TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology

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The Urban Forum is an initiative of the Royal Institute of the Architects of Ireland, Engineers Ireland, the Irish Planning Institute, the Irish Landscape Institute and the Society of Chartered Surveyors. The aims of the Forum are: to promote the discipline of urban design in the public and private sectors; to develop education courses for members of the above bodies to improve the levels of Urban Design knowledge and skills within the professions; and to promote the benefits of good urban design to the public. The Futures Academy is an active research organisation, which was founded in response to the need for a fresh, more effective approach towards forward planning. It was established in January 2003 and it is located in the Faculty of the Built Environment in the Dublin Institute of Technology (DIT), Ireland. Through the futures thinking, the Academy aims to promote new ways of exploring and approaching the future. Using various futures methodologies and techniques we examine the future of society, economy and the environment. In order to encourage creative and innovative thinking we introduce futures methodologies to industry and government and assist public and private parties in applying futures methods. School of Spatial Planning The School of Spatial Planning at DIT is the largest planning school in Ireland and educates professionals in the areas of land use planning, environmental management and geomatics. The appropriate use of limited space and resources is one of the most pressing concerns in modern times. Pivotal issues include the location of public facilities, efficiency of movement, how to use limited resources with best regard to future generations, and concerns about the spatial consequences of climate change. Graduates of the School of Spatial Planning at DIT have gone on to play leadership roles equipped with the strategic foresight and practical skills that are essential for these roles. 4
THE PROJECT TEAM The project has been carried out by The Futures Academy, Dublin Institute of Technology in collaboration with the School of Spatial Planning, Faculty of Built Environment, Dublin Institute of Technology. Project Leader: Professor John Ratcliffe, Director, Faculty of the Built Environment Project Manager: Dr Ela Krawczyk, Head of The Futures Academy Project Consultants: Henk van der Kamp, Head of the School of Spatial Planning Conor Skehan, Head of the Department of Environment and Planning, Fellow, The Futures Academy Brian Hughes, Lecturer, Department of Real Estate, Fellow, The Futures Academy Project Team: Julie Gannon, The Futures Academy Dr Lorcan Sirr, Head of Research, Faculty of Built Environment, Fellow, The Futures Academy Ruth Saurin, The Futures Academy Gillian O’Brien, The Futures Academy Patrick Shiels, Urban Research Analyst Dorothy Stewart, The Futures Academy Paraic Fallon, Lecturer, School of Spatial Planning Paul Lawlor, Lecturer, School of Spatial Planning 5
Page 1: TWICE THE SIZE? IMAGINEERING THE FU
Page 6 and 7: F O R E W O R D, by Professor John
Page 8 and 9: The most profound shift that will o
Page 10 and 11: TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents
Page 12 and 13: LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Traditional
Page 14 and 15: of the time, leaving Ireland withou
Page 16 and 17: Scenarios for Ireland in 2030 “Th
Page 18 and 19: successful, as planning policies th
Page 20 and 21: social equity, tolerance and multic
Page 23 and 24: PART I: Introduction, Methodology a
Page 25 and 26: 1.3 Outcomes Figure 1: National Spa
Page 27 and 28: 2 METHODOLOGY 2.1 The Need for a Fu
Page 29 and 30: Traditional Planning Futures Approa
Page 31 and 32: In this study, the driving forces o
Page 33 and 34: D i a g n o s i s P r o g n o s i s
Page 35 and 36: Indeed, the central challenge of th
Page 37 and 38: epresenting different sectors, orga
Page 39 and 40: 3 CHANGING IRELAND - THE CONTEXT
Page 41 and 42: transport connections, Ireland as a
Page 43 and 44: the provisions of the DTS were not
Page 45 and 46: In addition to these key objectives
Page 47 and 48: an ad-hoc manner. In particular, th
Page 49 and 50: 3.2 People The study’s point of d
Page 51 and 52: Gateway City/Town 2002 Population 2
Page 53 and 54: Counties (…) Population Share of
Page 55 and 56:
Gateway FUR Population Size Ranking
Page 57 and 58:
On the basis of the survey, Ingleha
Page 59 and 60:
Political implications Since the fo
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4. Public Private Partnerships [PPP
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population and a relatively young s
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PART II EXPLORING THE FUTURE 65
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today. The future was a given, and
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5.2 Driving forces of change, issue
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Prospects for Ireland Changes in th
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14. This study by The Futures Acade
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5. As a direct corollary, creativit
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wages and prices are kept in balanc
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20. Small business in Ireland is bi
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Prospects for Ireland In so many wa
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12. While the NDP is committed to c
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Global Context The ten most signifi
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3. By international standards the a
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15. The intensification of agricult
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7. Demands for greater scrutiny, tr
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sector up the value chain; promote
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6. The field of synthetic biology w
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9. With the onset of e-governance,
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5 SCENARIO LOGICS Analysis of the d
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world leader in software solutions
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In the context of health, it is unw
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High land prices and generally infl
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Similarly, little thought is given
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SCENARIO 2: WILD CATS OF EQUALITY
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and, as a result, substantial progr
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than two thirds of all weddings are
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increased the power of local govern
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had to submit an annual recycling p
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SCENARIO 3: THE FRAGILITY OF MÉ F
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Preoccupied with security issues, p
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Places Ireland is one of few Europe
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But all has not been good news. To
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PROSPECTS Ireland takes a lead in
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130
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ail and road connections between Du
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Box 2 - The Gateways Population Sto
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Another important point of attentio
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9.2 Policy Actions and Recommendati
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Built and Natural Environment High
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A radical rethinking of the Nationa
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144
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146
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148
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A. CORK MAIN DRIVING FORCES OF CHAN
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campaign put Cork on the global map
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SCENARIO 2: Nero (National scenario
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palpable shift in Cork from the “
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in the knowledge economy and as a
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But by 2020 when climatic change ha
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR DUNDALK SCENAR
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SCENARIO 2: The Pearl of the East (
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centres and high quality rural hint
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decades had facilitated the emergen
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR GALWAY SCENARI
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Also, tourism and heritage is a ver
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Other features of the campus includ
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SCENARIO 3: The Fairest County of t
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Re: the fairest county of them all
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D. LETTERKENNY MAIN DRIVING FORCES
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Letterkenny is a relatively late bl
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implementation of the Derry Donegal
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of this success by restoring compet
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process, which they believe will br
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E. LIMERICK MAIN DRIVING FORCES OF
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new city treatment works. Over the
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Following the elimination of the co
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The completion of the Orbital route
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR MIDLANDS SCENA
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of the regional government led by a
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In fact, NSS II designated most of
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SCENARIO 3: And the Winner is … (
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esearch centre to investigate a pos
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR SLIGO SCENARIO
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SCENARIO 2: Healthy, Wealthy and Wi
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egion, facilitated by the REPS Orga
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The region’s economy has also bee
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR WATERFORD SCEN
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SCENARIO 2: The ‘Super-Rural’ R
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SCENARIO 3: A Tale of Two Cities (N
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References: Bannon, M. (1989) Plann
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Serra, J. (2001) Territorial Foresi
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226
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Conor Healy Cork Chamber of Commerc
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Martina Moloney Louth County Manage
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Appendix 2 LIST OF WORKSHOPS NATION
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