Research Methodology - Dr. Krishan K. Pandey
Research Methodology - Dr. Krishan K. Pandey Research Methodology - Dr. Krishan K. Pandey
Sampling Fundamentals 175 (v) Standard of accuracy and acceptable confidence level: If the standard of acuracy or the level of precision is to be kept high, we shall require relatively larger sample. For doubling the accuracy for a fixed significance level, the sample size has to be increased fourfold. (vi) Availability of finance: In prctice, size of the sample depends upon the amount of money available for the study purposes. This factor should be kept in view while determining the size of sample for large samples result in increasing the cost of sampling estimates. (vii) Other considerations: Nature of units, size of the population, size of questionnaire, availability of trained investigators, the conditions under which the sample is being conducted, the time available for completion of the study are a few other considerations to which a researcher must pay attention while selecting the size of the sample. There are two alternative approaches for determining the size of the sample. The first approach is “to specify the precision of estimation desired and then to determine the sample size necessary to insure it” and the second approach “uses Bayesian statistics to weigh the cost of additional information against the expected value of the additional information.” 7 The first approach is capable of giving a mathematical solution, and as such is a frequently used technique of determining ‘n’. The limitation of this technique is that it does not analyse the cost of gathering information vis-a-vis the expected value of information. The second approach is theoretically optimal, but it is seldom used because of the difficulty involved in measuring the value of information. Hence, we shall mainly concentrate here on the first approach. DETERMINATION OF SAMPLE SIZE THROUGH THE APPROACH BASED ON PRECISION RATE AND CONFIDENCE LEVEL To begin with, it can be stated that whenever a sample study is made, there arises some sampling error which can be controlled by selecting a sample of adequate size. Researcher will have to specify the precision that he wants in respect of his estimates concerning the population parameters. For instance, a researcher may like to estimate the mean of the universe within ± 3 of the true mean with 95 per cent confidence. In this case we will say that the desired precision is ± 3, i.e., if the sample mean is Rs 100, the true value of the mean will be no less than Rs 97 and no more than Rs 103. In other words, all this means that the acceptable error, e, is equal to 3. Keeping this in view, we can now explain the determination of sample size so that specified precision is ensured. (a) Sample size when estimating a mean: The confidence interval for the universe mean, μ , is given by p X ± z n σ where X = sample mean; z = the value of the standard variate at a given confidence level (to be read from the table giving the areas under normal curve as shown in appendix) and it is 1.96 for a 95% confidence level; n = size of the sample; 7 Rodney D. Johnson and Bernard R. Siskih, Quantitative Techniques for Business Decisions, p. 374–375.
176 Research Methodology σ p = standard deviation of the popultion (to be estimated from past experience or on the basis of a trial sample). Suppose, we have σ p = 48 . for our purpose. If the difference between μ and X or the acceptable error is to be kept with in ±3 of the sample mean with 95% confidence, then we can express the acceptable error, ‘e’ as equal to b g b g 2 2 p e = z⋅ n σ or 3 196 48 . = . n 196 . 48 . Hence, n = = 9834 . ≅ 10. 2 bg 3 In a general way, if we want to estimate μ in a population with standard deviation σ p with an error no greater than ‘e’ by calculating a confidence interval with confidence corresponding to z, the necessary sample size, n, equals as under: z σ n = 2 e All this is applicable whe the population happens to be infinite. Bu in case of finite population, the above stated formula for determining sample size will become n = 2 2 2 2* p 2 2 2 σ p z ⋅ N ⋅σ b g N− 1 e + z * In case of finite population the confidence interval for μ is given by σ b g X ± z p × n N −n bN − 1g where bN −ng bN − 1 g is the finite population multiplier and all other terms mean the same thing as stated above. If the precision is taken as equal to ‘e’ then we have σ p bN −ng e = z × n N − 1 b g σ 2 2 p N −n or e = z × n N − 1 b g or 2 e N − 1 z = σ p N z − n σ p n n or 2 2 2 e bN − 1g + z σ p 2 2 z σ p N = n 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 z ⋅ σ p ⋅ N or n = e N − 1 + z σ or n = b g 2 2 2 p 2 z ⋅ 2 N ⋅σ p 2 2 2 N − 1 e + z σ p b g This is how we obtain the above stated formula for determining ‘n’ in the case of infinite population given the precision and confidence level.
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Sampling Fundamentals 175<br />
(v) Standard of accuracy and acceptable confidence level: If the standard of acuracy or<br />
the level of precision is to be kept high, we shall require relatively larger sample. For<br />
doubling the accuracy for a fixed significance level, the sample size has to be increased<br />
fourfold.<br />
(vi) Availability of finance: In prctice, size of the sample depends upon the amount of money<br />
available for the study purposes. This factor should be kept in view while determining the<br />
size of sample for large samples result in increasing the cost of sampling estimates.<br />
(vii) Other considerations: Nature of units, size of the population, size of questionnaire, availability<br />
of trained investigators, the conditions under which the sample is being conducted, the time<br />
available for completion of the study are a few other considerations to which a researcher<br />
must pay attention while selecting the size of the sample.<br />
There are two alternative approaches for determining the size of the sample. The first approach<br />
is “to specify the precision of estimation desired and then to determine the sample size necessary to<br />
insure it” and the second approach “uses Bayesian statistics to weigh the cost of additional information<br />
against the expected value of the additional information.” 7 The first approach is capable of giving a<br />
mathematical solution, and as such is a frequently used technique of determining ‘n’. The limitation<br />
of this technique is that it does not analyse the cost of gathering information vis-a-vis the expected<br />
value of information. The second approach is theoretically optimal, but it is seldom used because of<br />
the difficulty involved in measuring the value of information. Hence, we shall mainly concentrate<br />
here on the first approach.<br />
DETERMINATION OF SAMPLE SIZE THROUGH THE APPROACH<br />
BASED ON PRECISION RATE AND CONFIDENCE LEVEL<br />
To begin with, it can be stated that whenever a sample study is made, there arises some sampling<br />
error which can be controlled by selecting a sample of adequate size. <strong>Research</strong>er will have to<br />
specify the precision that he wants in respect of his estimates concerning the population parameters.<br />
For instance, a researcher may like to estimate the mean of the universe within ± 3 of the true mean<br />
with 95 per cent confidence. In this case we will say that the desired precision is ± 3, i.e., if the<br />
sample mean is Rs 100, the true value of the mean will be no less than Rs 97 and no more than<br />
Rs 103. In other words, all this means that the acceptable error, e, is equal to 3. Keeping this in view,<br />
we can now explain the determination of sample size so that specified precision is ensured.<br />
(a) Sample size when estimating a mean: The confidence interval for the universe mean, μ , is<br />
given by<br />
p<br />
X ± z<br />
n<br />
σ<br />
where X = sample mean;<br />
z = the value of the standard variate at a given confidence level (to be read from the table<br />
giving the areas under normal curve as shown in appendix) and it is 1.96 for a 95%<br />
confidence level;<br />
n = size of the sample;<br />
7 Rodney D. Johnson and Bernard R. Siskih, Quantitative Techniques for Business Decisions, p. 374–375.