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TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology

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20. Small business in Ireland is big business. Over 97% <strong>of</strong> businesses in Ireland are<br />

Wild Cards<br />

‘small’ (employing fewer than fifty people) and they employ 777,000 people. In<br />

many ways, the health <strong>of</strong> the small business sector is both an indicator <strong>of</strong> the<br />

condition <strong>of</strong> the whole economy and a determination <strong>of</strong> that condition. A number <strong>of</strong><br />

issues face the small business sector including: burdensome and costly<br />

administrative regulations; rising local authority charges; poor access to information<br />

and advice; inadequate infrastructure; difficulty in accessing finance; weak<br />

management capability; lack <strong>of</strong> innovation; under-exploitation <strong>of</strong> ICT; and the lack<br />

<strong>of</strong> a systematic approach to entrepreneurship. The small business sector in Ireland<br />

is the potential engine for growth for the future <strong>of</strong> the Irish economy.<br />

Some potential ‘wild cards’ are:<br />

Emerging markets fail to reform their financial institutions.<br />

Worldwide stock market crash.<br />

Collapse <strong>of</strong> a giant global corporation.<br />

China and India fail to sustain high growth.<br />

Internet disintegration.<br />

GOVERNANCE CHANGE<br />

In that virtually all the other major drivers <strong>of</strong> change are influenced by the decisions <strong>of</strong> people,<br />

for good or bad, governance, in all its dimensions, is perhaps the overriding driver <strong>of</strong> all. States<br />

might continue to be the dominant players on the world stage in 2030, but governments will<br />

have less and less control over flows <strong>of</strong> information, technology, diseases, migrants, arms and<br />

financial transactions, whether licit or illicit, across their borders. Non-state actors, ranging<br />

from commercial corporations to voluntary organisations, will play increasingly larger roles in<br />

both national and international affairs. The nature and quality <strong>of</strong> governance, globally and<br />

locally, will substantially determine how well communities at all scales cope with future global<br />

change.<br />

Global Context<br />

The ten most significant global governance trend drivers and issues have been identified as<br />

follows.<br />

1. Governmentally, the degree <strong>of</strong> direct influence that national governments exercise<br />

over people’s actions, social problems, economic performance and corporate power<br />

will lessen. Power will pass upwards to supra-national bodies and downwards to<br />

subsidiary authorities at regional, federal, provincial, state or city level.<br />

80

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