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TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology

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3.2.2 <strong>Dublin</strong> and the Gateways – Issues <strong>of</strong> Scale<br />

Analysis <strong>of</strong> the population distribution and densities shows a strong spatial imbalance in the<br />

allocation <strong>of</strong> people across the country. At present, 28% <strong>of</strong> the Ireland’s population lives in<br />

<strong>Dublin</strong> City, which covers only 1.3% <strong>of</strong> the surface area <strong>of</strong> Ireland. If the population <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Greater <strong>Dublin</strong> Area is considered, nearly 40% <strong>of</strong> the total population lives in the GDA <strong>of</strong> which<br />

its surface area consists <strong>of</strong> 10% <strong>of</strong> that <strong>of</strong> Ireland. Again, if the Greater <strong>Dublin</strong> Area and the<br />

seven neighbouring counties that are strongly linked to <strong>Dublin</strong> are considered, more than 50% <strong>of</strong><br />

Ireland’s population lives in the 11 counties that constitute only a little more than a quarter <strong>of</strong><br />

Ireland’s land (Tab. 4a). The numbers only confirm the strong domination <strong>of</strong> <strong>Dublin</strong> over the rest<br />

<strong>of</strong> the Republic.<br />

If we extrapolate the recent trends in population growth for different areas <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Dublin</strong> region<br />

and the rest <strong>of</strong> the country, it is clear that, unless there is a strong disruption to these trends,<br />

the growth <strong>of</strong> population in <strong>Dublin</strong> region will continue to be stronger than in other parts <strong>of</strong><br />

Ireland, and therefore, the domination <strong>of</strong> <strong>Dublin</strong> in population concentration will continue.<br />

Tables 4b and 4c show the forecasts <strong>of</strong> population numbers in 2020 and 2030. Although, these<br />

predictions show growth <strong>of</strong> population in all parts <strong>of</strong> the country, the gap between the GDA’s<br />

share <strong>of</strong> population and the rest <strong>of</strong> the Republic will increase. This is well illustrated by Figure<br />

6.<br />

Counties (…) Population<br />

2006<br />

Share <strong>of</strong> National pop. % Surface Area %<br />

<strong>Dublin</strong> (1) 1 187 176 28 1.3<br />

Mid East (3) 475 360 11 8.6<br />

GDA (4) 1 662 536 39 10.0<br />

7 adjacent counties* (7) 574 641 14 16.5<br />

GDA + 7 counties (11) 2 237 177 53 26.4<br />

Rest <strong>of</strong> RoI (15) 2 002 671 47 73.6<br />

State (26) 4 239 848 100.00 100.00<br />

Table 4a: Spatial distribution <strong>of</strong> Ireland’s population in 2006. Source: Census 2006. Note:<br />

* Seven adjacent counties include: Wexford, Carlow, Laois, Offaly, Westmeath, Cavan and<br />

Louth.<br />

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