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Sawtooth National Forest Watershed Vulnerability Assessment, Intermountain Region (R4)<br />

Summer Water Temperatures (Maximum weekly maximum temperature)<br />

The temperature model predicts that summer maximum weekly maximum water temperatures will see a<br />

steady increase over the next 70 years (0.9 o C in 2033, 1.1 o C in 2040, 1.7 o C in 2058, and 2.5 o C in 2080)<br />

on the Sawtooth NRA. As a result, bull trout habitat within the 15 o C optimal temperature range will see a<br />

steady decrease. The stream temperature model currently projects that 102 miles of bull trout habitat<br />

within optimal temperatures exist across the Sawtooth NRA. Suitable habitat will see a slight decrease to<br />

100 miles by 2040, but a substantial decrease (35%) to 66.7 miles by 2080 (Figures 12 and 13).<br />

Figure 12. Available thermal bull trout habitat in<br />

Valley Creek on the Sawtooth NRA in 2008.<br />

Streams with optimal temperatures are portrayed in<br />

purple and those outside optimal range in red.<br />

172 Assessing the Vulnerability of Watersheds to Climate Change<br />

Figure 13. Available thermal bull trout habitat in<br />

Valley Creek on the Sawtooth NRA in 2080.<br />

Streams with optimal temperatures are portrayed in<br />

purple and those outside optimal range in red.

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