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TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology

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Gateway City/Town 2002 Population 2006 Population % Growth Rate<br />

Cork 186,200 190,400 2.2<br />

Limerick 87,000 90,800 4.3<br />

Shannon 8,600 9,200 7.7<br />

Galway 66,200 72,700 9.9<br />

Waterford 46,700 49,200 5.3<br />

Dundalk 32,500 35,100 7.9<br />

Sligo 19,700 19,400 -1.7<br />

Letterkenny 15,200 17,600 15.5<br />

Athlone 15,900 17,500 10.1<br />

Mullingar 15,600 18,400 17.9<br />

Tullamore 11,100 12,900 16.5<br />

TOTAL 504,700 533,200 5.6<br />

State 3,917,200 4,239,800 8.2<br />

Table 3: Rates <strong>of</strong> population growth for the gateways. Source: CSO.<br />

The overall objective <strong>of</strong> such strategic planning is to double the population <strong>of</strong> each individual or<br />

multiple-linked centre, as indicated above. In practice, however, it is likely that individual<br />

settlement growth is unlikely to be consistent. What is perhaps <strong>of</strong> greater relevance is the<br />

feasibility <strong>of</strong> achieving such targets. Particularly over the last decade (1996-2006) there are<br />

many examples <strong>of</strong> superior growth performances, notably in the case <strong>of</strong> towns located close to<br />

<strong>Dublin</strong>. By contrast, cities such as Cork, Limerick and Waterford, together with many <strong>of</strong> the<br />

towns removed from the capital, have achieved modest levels <strong>of</strong> growth (Tab. 3); very much<br />

short <strong>of</strong> the aforementioned 3% per annum ‘target’. Despite Ireland’s impressive economic<br />

achievements over the past fifteen years or so, it is this very disappointing urban growth<br />

performance that is the basis for this project.<br />

Implementation requirements<br />

Robust implementation <strong>of</strong> specific strategic growth policies would be necessary if such<br />

projected population growth is to be achieved; especially so for a majority <strong>of</strong> the settlements<br />

listed in Table 1. This is because, per force, most such settlements are located away from<br />

<strong>Dublin</strong>, the principal ‘engine’ <strong>of</strong> settlement growth. Likewise, sustainable forms <strong>of</strong> physical<br />

development <strong>of</strong> settlements would require adherence to greatly reduced patterns <strong>of</strong><br />

commuting: urban morphology will have to be both denser and more compact, with unified<br />

land-use and transportation policy-making. Powerful, city-based regional-level authorities would<br />

replace county-based administrations. Accordingly, the issue <strong>of</strong> governance and radical changes<br />

thereto would be critical to the process <strong>of</strong> implementing and achieving doubling <strong>of</strong> the gateway<br />

population.<br />

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