TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology

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A. CORK MAIN DRIVING FORCES OF CHANGE 1. Location supporting Cork’s position as one of the Atlantic Gateway cities. 2. Decline in rural population in West Cork and Kerry. 3. Co-operation between Cork City Council and Cork County Council within the Cork Area Strategic Partnership (CASP). 4. Existing collaboration initiatives between Cork City Council, UCC and CIT. 5. Decline of the traditional manufacturing sector. 6. Strong bio-technology/pharmaceuticals economic cluster. 7. Strong food and drink sector. 8. Major rejuvenation programme for Cork Docklands. 9. Consequences of global warming, such as flooding, impact on agriculture and biodiversity. 10. River Lee and the harbour as the potential backbones for development of the city. KEY PIVOTAL UNCERTAINTIES 1. Success of Docklands development. 2. Achieving the regional balance on national scale (success of NSS). 3. Ability to retain and attract Foreign Direct Investment. 4. Provision for unified governance system for Cork. 5. Flooding – extent and response. POTENTIAL IDEAS FOR PREFERRED VISION FOR CORK Brand City of Water Stronghold of Irish Culture Assets River Lee The harbour The Docklands Potential Recreational use of Lough and the harbour Water sold as a resource Tidal barrages Advanced water technologies Water based energy generation Stop for cruise ships Cultural and recreational facilities Strong GAA spirit of the county Urban heritage and natural beauty Capital of Irish culture and sports Musical centre of the West Tourism sector strengthened through development of unique tourism product 150 Modern Industries Existing pharmaceutical and food sectors Third level educational institutes High-value added employment in pharmaceutical and food sectors around the strong R&D base
FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR CORK SCENARIO 1: Pandora’s Box (National scenario: THE SOW OF LIBERTY) Interview with Former Mayor of Cork (2017-2022), Mr Sean O’Sullivan, for CORCAIGH CEARTLÍNE, the first Cork video-zine. By Martha KURSKA Martha Kurska (MK): Mr O’Sullivan, you were Mayor of Cork City between 2017 and 2022. It would be a common view that many of the decisions you and your predecessor, Mr John Murray 8 , took while in office have led Cork to be what it is today. In your view, what does Cork stand for in 2030? Sean O’Sullivan (SOS): Well, that’s an interesting question. I would describe the city by three words: ‘bi-‘, ‘opportunism’ and ‘water’. MK: That’s an intriguing answer?! What is ‘bi-‘? SOS: Let me explain. Bi- represents dualism, both in a positive and negative sense. Let’s look at our economy. The two main sectors are: first, biotechnology, including medical industry, the food and drink industries; and second, broadly speaking the whole heritage industry. These two sectors are fundamentally different; one is perceived as modern, cutting edge, while the other builds upon values and traditions of the past and responds to the needs of identity and belonging. Yet, both seem to complement each other very well, as they represent 64% of Cork’s revenue!! MK: Yes, they may be different, but both operate on the same principles of market economics, and their main aim is to make money, so are they really ‘bi-‘? SOS: Well, it is necessary to operate according to the principles of current market economics to be successful in this highly globalised, competitive and connected world. However, the real challenge is to be able to create new sectors of the economy within that framework, to spot and use the opportunities that open up. I think Cork has been quite successful at that, hence the opportunism. For example, the results of the research exercise conducted by ESRI in 2014 indicated that Ireland has rapidly been loosing its traditional values, culture and traditions as a result of globalisation. This had strong implications for the tourism industry – the more globalised the world became the more people were searching for national distinctiveness and different cultural experiences. In 2015, seizing the opportunity to build upon Cork’s culture and traditions, the Cork Metropolitan Authority teamed up with a group of investors to develop a ‘cohesive heritage’ industry for the city. One of the first steps was the building of the ‘Famine Centre’ – a very successful multi-media modern museum. An extensive international marketing 8 John Murray became the first Mayor of Cork, after the positions of directly elected Mayors were introduced in late 2011. 151
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TWICE THE SIZE? IMAGINEERING THE FU
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The Urban Forum is an initiative of
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F O R E W O R D, by Professor John
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The most profound shift that will o
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TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents
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LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Traditional
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of the time, leaving Ireland withou
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Scenarios for Ireland in 2030 “Th
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successful, as planning policies th
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social equity, tolerance and multic
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PART I: Introduction, Methodology a
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1.3 Outcomes Figure 1: National Spa
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2 METHODOLOGY 2.1 The Need for a Fu
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Traditional Planning Futures Approa
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In this study, the driving forces o
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D i a g n o s i s P r o g n o s i s
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Indeed, the central challenge of th
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epresenting different sectors, orga
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3 CHANGING IRELAND - THE CONTEXT
