TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology
TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology
TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology
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‘transversal’ links running in an West-East direction linking potentially all parts <strong>of</strong> Ireland to the<br />
Eastern corridor within a 40 minute travel time.<br />
Based on a strong linear urban corridor along the East coast, all <strong>of</strong> the population centres in the<br />
remainder <strong>of</strong> Ireland could have a shorter travel distance from a city that forms part <strong>of</strong> this<br />
corridor than currently achieved in relation to <strong>Dublin</strong>. It would require transversal connections.<br />
Instead <strong>of</strong> attempting to shorten travel times from gateway cities in the West <strong>of</strong> Ireland to<br />
<strong>Dublin</strong> by improving the radial transport network, transversal infrastructure links would be<br />
developed that result in a 40 minute travel time to the corridor. For example: Sligo to Dundalk,<br />
Cork to Waterford and so on.<br />
There is also a serious concern that planning policies that ‘fight trends’ are <strong>of</strong>ten doomed to<br />
fail. It is plausible, for example, to suggest that a continued policy to support urban growth that<br />
is based on the Balanced Regional Development argument (counterweight to <strong>Dublin</strong>) carries a<br />
degree <strong>of</strong> risk if it fails. For a start, the political support to divert resources from the East to the<br />
West that is seemingly taken for granted, may not always continue in the future. It takes<br />
approximately ten years before changed population patterns are reflected in voting patterns. An<br />
increased political concentration <strong>of</strong> voters towards the Eastern urban corridor is likely to result<br />
from current population growth patterns (Box 1). A significant shift <strong>of</strong> population from a rural<br />
based Ireland to an urban based Ireland will therefore more than likely result in different<br />
loyalties and priorities. Also, there may be dwindling political support for policies that prevent<br />
successful urban centres growing where such growth initiatives are contrary to <strong>of</strong>ficial NSS<br />
policies. As so <strong>of</strong>ten shown in the past, planning policies that have the effect to frustrate<br />
entrepreneurial activity are usually doomed to fail in the long run. In a sense it could be said<br />
that the gateway policy in the NSS has concentrated on the ‘weak pupils in the class’ thereby<br />
reducing the rate <strong>of</strong> return on public investment. Of all the counties, between 2002 and 2006<br />
the counties that grew fastest were the counties without gateways and counties with gateways<br />
grew slowest (Box 2).<br />
Box 1 - The Constituency ‘Time Bomb’<br />
Despite the GDA’s (<strong>Dublin</strong>, Kildare, Meath and Wicklow) 2006 census population share <strong>of</strong> 39.2%<br />
<strong>of</strong> State, both the main political parties’ first preference regional vote in the recent General<br />
Election reflect a markedly lower share: Fianna Fail obtained 34.5% and Fine Gael got only<br />
28.2%. Such level <strong>of</strong> support reflects their rural-centricity focus <strong>of</strong> strategic policies; for parties<br />
that have never espoused the cause <strong>of</strong> cities, especially that <strong>of</strong> <strong>Dublin</strong>. The 2006 census also<br />
confirmed that two <strong>Dublin</strong> constituencies had breached the 30,000 upper population limit.<br />
Furthermore, the GDA as a whole is underrepresented in the number <strong>of</strong> TDs. Consequently,<br />
there is an in-built time lag <strong>of</strong> 5 to 10 years before population growth is reflected in like<br />
parliamentary representation. Inevitably, this will likely result in a sea change with a sudden<br />
‘flip’ towards urban-infused values.<br />
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