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TWICE THE SIZE - DIT Update - Dublin Institute of Technology

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TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />

Table <strong>of</strong> Contents 10<br />

List <strong>of</strong> Tables 12<br />

List <strong>of</strong> Figures 12<br />

Executive Summary 13<br />

PART I: Introduction, Methodology and Context 23<br />

1 Introduction 23<br />

1.1 Project Aim and Objectives 23<br />

1.2 Scope 24<br />

1.3 Outcomes 25<br />

1.4 Project Participants 26<br />

2 Methodology 27<br />

2.1 The Need for a Futures Approach 27<br />

2.2 Methodology <strong>of</strong> the Study 29<br />

2.2.1 Prospective Through Scenarios Process 30<br />

2.2.2 Methods and Techniques 36<br />

2.2.3 The Facilitation <strong>of</strong> Collaborative Stakeholders 38<br />

3 Changing Ireland – the Context 39<br />

3.1 Places 39<br />

3.1.1 Space and Economy 39<br />

3.1.2 Evolution <strong>of</strong> Irish Spatial and Land-Use Policy 41<br />

3.1.3 Current Spatial Trends in the EU and Ireland 45<br />

3.2 People 49<br />

3.2.1 Doubling <strong>of</strong> the Population 49<br />

3.2.2 <strong>Dublin</strong> and the Gateways – Issues <strong>of</strong> Scale 52<br />

3.2.3 Values and Society 55<br />

3.3 Potential 62<br />

PART II: Exploring the Future 67<br />

4 The Strategic Question 67<br />

5 Driving Forces <strong>of</strong> Change 67<br />

5.1 21 st Century Challenges 67<br />

5.2 Driving Forces <strong>of</strong> Change, Issues and Trends 70<br />

6 Scenario Logics 100<br />

10

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