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Research Methodology - Dr. Krishan K. Pandey

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Testing of Hypotheses-II 287<br />

Table 12.1<br />

By X 1 0 2 3 1 0 2 2 3 0 1 1 4 1 2 1 3 5 2 1 3 2 4 1 3 2 0 2 4 2<br />

By Y 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 0 2 2 6 0 2 3 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 0<br />

Sign + 0 + + – 0 + + + – + 0 + 0 + + + + – + + – + – + + – + + +<br />

(X – Y)<br />

Total Number of + signs = 20<br />

Total Number of – signs = 6<br />

Hence, sample size = 26<br />

(Since there are 4 zeros in the sign row and as such four pairs are discarded, we are left with<br />

30 – 4 = 26.)<br />

Thus the observed proportion of pluses (or successes) in the sample is = 20/26 = 0.7692 and the<br />

observed proportion of minuses (or failures) in the sample is = 6/26 = 0.2308.<br />

As we are to test the null hypothesis that the two archaeologists X and Y are equally good and if<br />

that is so, the number of pluses and minuses should be equal and as such p = 1/2 and q = 1/2. Hence,<br />

the standard error of proportion of successes, given the null hypothesis and the size of the sample, we<br />

have:<br />

p ⋅ q ×<br />

σ prop. = = = 0. 0981<br />

n 26<br />

Since the alternative hypothesis is that the archaeologists X is better (or p > 1/2), we find one<br />

tailed test is appropriate. This can be indicated as under, applying normal approximation to binomial<br />

distribution in the given case:<br />

p = 1/2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

Fig. 12.2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

0.49 of area<br />

0.7276<br />

p + 2.32 ( prop)<br />

Limit<br />

(Shaded area represents<br />

rejection region)<br />

0.01 of area

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