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Wild Cards<br />

Some potential ‘wild cards’ are:<br />

The end <strong>of</strong> intergenerational solidarity.<br />

Growth <strong>of</strong> religious environmentalism.<br />

First unambiguous contact with extraterrestrial life.<br />

A new multi-faith force for good arises.<br />

Global healthcare and pandemic control.<br />

TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE<br />

Life in 2030 will be revolutionised by the burgeoning impact <strong>of</strong> multidisciplinary science and<br />

technology across all dimensions <strong>of</strong> the public and private realms: social, economic, political<br />

and personal. The continuing diffusion <strong>of</strong> information technology and new applications in the<br />

biotechnology field will be twin forces <strong>of</strong> global significance. The results <strong>of</strong> this global scientific<br />

and technological revolution could be astonishing. Two general tendencies discerned, however,<br />

are worthy <strong>of</strong> special note. First, the integration <strong>of</strong> existing disciplines to form new ones, with<br />

the blending <strong>of</strong> information, technology, biotechnology, materials sciences and nanotechnology<br />

generating a dramatic increase in innovation. And second, the lateral development <strong>of</strong><br />

technology, so that older established technologies will continue a ‘sideways’ evolution into new<br />

markets and applications.<br />

Global Context<br />

The ten most meaningful global technological drivers and issues have been identified as follows.<br />

1. <strong>Technology</strong> will be a major enabling force for business towards 2030 transforming<br />

supply chains, value nets, business models, work styles and opening up new global<br />

markets for expansion.<br />

2. Discoveries in nanotechnology will lead to an unprecedented understanding <strong>of</strong>, and<br />

control over, the fundamental building blocks <strong>of</strong> all physical things, to such an<br />

extent that developments in this field are likely to change the way almost<br />

everything is designed and made.<br />

3. Breakthroughs in materials technology will generate widely available products that<br />

are smart, multi-functional, environmentally compatible, more survivable and<br />

customisable.<br />

4. Everything will get ‘smarter’ through embedded technology allowing unobtrusive<br />

devices and systems to monitor and react to operational actions, reducing the need<br />

for human intervention in ‘routine’ activities.<br />

5. Highly repetitive work, or work in difficult, extreme or unsafe environments, will<br />

increasingly be undertaken by robotics and micro-robotics, which will become<br />

smaller and smarter, and take on even more tasks.<br />

95

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