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Research Methodology - Dr. Krishan K. Pandey

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Testing of Hypotheses I 217<br />

Solution: Let the sales before campaign be represented as X and the sales after campaign as Y and<br />

then taking the null hypothesis that campaign does not bring any improvement in sales, we can write:<br />

H 0 : μ μ<br />

1 2<br />

= which is equivalent to test H : D = 0<br />

H : μ μ<br />

a 1< 2 (as we want to conclude that campaign has been a success).<br />

Because of the matched pairs we use paired t-test and work out the test statistic ‘t’ as under:<br />

diff<br />

0<br />

D − 0<br />

t =<br />

σ . / n<br />

To find the value of t, we first work out the mean and standard deviation of differences as under:<br />

Table 9.9<br />

Shops Sales before Sales after Difference Difference<br />

campaign campaign squared<br />

X i Y i (D i = X i – Y i ) D i 2<br />

A 53 58 –5 25<br />

B 28 29 –1 1<br />

C 31 30 1 1<br />

D 48 55 –7 49<br />

E 50 56 –6 36<br />

F 42 45 –3 9<br />

2<br />

n = 6 ∑ Di = −21<br />

∑ Di = 121<br />

∴ D<br />

σ diff<br />

.<br />

Di<br />

=<br />

n<br />

∑<br />

= ∑ − ⋅<br />

21<br />

=− =−35<br />

.<br />

6<br />

di b g<br />

2 2 2<br />

i<br />

.<br />

D D n<br />

=<br />

n − 1<br />

− −<br />

Hence, t = = − 35 . 0 35 .<br />

=−2.<br />

784<br />

308 . / 6 1257 .<br />

121 − − 35 × 6<br />

= 308 .<br />

6 − 1<br />

Degrees of freedom = (n – 1) = 6 – 1 = 5<br />

As H a is one-sided, we shall apply a one-tailed test (in the left tail because H a is of less than type)<br />

for determining the rejection region at 5 per cent level of significance which come to as under, using<br />

table of t-distribution for 5 degrees of freedom:<br />

R : t < – 2.015<br />

The observed value of t is – 2.784 which falls in the rejection region and thus, we reject H 0 at 5<br />

per cent level and conclude that sales promotional campaign has been a success.

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