watervulnerability

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Helena National Forest Watershed Vulnerability Assessment, Northern Region (R1) Composite Watershed Vulnerability Watershed vulnerability was determined by overlaying the sensitivity analysis with the exposure analysis. Watersheds with include high value infrastructure and high sensitivity that also had highest risk of snowpack loss where rated as most vulnerable. The most vulnerable watersheds (Figures 9 and 10) are found in the northernmost section of the forest where changes in winter snowpack possibly resulting in rain on snow events pose the highest risk to forest infrastructure. Figure 9. Watershed vulnerability with regards to forest infrastructure is based on watershed sensitivity and exposure results for the 2030-2059 time periods 60 Assessing the Vulnerability of Watersheds to Climate Change

Helena National Forest Watershed Vulnerability Assessment, Northern Region (R1) Figure 10. Watershed vulnerability with regards to forest infrastructure is based on watershed sensitivity and exposure results for the 2070-2099 time periods CONNECTIONS TO OTHER ASSESSMENTS AND POTENTIAL APPLICATIONS • The WVA will provide a basis for incorporating climate change considerations into project planning and implementation. Identified climate change considerations may also be designed into forest plan desired conditions, objectives, and standards and guidelines. • Information from the WVA, while not specifically part of the watershed condition framework, can be used to help identify priority watersheds for future restoration activities. • Completing the WVA will aide in the completion of the climate change scorecard. The WVA analysis helps fulfill element 6 (vulnerability assessment), element 7 (adaptation activities), and element 8 (monitoring). • The WVA utilized work done by the Fisheries Watershed Baseline for the bull trout and Cutthroat trout sensitivity analysis. CRITIQUE What important questions were not considered? 1. The watershed vulnerability assessment focused only on water resources and did not consider predicted changes to terrestrial resources. While this analysis was designed to focus on water resources, composite effects on terrestrial ecosystems can have significant influence on watershed hydrology. 2. Did not account for all resilience factors and did not use all climate exposure factors, including flow metrics. 61 Assessing the Vulnerability of Watersheds to Climate Change

Helena National Forest Watershed Vulnerability Assessment, Northern Region (R1)<br />

Composite Watershed Vulnerability<br />

Watershed vulnerability was determined by overlaying the sensitivity analysis with the exposure analysis.<br />

Watersheds with include high value infrastructure and high sensitivity that also had highest risk of<br />

snowpack loss where rated as most vulnerable. The most vulnerable watersheds (Figures 9 and 10) are<br />

found in the northernmost section of the forest where changes in winter snowpack possibly resulting in<br />

rain on snow events pose the highest risk to forest infrastructure.<br />

Figure 9. Watershed vulnerability with regards to forest infrastructure is based on<br />

watershed sensitivity and exposure results for the 2030-2059 time periods<br />

60 Assessing the Vulnerability of Watersheds to Climate Change

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