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9. With the onset of e-governance, the aim must be improving the relationships between the citizen, the state and other involved institutions and agencies, in the context of technology-enabled transformation. However, another aspect of ‘smart governance’ is in the field of transport and logistics where the principal challenge is devising a set of ‘intelligent’ solutions which will enhance the capacity and capabilities of the public transport network and reduce dependency on the private car. 10. The ICT industry in Ireland is positioned at a relatively low point on the value chain dealing in mature technology that has been developed elsewhere, and needs to increase the value-added component in its ICT products and services. 11. Scientific and technological industries in Ireland need an enlarged cadre of world class professional researchers who can not only innovate but also contribute original marketable ideas that can form the nucleus of new globally competitive companies which can attract multinational investment. 12. There is a need to build enterprise capability to develop products and services by ensuring that both national research and enterprise agendas are aligned. This should be facilitated by developing strategic technology platforms, as well as encouraging greater collaboration between academe, enterprise and industry. 13. State investment in research is still significantly lower than in most developed economies, and, as the Irish economy moves more and more to one based on knowledge and expertise, so the level of funding must grow. As an example, a Centre for Advance Informatics should be established, with an independent identity and location, to conduct internationally recognised research and development relevant to industry. 14. In the universities and institutes of technology there is a need to promote a flexible ‘fast follower’ approach in emerging strategic areas of technology where Irish graduates can adopt and adapt the learning and skills necessary to compete in a fast-moving and competitive environment. 15. Access to the world’s best avenues of venture capital investment, and recourse to first-class international strategic marketing, are both vital in order to foster further growth in the science and technology sectors. 16. Ireland needs to become a thoroughly wired country with pervasive, high-speed, low-cost access to information and communications systems, but, in doing so, it needs to avoid the creating or widening of a digital divide between those who are plugged-in and those who are not. 17. In the swiftly changing world of technological development it is important to maintain and improve a rapid response attitude of mind to ensure that Ireland is perceived as one of the most favourable locations in the world in which to meet stringent national and international regulatory requirements. 18. In terms of energy technologies there is a need to explore and exploit new and renewable sources especially ocean wave energy, hybrid energy systems, energy storage systems, distributed energy systems and environmentally friendly transport systems. There is also a need to put nuclear energy back on the agenda by developing an Irish technological capability in this carbon free energy field. In the 98
same context, there should be immediate, substantial and continued tightening of energy efficient requirements throughout all sectors of the economy, with resultant technologies exported internationally. 19. Ireland is well-placed, with appropriate investment in research and development, to compete in the fast-expanding field of genomics, and has the potential to occupy a leading international position. 20. Having such a strong software industry, Ireland could capitalise on the huge synergistic opportunities available through combining its expertise in health and life sciences with its expertise in information technology. Wild Cards Some potential ‘wild cards’ are: Internet anarchy. Viruses immune to all known treatments. Sweeping medical breakthrough is perfected. Self-aware machine intelligence. Foetal sex selection becomes the norm. INSIGHT 4: SUSTAINBILITY INDICATORS Environment Household waste generation Traffic congestion Quality of life Polluter pays principle Percentage of greenfield conversion Percentage of brownfield development Energy rating on buildings Governance Greater Dublin Authority Local government income Technology Infrastructure transport coordinated land-use and provision Number of children walking school Number of people using public transport Number of public transit options Economy Housing design Housing location Developer contribution-upgrade to pay for local amenities Percentage of land in privately owned landbanks Demography Level of education achieved in society Degree of urbanisation Degree of low-density peripheral growth Cultural Amount of time spent commuting Number of reported cases of crime per 1,000 of population 99
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TWICE THE SIZE? IMAGINEERING THE FU
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The Urban Forum is an initiative of
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F O R E W O R D, by Professor John
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The most profound shift that will o
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TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents
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LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Traditional
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of the time, leaving Ireland withou
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Scenarios for Ireland in 2030 “Th
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successful, as planning policies th
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social equity, tolerance and multic
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PART I: Introduction, Methodology a
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1.3 Outcomes Figure 1: National Spa
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2 METHODOLOGY 2.1 The Need for a Fu
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Traditional Planning Futures Approa
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In this study, the driving forces o
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D i a g n o s i s P r o g n o s i s
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Indeed, the central challenge of th
