saw<br />

heavy outflows of funds, there was a net inflow throughout Q3, especially in funds registered abroad.<br />

With regard to the CEE region, at the beginning of 2009, the banking sector, which has been under pressure due to slow<br />

volume growth, and to a greater extent, due to the deterioration in loan quality, showed that it is able to react in a relatively<br />

efficient manner. In H1 2009 all banking sectors in CEE countries reported profits (due to stable income and a significant<br />

reduction in costs) with the exception of the Baltic countries, Ukraine and Kazakhstan. In these three areas, the ratio of loans<br />

made to deposits is significantly higher than 100%, and thus, these areas are dependent on foreign funding. In the Baltic<br />

countries, Latvia, which has the joint support of the IMF and the EU, continues to be a cause for concern, but it is set to suffer<br />

an enormous economic slowdown, which is one of the worst in the world. The exchange rate parity will continue to be under<br />

pressure. In Ukraine, several signs of improvement were seen in the area of exports and industrial production in recent<br />

months, but the banking sector is faced with a visible deterioration in loan quality. Several small banks in Ukraine that are<br />

having obvious problems have fallen under government control, and several banks in foreign hands have been recapitalized.<br />

On the other hand, in Kazakhstan, two of the country's largest banks, which have also fallen under government control this<br />

year, have been forced to plan the restructuring of their foreign debt.<br />

These situations are even more indicative of a growing gap between stronger countries (especially those in Central Europe<br />

that are ready to resume their growth trend, which this time will be driven by foreign demand) and the aforementioned<br />

countries (which represent about 10% of the regional GDP) that have greater exposure to the international crisis and the<br />

deterioration of the economic and banking environment.

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