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TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology

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‘transversal’ links running in an West-East direction linking potentially all parts <strong>of</strong> Ireland to the<br />

Eastern corridor within a 40 minute travel time.<br />

Based on a strong linear urban corridor along the East coast, all <strong>of</strong> the population centres in the<br />

remainder <strong>of</strong> Ireland could have a shorter travel distance from a city that forms part <strong>of</strong> this<br />

corridor than currently achieved in relation to <strong>Dublin</strong>. It would require transversal connections.<br />

Instead <strong>of</strong> attempting to shorten travel times from gateway cities in the West <strong>of</strong> Ireland to<br />

<strong>Dublin</strong> by improving the radial transport network, transversal infrastructure links would be<br />

developed that result in a 40 minute travel time to the corridor. For example: Sligo to Dundalk,<br />

Cork to Waterford and so on.<br />

There is also a serious concern that planning policies that ‘fight trends’ are <strong>of</strong>ten doomed to<br />

fail. It is plausible, for example, to suggest that a continued policy to support urban growth that<br />

is based on the Balanced Regional Development argument (counterweight to <strong>Dublin</strong>) carries a<br />

degree <strong>of</strong> risk if it fails. For a start, the political support to divert resources from the East to the<br />

West that is seemingly taken for granted, may not always continue in the future. It takes<br />

approximately ten years before changed population patterns are reflected in voting patterns. An<br />

increased political concentration <strong>of</strong> voters towards the Eastern urban corridor is likely to result<br />

from current population growth patterns (Box 1). A significant shift <strong>of</strong> population from a rural<br />

based Ireland to an urban based Ireland will therefore more than likely result in different<br />

loyalties and priorities. Also, there may be dwindling political support for policies that prevent<br />

successful urban centres growing where such growth initiatives are contrary to <strong>of</strong>ficial NSS<br />

policies. As so <strong>of</strong>ten shown in the past, planning policies that have the effect to frustrate<br />

entrepreneurial activity are usually doomed to fail in the long run. In a sense it could be said<br />

that the gateway policy in the NSS has concentrated on the ‘weak pupils in the class’ thereby<br />

reducing the rate <strong>of</strong> return on public investment. Of all the counties, between 2002 and 2006<br />

the counties that grew fastest were the counties without gateways and counties with gateways<br />

grew slowest (Box 2).<br />

Box 1 - The Constituency ‘Time Bomb’<br />

Despite the GDA’s (<strong>Dublin</strong>, Kildare, Meath and Wicklow) 2006 census population share <strong>of</strong> 39.2%<br />

<strong>of</strong> State, both the main political parties’ first preference regional vote in the recent General<br />

Election reflect a markedly lower share: Fianna Fail obtained 34.5% and Fine Gael got only<br />

28.2%. Such level <strong>of</strong> support reflects their rural-centricity focus <strong>of</strong> strategic policies; for parties<br />

that have never espoused the cause <strong>of</strong> cities, especially that <strong>of</strong> <strong>Dublin</strong>. The 2006 census also<br />

confirmed that two <strong>Dublin</strong> constituencies had breached the 30,000 upper population limit.<br />

Furthermore, the GDA as a whole is underrepresented in the number <strong>of</strong> TDs. Consequently,<br />

there is an in-built time lag <strong>of</strong> 5 to 10 years before population growth is reflected in like<br />

parliamentary representation. Inevitably, this will likely result in a sea change with a sudden<br />

‘flip’ towards urban-infused values.<br />

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