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To address the main aim, the following objectives were set. Encourage dialogue, collaboration, and forging new alliances between a wide range of stakeholders in each of the gateways. Explore the driving forces of change at global, national and local level and develop a set of possible and desirable futures for spatial development of the gateways and Ireland as whole. Promote strategic foresight and a futures oriented mindset amongst the key stakeholders and decision-makers involved in planning at local, regional and national level. 1.2 Scope The focus of this project was specifically aimed at the eight gateway towns and cities (Fig. 1) originally designated in the National Spatial Strategy to stimulate a more balanced pattern of regional development in Ireland. The development of the gateways as national and regional engines of growth would imply great transformations of these places in demographic, spatial, economic and social terms. Many of the gateways are currently undertaking the planning and implementation of major development projects that will have lasting effects on their future. It is also expected that the NSS designation, strengthened by the provision of additional funding (i.e. Gateway Innovation Fund, through the National Development Plan 2007-2013), will foster further growth of the gateway cities and towns. The special attention of this project on the eight gateways was dictated by a strong need to examine the effects of the growth of the past few years, but even more so, by the need to provoke and challenge current thinking about the long-term future in order to test, enhance and future-proof decisions taken today. This is needed to ensure that these territories are not exposing themselves to threats on the one hand, and not closing themselves to the opportunities that the future may hold on the other. At this point, it is also important to stress that as the remit of the study has been limited to the eight gateways, the future of the Greater Dublin Area, as well as the ‘hubs’ 2 , has not been examined in detail, but only to the extent required for the exploration of Ireland’s future. 2 Hubs – towns designated in the National Spatial Strategy as “centres supporting the national and international role of the gateways and in turn energising smaller towns and rural areas within their sphere of influence” (DoELGH, 2002: 12). 24
1.3 Outcomes Figure 1: National Spatial Strategy: gateways and hubs (DoELGH, 2002). It has been envisaged that both tangible and intangible outcomes will be achieved. One of the most important outcomes that the study team set out to achieve was to create a platform for stakeholders to meet, talk, think and act together creatively and alternatively about the future of their city or town and its region. It was anticipated that futures workshops held in each of the gateways would instigate and encourage such discussions. The more tangible results included: a set of future scenarios for each gateway and a collection of other ideas that were generated during the process which could be used by local decision-makers to future-proof their decisions and policies today; a set of national scenarios for Ireland in 2030 within which the gateway 25
Page 1: TWICE THE SIZE? IMAGINEERING THE FU
Page 4 and 5: The Urban Forum is an initiative of
Page 6 and 7: F O R E W O R D, by Professor John
Page 8 and 9: The most profound shift that will o
Page 10 and 11: TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents
Page 12 and 13: LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Traditional
Page 14 and 15: of the time, leaving Ireland withou
Page 16 and 17: Scenarios for Ireland in 2030 “Th
Page 18 and 19: successful, as planning policies th
Page 20 and 21: social equity, tolerance and multic
Page 23: PART I: Introduction, Methodology a
Page 27 and 28: 2 METHODOLOGY 2.1 The Need for a Fu
Page 29 and 30: Traditional Planning Futures Approa
Page 31 and 32: In this study, the driving forces o
Page 33 and 34: D i a g n o s i s P r o g n o s i s
Page 35 and 36: Indeed, the central challenge of th
Page 37 and 38: epresenting different sectors, orga
Page 39 and 40: 3 CHANGING IRELAND - THE CONTEXT
Page 41 and 42: transport connections, Ireland as a
Page 43 and 44: the provisions of the DTS were not
Page 45 and 46: In addition to these key objectives
Page 47 and 48: an ad-hoc manner. In particular, th
Page 49 and 50: 3.2 People The study’s point of d
Page 51 and 52: Gateway City/Town 2002 Population 2
Page 53 and 54: Counties (…) Population Share of
Page 55 and 56: Gateway FUR Population Size Ranking
Page 57 and 58: On the basis of the survey, Ingleha
Page 59 and 60: Political implications Since the fo
Page 61 and 62: 4. Public Private Partnerships [PPP
Page 63 and 64: population and a relatively young s
Page 65: PART II EXPLORING THE FUTURE 65
Page 68 and 69: today. The future was a given, and
Page 70 and 71: 5.2 Driving forces of change, issue
Page 72 and 73: Prospects for Ireland Changes in th
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14. This study by The Futures Acade
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5. As a direct corollary, creativit
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wages and prices are kept in balanc
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20. Small business in Ireland is bi
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Prospects for Ireland In so many wa
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12. While the NDP is committed to c
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Global Context The ten most signifi
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3. By international standards the a
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15. The intensification of agricult
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7. Demands for greater scrutiny, tr
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sector up the value chain; promote
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6. The field of synthetic biology w
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9. With the onset of e-governance,
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5 SCENARIO LOGICS Analysis of the d
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world leader in software solutions
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In the context of health, it is unw
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High land prices and generally infl
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Similarly, little thought is given
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SCENARIO 2: WILD CATS OF EQUALITY
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and, as a result, substantial progr
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than two thirds of all weddings are
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increased the power of local govern
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had to submit an annual recycling p
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SCENARIO 3: THE FRAGILITY OF MÉ F
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Preoccupied with security issues, p
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Places Ireland is one of few Europe
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But all has not been good news. To
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PROSPECTS Ireland takes a lead in
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130
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ail and road connections between Du
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Box 2 - The Gateways Population Sto
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Another important point of attentio
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9.2 Policy Actions and Recommendati
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Built and Natural Environment High
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A radical rethinking of the Nationa
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A. CORK MAIN DRIVING FORCES OF CHAN
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campaign put Cork on the global map
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SCENARIO 2: Nero (National scenario
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palpable shift in Cork from the “
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in the knowledge economy and as a
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But by 2020 when climatic change ha
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR DUNDALK SCENAR
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SCENARIO 2: The Pearl of the East (
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centres and high quality rural hint
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decades had facilitated the emergen
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR GALWAY SCENARI
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Also, tourism and heritage is a ver
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Other features of the campus includ
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SCENARIO 3: The Fairest County of t
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Re: the fairest county of them all
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D. LETTERKENNY MAIN DRIVING FORCES
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Letterkenny is a relatively late bl
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implementation of the Derry Donegal
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of this success by restoring compet
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process, which they believe will br
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E. LIMERICK MAIN DRIVING FORCES OF
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new city treatment works. Over the
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Following the elimination of the co
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The completion of the Orbital route
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR MIDLANDS SCENA
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of the regional government led by a
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In fact, NSS II designated most of
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SCENARIO 3: And the Winner is … (
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esearch centre to investigate a pos
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR SLIGO SCENARIO
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SCENARIO 2: Healthy, Wealthy and Wi
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egion, facilitated by the REPS Orga
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The region’s economy has also bee
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR WATERFORD SCEN
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SCENARIO 2: The ‘Super-Rural’ R
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SCENARIO 3: A Tale of Two Cities (N
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References: Bannon, M. (1989) Plann
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Serra, J. (2001) Territorial Foresi
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Conor Healy Cork Chamber of Commerc
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Martina Moloney Louth County Manage
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Appendix 2 LIST OF WORKSHOPS NATION
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