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TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology

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Executive Summary<br />

Introduction<br />

All areas <strong>of</strong> Irish life have been deeply transformed over the past 15 years; nonetheless, as<br />

the entire world progresses rapidly, Irish gateway cities and towns face even more pr<strong>of</strong>ound<br />

changes that will bring radical transformations to their spatial structure and socio-cultural<br />

composition.<br />

The Futures Academy, in conjunction with the School <strong>of</strong> Spatial Planning, at <strong>Dublin</strong> <strong>Institute</strong><br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>Technology</strong>, and commissioned by the Urban Forum, conducted this study to instigate a<br />

discussion about the long-term future <strong>of</strong> Irish gateways, explore possible future<br />

alternatives, and additionally, encourage future-oriented collaboration between the<br />

stakeholders in the gateways.<br />

Methodology<br />

In an environment <strong>of</strong> growing complexity, heightened uncertainty and a quickening pace <strong>of</strong><br />

change, the planners and decision-makers face a difficult and complicated task <strong>of</strong> preparing<br />

for the future. However, as failures <strong>of</strong> the traditional planning practice become more<br />

apparent, more imaginative and innovative future-oriented approaches are being<br />

increasingly used.<br />

The adoption <strong>of</strong> futures methods, such as the Prospective Through Scenarios approach used<br />

in this study, and its integration into city planning <strong>of</strong>fers a rigorous, systematic and<br />

comprehensive approach for the exploration <strong>of</strong> possible future alternatives and the<br />

identification <strong>of</strong> preferred future options. It can also constitute an effective platform for<br />

collaborative planning.<br />

Context<br />

Places<br />

The contemporary pattern <strong>of</strong> spatial development, both globally and locally, is<br />

characterised by an uneven distribution <strong>of</strong> prosperity and well-being on a spatial and social<br />

level. Successful regions usually constitute large metropolitan regions, intermediate<br />

industrial regions or tourist regions.<br />

The prevailing economic model places localities and regions in direct competition with each<br />

other, both globally and nationally, which in turn, forces them to develop competitive<br />

advantages.<br />

In the highly urbanised parts <strong>of</strong> the world, a new phenomenon <strong>of</strong> the polycentric mega-city<br />

region is emerging.<br />

The National Development Strategy, by Colin Buchanan and Partners, published in 1968,<br />

recommended the creation <strong>of</strong> a hierarchy <strong>of</strong> growth centres into which a key infrastructure<br />

and amenities were to be directed. However, the strategy was rejected by the government<br />

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