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Chapter 4 Networks in Their Surrounding Contexts - Cornell University

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102 CHAPTER 4. NETWORKS IN THEIR SURROUNDING CONTEXTS<br />

prob. of l<strong>in</strong>k formation<br />

0.0005<br />

0.0004<br />

0.0003<br />

0.0002<br />

0.0001<br />

0<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5<br />

number of common foci<br />

Figure 4.10: Quantify<strong>in</strong>g the effects of focal closure <strong>in</strong> an e-mail dataset [259]. Aga<strong>in</strong>, the<br />

curve determ<strong>in</strong>ed from the data is shown <strong>in</strong> the solid black l<strong>in</strong>e, while the dotted curve<br />

provides a comparison to a simple basel<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

Focal and Membership Closure. Us<strong>in</strong>g the same approach, we can compute probabilities<br />

for the other k<strong>in</strong>ds of closure discussed earlier — specifically,<br />

• focal closure: what is the probability that two people form a l<strong>in</strong>k as a function of the<br />

number of foci they are jo<strong>in</strong>tly affiliated with?<br />

• membership closure: what is the probability that a person becomes <strong>in</strong>volved with a<br />

particular focus as a function of the number of friends who are already <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> it?<br />

As an example of the first of these k<strong>in</strong>ds of closure, us<strong>in</strong>g Figure 4.8, Anna and Grace have<br />

one activity <strong>in</strong> common while Anna and Frank have two <strong>in</strong> common. As an example of the<br />

second, Esther has one friend who belongs to the karate club while Claire has two. How do<br />

these dist<strong>in</strong>ctions affect the formation of new l<strong>in</strong>ks?<br />

For focal closure, Koss<strong>in</strong>ets and Watts supplemented their university e-mail dataset with<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation about the class schedules for each student. In this way, each class became a<br />

focus, and two students shared a focus if they had taken a class together. They could then<br />

compute the probability of focal closure by direct analogy with their computation for triadic<br />

closure, determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the probability of l<strong>in</strong>k formation per day as a function of the number of<br />

shared foci. Figure 4.10 shows a plot of this function. A s<strong>in</strong>gle shared class turns out to have<br />

roughly the same absolute effect on l<strong>in</strong>k formation as a s<strong>in</strong>gle shared friend, but after this the

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