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Grand Mesa, Uncompahgre and Gunnison National Forest Watershed Vulnerability Assessment, Rocky<br />

Mountain Region (R2)<br />

revision, but is currently available, and has been added to the suite of factors evaluated for this sensitivity.<br />

The list of factors evaluated for erosion or sediment production sensitivity include those listed below.<br />

1. Erosion Risk Rating – percent of severe and very severe erosion risk classes by subwatershed.<br />

This was derived from Kw factor (from soil survey data) and prevailing slope. The Kw factor is<br />

an indication of susceptibility of a soil to sheet and rill erosion by water, based on soil<br />

composition, structure, and permeability. The erosion risk rating was considered to be a stressor.<br />

2. Runoff potential – percent of subwatershed in Hydrologic Group D. Runoff potential is<br />

determined by soil infiltration capacity after prolonged wetting, permeability, depth to water<br />

table, and depth to restrictive or impervious layer. Soils with the highest potential for runoff are<br />

identified as Hydrologic Group D in soil survey data. Runoff potential was considered to be a<br />

stressor.<br />

3. Rainfall Intensity Factor – weighted average for each subwatershed. The rainfall intensity factor<br />

was derived from the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) R factor from PRISM data<br />

(obtained from Oregon State University). When other factors remain constant, soil loss is directly<br />

proportional to a rainfall factor related to the total quantity and intensity of rainfall. The RUSLE<br />

R factor is the average annual product of kinetic energy and maximum 30-minute rainfall<br />

intensity. The rainfall factor was considered to be a stressor. Based on the prediction that storm<br />

intensity is likely to increase, this factor is expected to increase in the future.<br />

4. Stream density – total miles of perennial and intermittent streams per square miles of<br />

subwatershed. This factor characterizes the degree of dissection and network transport capacity<br />

for both runoff and sediment. The higher the stream density, the larger the amount of sediment<br />

that may be moved through a subwatershed. Stream density was considered to be a stressor.<br />

5. Hydrologic Response Channels – percent of total stream network that is a response channel,<br />

compared to the total perennial and intermittent stream network in a subwatershed. Response<br />

channels are streams of third order or higher, with a gradient less than or equal to 1.5%,<br />

containing alluvial channel material, and classified as a Rosgen stream type of C, D or E.<br />

Response channels could be considered either buffers or stressors, depending on the situation.<br />

Response channels would be buffers in the situation where sediment is deposited in these areas<br />

and prevented from moving downstream. Response channels could also be added stressors<br />

because of the sediment loads they may retain, which under intense storms with high runoff could<br />

be released to impact downstream locations.<br />

6. Mass wasting potential – percent of a subwatershed with high mass wasting potential. Areas<br />

with mass wasting potential include areas with identified geological instability and areas with<br />

potential for mass wasting based on presence of vulnerable sedimentary geology and slopes<br />

greater than 50 percent. This factor was considered a stressor.<br />

Values for each of the individual factors listed above were calculated and then standardized for each<br />

factor (as described above for the values). The overall erosion or sediment potential sensitivity ranking<br />

was determined by adding the individual factor standardized ratings together for each subwatershed. The<br />

resulting Erosion Sensitivity Rankings were classified into quartiles. The top 25% were classified 3<br />

(high), middle 50% were classified 2 (moderate), and lowest 25% were classified 1 (low). Figure 21<br />

shows the resulting Erosion Sensitivity Ranking.<br />

92 Assessing the Vulnerability of Watersheds to Climate Change

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