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epresenting different sectors, orga
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3 CHANGING IRELAND - THE CONTEXT
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transport connections, Ireland as a
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the provisions of the DTS were not
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In addition to these key objectives
Page 47 and 48: an ad-hoc manner. In particular, th
Page 49 and 50: 3.2 People The study’s point of d
Page 51 and 52: Gateway City/Town 2002 Population 2
Page 53 and 54: Counties (…) Population Share of
Page 55 and 56: Gateway FUR Population Size Ranking
Page 57 and 58: On the basis of the survey, Ingleha
Page 59 and 60: Political implications Since the fo
Page 61 and 62: 4. Public Private Partnerships [PPP
Page 63 and 64: population and a relatively young s
Page 65: PART II EXPLORING THE FUTURE 65
Page 68 and 69: today. The future was a given, and
Page 70 and 71: 5.2 Driving forces of change, issue
Page 72 and 73: Prospects for Ireland Changes in th
Page 74 and 75: 14. This study by The Futures Acade
Page 76 and 77: 5. As a direct corollary, creativit
Page 78 and 79: wages and prices are kept in balanc
Page 80 and 81: 20. Small business in Ireland is bi
Page 82 and 83: Prospects for Ireland In so many wa
Page 84 and 85: 12. While the NDP is committed to c
Page 86 and 87: Global Context The ten most signifi
Page 88 and 89: 3. By international standards the a
Page 90 and 91: 15. The intensification of agricult
Page 92 and 93: 7. Demands for greater scrutiny, tr
Page 94 and 95: sector up the value chain; promote
Page 96 and 97: 6. The field of synthetic biology w
Page 100 and 101: 5 SCENARIO LOGICS Analysis of the d
Page 102 and 103: world leader in software solutions
Page 104 and 105: In the context of health, it is unw
Page 106 and 107: High land prices and generally infl
Page 108 and 109: Similarly, little thought is given
Page 110 and 111: SCENARIO 2: WILD CATS OF EQUALITY
Page 112 and 113: and, as a result, substantial progr
Page 114 and 115: than two thirds of all weddings are
Page 116 and 117: increased the power of local govern
Page 118 and 119: had to submit an annual recycling p
Page 120 and 121: SCENARIO 3: THE FRAGILITY OF MÉ F
Page 122 and 123: Preoccupied with security issues, p
Page 124 and 125: Places Ireland is one of few Europe
Page 126 and 127: But all has not been good news. To
Page 128 and 129: PROSPECTS Ireland takes a lead in
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Page 132 and 133: ail and road connections between Du
Page 134 and 135: Box 2 - The Gateways Population Sto
Page 136 and 137: Another important point of attentio
Page 138 and 139: 9.2 Policy Actions and Recommendati
Page 140 and 141: Built and Natural Environment High
Page 142 and 143: A radical rethinking of the Nationa
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A. CORK MAIN DRIVING FORCES OF CHAN
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campaign put Cork on the global map
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SCENARIO 2: Nero (National scenario
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palpable shift in Cork from the “
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in the knowledge economy and as a
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But by 2020 when climatic change ha
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR DUNDALK SCENAR
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SCENARIO 2: The Pearl of the East (
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centres and high quality rural hint
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decades had facilitated the emergen
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR GALWAY SCENARI
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Also, tourism and heritage is a ver
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Other features of the campus includ
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SCENARIO 3: The Fairest County of t
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Re: the fairest county of them all
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D. LETTERKENNY MAIN DRIVING FORCES
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Letterkenny is a relatively late bl
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implementation of the Derry Donegal
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of this success by restoring compet
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process, which they believe will br
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E. LIMERICK MAIN DRIVING FORCES OF
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new city treatment works. Over the
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Following the elimination of the co
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The completion of the Orbital route
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR MIDLANDS SCENA
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of the regional government led by a
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In fact, NSS II designated most of
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SCENARIO 3: And the Winner is … (
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esearch centre to investigate a pos
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR SLIGO SCENARIO
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SCENARIO 2: Healthy, Wealthy and Wi
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egion, facilitated by the REPS Orga
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The region’s economy has also bee
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR WATERFORD SCEN
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SCENARIO 2: The ‘Super-Rural’ R
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SCENARIO 3: A Tale of Two Cities (N
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References: Bannon, M. (1989) Plann
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Serra, J. (2001) Territorial Foresi
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226
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Conor Healy Cork Chamber of Commerc
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Martina Moloney Louth County Manage
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Appendix 2 LIST OF WORKSHOPS NATION
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