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transport connections, Ireland as a
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the provisions of the DTS were not
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In addition to these key objectives
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an ad-hoc manner. In particular, th
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3.2 People The study’s point of d
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Gateway City/Town 2002 Population 2
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Counties (…) Population Share of
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Gateway FUR Population Size Ranking
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On the basis of the survey, Ingleha
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Political implications Since the fo
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4. Public Private Partnerships [PPP
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population and a relatively young s
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PART II EXPLORING THE FUTURE 65
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today. The future was a given, and
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5.2 Driving forces of change, issue
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Prospects for Ireland Changes in th
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14. This study by The Futures Acade
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5. As a direct corollary, creativit
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wages and prices are kept in balanc
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20. Small business in Ireland is bi
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Prospects for Ireland In so many wa
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12. While the NDP is committed to c
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Global Context The ten most signifi
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3. By international standards the a
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15. The intensification of agricult
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7. Demands for greater scrutiny, tr
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sector up the value chain; promote
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6. The field of synthetic biology w
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9. With the onset of e-governance,
Page 100 and 101: 5 SCENARIO LOGICS Analysis of the d
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Page 108 and 109: Similarly, little thought is given
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Page 114 and 115: than two thirds of all weddings are
Page 116 and 117: increased the power of local govern
Page 118 and 119: had to submit an annual recycling p
Page 120 and 121: SCENARIO 3: THE FRAGILITY OF MÉ F
Page 122 and 123: Preoccupied with security issues, p
Page 124 and 125: Places Ireland is one of few Europe
Page 126 and 127: But all has not been good news. To
Page 128 and 129: PROSPECTS Ireland takes a lead in
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Page 134 and 135: Box 2 - The Gateways Population Sto
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Page 138 and 139: 9.2 Policy Actions and Recommendati
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Page 142 and 143: A radical rethinking of the Nationa
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Page 152 and 153: campaign put Cork on the global map
Page 154 and 155: SCENARIO 2: Nero (National scenario
Page 156 and 157: palpable shift in Cork from the “
Page 158 and 159: in the knowledge economy and as a
Page 160 and 161: But by 2020 when climatic change ha
Page 162 and 163: FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR DUNDALK SCENAR
Page 164 and 165: SCENARIO 2: The Pearl of the East (
Page 166 and 167: centres and high quality rural hint
Page 168 and 169: decades had facilitated the emergen
Page 170 and 171: FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR GALWAY SCENARI
Page 172 and 173: Also, tourism and heritage is a ver
Page 174 and 175: Other features of the campus includ
Page 176 and 177: SCENARIO 3: The Fairest County of t
Page 178 and 179: Re: the fairest county of them all
Page 180 and 181: D. LETTERKENNY MAIN DRIVING FORCES
Page 182 and 183: Letterkenny is a relatively late bl
Page 184 and 185: implementation of the Derry Donegal
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Page 190 and 191: E. LIMERICK MAIN DRIVING FORCES OF
Page 192 and 193: new city treatment works. Over the
Page 194 and 195: Following the elimination of the co
Page 196 and 197: The completion of the Orbital route
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of the regional government led by a
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In fact, NSS II designated most of
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SCENARIO 3: And the Winner is … (
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esearch centre to investigate a pos
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR SLIGO SCENARIO
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SCENARIO 2: Healthy, Wealthy and Wi
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egion, facilitated by the REPS Orga
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The region’s economy has also bee
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FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR WATERFORD SCEN
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SCENARIO 2: The ‘Super-Rural’ R
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SCENARIO 3: A Tale of Two Cities (N
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References: Bannon, M. (1989) Plann
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Serra, J. (2001) Territorial Foresi
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Conor Healy Cork Chamber of Commerc
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Martina Moloney Louth County Manage
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Appendix 2 LIST OF WORKSHOPS NATION
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