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References: Bannon, M. (1989) Planning: The Irish Experience 1920–1988, Wolfhound Press: Dublin. Bartley, B., Kitchin, R. (Ed.) (2007) Understanding Contemporary Ireland. Pluto Press: London. Bauman, Z. (2002) The Twentieth Century? The End or a Beginning?, Thesis Eleven, no. 7, August 2002, pp. 15-25, p.19. Bell, W. (2003) Foundations of Futures Studies: History, Purposes, and Knowledge. Vol. 1. New Brunswick, London: Transaction Publishers. Brülhart, M. (2006); The Fading Attraction of Central Regions: an Empirical Note on Core- Periphery Gradients in Western Europe, Spatial Economic Analysis, Vol. 1, Issue 2, pp. 227-235. Camagni, R. (2002) On the Concept of Territorial Competitiveness: Sound or Misleading?. Urban Studies 39(13): 2396-2411. Cities PLUS (2004) A Sustainable Urban System: The Long-term Plan for Greater Vancouver [Online], [Accessed on 26 th February 2004]. Available from World Wide Web: http://www.sheltair.com/library_usp.html. Coleman, M. (2007) The Best is Yet to Come. Blackhall Publishing: Dublin. DoELGH (2002) National Spatial Strategy for Ireland 2002-2020: people, places and potential. Dublin: Stationery Office. ERDO (1985); Eastern Region Settlement Strategy 2011: Main Report, Eastern Regional Development Organisation: Dublin. EU Committee on Spatial Development (1999); European Spatial Development Perspective: Towards Balanced and Sustainable Development of the Territory of the European Union, Office for Official Publications of the European Communities: Luxembourg. FOREN (2001) A Practical Guide to Regional Foresight, FOREN: Seville Gannon, J. and Ratcliffe, J. (2006) Futures Workshops: A Handbook for Practitioners in the Built Environment. The Futures Academy: Dublin. GEMACA II Project (2002) Economic Performance of the European Regions. No. 135 Quarterly Review, IAURIF: Paris. Godet M. (2001) Creating Futures: Scenario Planning as a strategic management tool. London: Economica. Hall, P. (1998) Cities in Civilization. Pantheon: London. 222
Hall, P. and Pain, K. (Ed.) (2006) The Polycentric Metropolis: Learning from Mega-City Regions in Europe. Earthscan: London. Handy, C. (1989) The Age of Unreason. Arrow: London. Inglehart, R. (1997) Modernization and Postmodernisation: Cultural, Economic, and Political Change in 43 Societies. Princeton University Press. Inglehart, R. and Baker, W. E. (2000) Modernization, Cultural Change, and the Persistence of Traditional Values." American Sociological Review 65(1):19-51. Lindgren, M. and Bandhold, H. (2003) Scenario Planning: The Link Between Futures and Strategy. Palgrave MacMillan, London. McGreal, W.S, Berry J.N. and Williams B. (2003); The East Coast Corridor: Spatial Development Strategies for the Dublin-Belfast Metropolitan Regions, Journal of Irish Urban Studies, Vol. 1, No. 2, pp. 19-30. Norris, M. and Shiels, P. (2007) Housing Affordability in the Republic of Ireland: Is Planning Part of the Problem or Part of the Solution? Housing Studies, Vol. 22, No. 1, pp. 45-62. O’Hagan, J. W. (Ed) (1995) The economy of Ireland: policy and performance of a small European country. Macmillan Press: London Pike, A., Rodriguez-Pose, A. & Tomaney, J., (2006) Local and Regional Development. Routledge: London & New York. Ratcliffe J., Sirr L. (2003) Futures thinking for the built and human environment: The Prospective Process Through Scenario Thinking for the Built and Human Environment. [Online], [Accessed 14 th May 2005]. Available from World Wide Web: Ratcliffe, J. (2002) Scenario Planning: Strategic Interviews and Conversations. Foresight, 4 (1): 19-30. Ratcliffe, J. and Krawczyk, E. (2007) Imagineering Sustainable Urban Development: The Use of Prospective in City Planning. In: Koskela, L. and Roberts, P. (eds) International Symposium towards the Formation of Theory for the Built Environment. Salford Centre for REsaerch and Innovation: Salford. Schwartz, P. (1998) The Art of the Long View. John Wiley: Chichester (4 th ed). Scott, A. J. and Storper, M. (2003) Regions, globalisation, development. Regional Studies, Vol. 37 (6-7): 579-593. 223
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TWICE THE SIZE? IMAGINEERING THE FU
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The Urban Forum is an initiative of
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F O R E W O R D, by Professor John
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The most profound shift that will o
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TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents
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LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Traditional
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of the time, leaving Ireland withou
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Scenarios for Ireland in 2030 “Th
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successful, as planning policies th
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social equity, tolerance and multic
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PART I: Introduction, Methodology a
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1.3 Outcomes Figure 1: National Spa
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2 METHODOLOGY 2.1 The Need for a Fu
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Traditional Planning Futures Approa
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In this study, the driving forces o
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D i a g n o s i s P r o g n o s i s
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Indeed, the central challenge of th
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epresenting different sectors, orga
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3 CHANGING IRELAND - THE CONTEXT
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transport connections, Ireland as a
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the provisions of the DTS were not
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In addition to these key objectives
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an ad-hoc manner. In particular, th
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3.2 People The study’s point of d
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Gateway City/Town 2002 Population 2
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Counties (…) Population Share of
