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Annex 5: United Nations Security Council Resolution 1874 (2009)

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India: more stakes in this crisis than would appear initially<br />

It has been argued that these developments in Northeast Asia have little relevance to India<br />

and South Asia. But according to the Indian analyst Chari, this comforting thesis is seriously<br />

flawed. North Korea’s aberrant behaviour threatens to unravel the international nonproliferation<br />

regime. The linkage, for example, between Pyongyang and Islamabad—both<br />

blatant proliferators—could strengthen in future. These general possibilities would have<br />

profound implications for India’s national security. Three particular developments, which,<br />

admittedly, lay out worst case scenarios are of special significance. First, North Korea’s<br />

intransigence will boost Iran’s nuclear ambitions, and encourage its exercise of the nuclear<br />

option, sooner rather than later. An unbroken chain of nuclear weapon states would then be<br />

established extending from Pyongyang to Beijing to Islamabad, New Delhi and Teheran.<br />

This proliferation chain would, almost inevitably, extend further into the Gulf and Middle<br />

East region. Second, a quantum increase in the number of nuclear armed countries in India’s<br />

neighbourhood raises the spectre of nuclear weapons being used in anger, but also the<br />

possibility of nuclear accidents rising exponentially, and the likelihood of these weapons<br />

falling into the hands of non-state actors. Third, the long-standing and close nuclear and<br />

missile transfer relationship between North Korea & Pakistan is well documented. Currently,<br />

both North Korea and Pakistan are currently being subjected to minute scrutiny, but their<br />

past ingenuity suggests that their clandestine relationship could get revived. According to<br />

Chari, this must attract India’s serious concerns. India should pose some counterfactual<br />

questions to the <strong>United</strong> States, China and Russia: “How could the financial instrumentality be<br />

fashioned to halt North Korea’s nuclear program? If this is considered impractical, why is this policy<br />

being pursued with Pakistan? If North Korea and Pakistan continue with their nuclear programs, how<br />

is it proposed to persuade Tehran to forsake its own nuclear quest” (Chari, <strong>2009</strong>: 8-9).<br />

Russian Federation: Many Goals, Little Activity<br />

The relations between the DPRK and the<br />

Russian Federation are less close<br />

compared to the relation China-North<br />

Korea, but there is a clear mutual<br />

understanding about the importance of<br />

containing US influence in the region<br />

and the world. The interests of Russia,<br />

China in the North Korean issue are<br />

relatively recent, having been triggered<br />

by the nuclear crises with North Korea<br />

of 1993 and 2002. Along with China,<br />

Russia is the only country in the Six-<br />

Party Talks (SPT) that maintains<br />

diplomatic relations with all of the other<br />

participants. Russia contributed to<br />

resolving the dispute between the US Treasury and North Korea on the Banco Delta Asia in<br />

2006-2007 (De Ceuster and Melissen, 2008). The Russian Federation is often considered to be<br />

the weakest party within the Six-Party Talks. Initially, Russia was not even supposed to have<br />

a role at all in the Five-Party Talks that the <strong>United</strong> States had planned to start in 2003; it was<br />

only by North Korean pressure that Russia was invited to join the talks as the sixth party.<br />

This does not mean, however, that Russia did not have any role of importance during the<br />

negotiations, but Russia’s role has been important for only two of the six countries involved:<br />

North Korea; and Russia itself. After Vladimir Putin became the Russian President in 2000<br />

that friendly relations between Russia and North Korea were re-established to some extent,<br />

© <strong>2009</strong> – Dr. D. Criekemans – Negotiations in UNSC on the continuing security provocations by North Korea 24

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