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PROSPECTS<br />

Ireland takes a lead in seeking limited reform <strong>of</strong> EU institutions: the establishment <strong>of</strong> a European<br />

Security Council; agreement as to a common border; the reduction <strong>of</strong> powers <strong>of</strong> the Commission<br />

and the European Court <strong>of</strong> Justice; and the introduction <strong>of</strong> regulations restricting the freedom <strong>of</strong><br />

movement and in-migration.<br />

As a result <strong>of</strong> China reneging on a series <strong>of</strong> social, political and economic agreements, the Euro<br />

devalues against the dollar, trade barriers develop, and Ireland contemplates joining the sterling<br />

currency mechanism.<br />

Political policy centres around ‘grey power’ as Ireland ages.<br />

Teenage anarchists proliferate in Irish society, subverting previous societal protocols and policies<br />

through internet activism.<br />

The IFSC faces meltdown as waves <strong>of</strong> hot money flow around the world’s capital markets, seeking<br />

better returns, but moved in ignorance <strong>of</strong> the risk entailed.<br />

Organised crime grows throughout the Gateway towns and cities, and criminal fraternities control<br />

several, municipal authorities and chambers <strong>of</strong> commerce.<br />

Different local authorities throughout Ireland seek different civic solutions with different<br />

administrative frameworks and regulations, creating a new range <strong>of</strong> fracture lines.<br />

Fortress communities are established around and within the Gateways as law and order is<br />

threatened in inner urban areas.<br />

Incomes and living conditions decline in rural Ireland, and health conditions deteriorate in the<br />

most deprived areas.<br />

Severe flooding is experiences in low-lying coastal regions.<br />

Trade Unions strive to limit the power <strong>of</strong> the government and the market, and build economic<br />

and social trust, but little progress is made and Irish industry moves inexorably into a state <strong>of</strong><br />

disarray.<br />

Transnational corporations clash with the remnants <strong>of</strong> national government, and seek to exercise<br />

influence at local level through corruption.<br />

The media encourage fear <strong>of</strong> diversity.<br />

There is a rollback <strong>of</strong> public sector reform, with the needs <strong>of</strong> security prevailing over those <strong>of</strong><br />

accountability, transparency and efficiency.<br />

Information is increasingly sparse and unreliable, with communications networks spasmodic and<br />

unsound.<br />

There is a massive upsurge in the ‘culture industry’, with a rising demand for Irish art, crafts,<br />

music, dance and literature.<br />

Self-sufficient sustainable communities start to be established along the South and West coasts <strong>of</strong><br />

Ireland.<br />

Growing risk aversion prevails, with a fear <strong>of</strong> the future, and a ‘back to roots’ intolerance,<br />

manifesting itself in a gender backlash, intergenerational conflict and creeping racism.<br />

Disenfranchised and disadvantaged voices grow louder, but there is no one to listen.<br />

Some signs <strong>of</strong> a renaissance in social and ecological awareness are just beginning to show, with a<br />

belief in personal responsibility and civic solidarity, and a tolerance towards cultural diversity.<br />

128

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