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Gateway FUR Population Size Ranking
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On the basis of the survey, Ingleha
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Political implications Since the fo
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4. Public Private Partnerships [PPP
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population and a relatively young s
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PART II EXPLORING THE FUTURE 65
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today. The future was a given, and
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5.2 Driving forces of change, issue
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Prospects for Ireland Changes in th
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14. This study by The Futures Acade
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5. As a direct corollary, creativit
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wages and prices are kept in balanc
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20. Small business in Ireland is bi
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Prospects for Ireland In so many wa
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12. While the NDP is committed to c
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Global Context The ten most signifi
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3. By international standards the a
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15. The intensification of agricult
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7. Demands for greater scrutiny, tr
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sector up the value chain; promote
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6. The field of synthetic biology w
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9. With the onset of e-governance,
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5 SCENARIO LOGICS Analysis of the d
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world leader in software solutions
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In the context of health, it is unw
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High land prices and generally infl
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Similarly, little thought is given
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SCENARIO 2: WILD CATS OF EQUALITY
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and, as a result, substantial progr
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than two thirds of all weddings are
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increased the power of local govern
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had to submit an annual recycling p
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SCENARIO 3: THE FRAGILITY OF MÉ F
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Preoccupied with security issues, p
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Places Ireland is one of few Europe
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But all has not been good news. To
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PROSPECTS Ireland takes a lead in
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130
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ail and road connections between Du
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Box 2 - The Gateways Population Sto
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Another important point of attentio
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9.2 Policy Actions and Recommendati
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Built and Natural Environment High
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A radical rethinking of the Nationa
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A. CORK MAIN DRIVING FORCES OF CHAN
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campaign put Cork on the global map
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SCENARIO 2: Nero (National scenario
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palpable shift in Cork from the “
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in the knowledge economy and as a
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But by 2020 when climatic change ha
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR DUNDALK SCENAR
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SCENARIO 2: The Pearl of the East (
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centres and high quality rural hint
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decades had facilitated the emergen
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR GALWAY SCENARI
Page 172 and 173: Also, tourism and heritage is a ver
Page 174 and 175: Other features of the campus includ
Page 176 and 177: SCENARIO 3: The Fairest County of t
Page 178 and 179: Re: the fairest county of them all
Page 180 and 181: D. LETTERKENNY MAIN DRIVING FORCES
Page 182 and 183: Letterkenny is a relatively late bl
Page 184 and 185: implementation of the Derry Donegal
Page 186 and 187: of this success by restoring compet
Page 188 and 189: process, which they believe will br
Page 190 and 191: E. LIMERICK MAIN DRIVING FORCES OF
Page 192 and 193: new city treatment works. Over the
Page 194 and 195: Following the elimination of the co
Page 196 and 197: The completion of the Orbital route
Page 198 and 199: FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR MIDLANDS SCENA
Page 200 and 201: of the regional government led by a
Page 202 and 203: In fact, NSS II designated most of
Page 204 and 205: SCENARIO 3: And the Winner is … (
Page 206 and 207: esearch centre to investigate a pos
Page 208 and 209: FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR SLIGO SCENARIO
Page 210 and 211: SCENARIO 2: Healthy, Wealthy and Wi
Page 212 and 213: egion, facilitated by the REPS Orga
Page 214 and 215: The region’s economy has also bee
Page 216 and 217: FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR WATERFORD SCEN
Page 218 and 219: SCENARIO 2: The ‘Super-Rural’ R
Page 220 and 221: SCENARIO 3: A Tale of Two Cities (N
Page 224 and 225: Serra, J. (2001) Territorial Foresi
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Page 228 and 229: Conor Healy Cork Chamber of Commerc
Page 230 and 231: Martina Moloney Louth County Manage
Page 232 and 233: Appendix 2 LIST OF WORKSHOPS NATION
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