The Weakest Link of Kosovo's Democracy - KFOS

The Weakest Link of Kosovo's Democracy - KFOS The Weakest Link of Kosovo's Democracy - KFOS

11.01.2013 Views

10 “The aim is that, together with the assistance of the World Bank, guarantee international standards and as foreseen by the WB to start the big project, the highway”, The truth is quite different: the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund were highly critical of this project. The World Bank, in the document “Overview of public expenditures in Kosovo– June 2010, says: “There are many arguments to conclude that the use of budget for capital investments is carried out on subjective rather than objective basis. As consequence, a lot of money was spent in projects that bring low economic benefit!” “… the contract was concluded with a fixed price per unit, for a three year period, but the number of units (quantity) was not specified. Such contract should have the quantity defined, in order to reduce the risk taken by the Government” “… annual expenditures (145+400+300+180) will oblige the Government to conduct significant cuts in other road projects, in capital investments and development plans. Road maintenance has dropped significantly and will continue in this trend.” 6 Beginning of hyper capital expenditures made Kosovo redefine the need for management of public assets. Kosovo is spending more than it possesses. When you spend more than you have, you get in debt, and when you owe to somebody than you start bargaining with the property you have. And when the deal should be concluded quickly, due to constraint and in haste, then it becomes a last minute deal. Kosovo is faced with confronting trilogy: spending budget of 800- 900 million a year, highway amounting to one fourth of the GDP and the tendency to keep national assets. This is a luxury we cannot afford. We should either snip budget expenditures, or the highway, or national assets; in order to have more optimal output of economic performance in the end. We cannot have all three of them. The highway and the hyper-spent budget made Kosovo plan a primary deficit of 226 million euro. European Union has set maximal limit of budget deficit for all its member states, with special emphasis on countries using Euro, limitations known under the second Maastricht criteria, which clearly stresses that the budget deficit of a country must not be higher than 3% of the GDP. In 2011 Kosovo plans to have a deficit of 5% of the GDP of the country. These parameters obviously constitute a violation of the most important financial rules of the European Union, by even exceeding limitation of 66%. Such deficit is the main reason behind the haste to sell public assets. This haste will consequently result in self-devaluation. 7 Approval of PTK privatization with the Law on Budget was done without covering the deficit. It is against the Law on Management of Publically Owned Enterprises 03/L-087 and as such it is a dualism in Kosovan legislation. Even if there was no violation of lawfulness, wide consensus is required when selling national assets because, at the end of the day, the assets and the fortune of the country are not property of this or any other Government. The fortune of Kosovo was either given by God or we inherited it;

therefore, they also deserve more noble treatment than burrowing issues. Selling for debt and in haste is confirmed also in the agreement with the IMF. On 7 July 2010, the Government of the Republic signed the first Memorandum with the IMF. The Memorandum was highly appreciated by Kosovans. Article 5, in page four of this document, says “...moreover we will proceed with the PTK privatization in order to ensure deficit funding”. Article 11, on page 7, reads “...it is important that in order to cover the deficit, privatization should take place quickly...”. The same page, Article 12, reads “if revenues from the PTK privatization are less than 300 million, then the Government will take measures to increase other budget revenues”. Page 15, Table 1, row 13, provides the final value of the PTK and goes “privatization revenues are 300 million euro”. Unfortunately, the Memorandum with the IMF is not the only one determining revenues of 300 million and with this the PTK value. There is a whole range of other public documents that have done the same thing. Medium Term Expenditure Framework, published in June 2010, provides accurately and clearly the same amount. Page 9 of the document reads “...with inclusion of the highway project, great financing gap is generated. This is why PTK is expected to be privatized by the end of 2010”. Page 19, Table 6, row 11, determined the expected amount “...revenues from privatization: 300 million”. The first draft budget of 2010 makes the same valuation. Now, if we have signed an agreement where we publically say in three articles that (one) we are selling to cover the deficit, (two) we are selling in haste and (three) we expect 300 million or maybe even less then we have done nothing else but the selfdevaluation of the asset. 8 This brings us to the other non-optimal feature of this kind of privatization: failure of the market to determine its value. When selling hastily, ideas of setting the price by the market powers are unreal. Setting of the value of an asset by the market implies “ceteris-paribus” or keeping the influence of other factors zero. Market absorbs whatever you give to it. If you give to the market a well managed enterprise, without political interference, risk and haste free, then you get the best from the market, the realistic price. But, our country is not going through a period of par excellence image. Having said this, if you give to the market a badly managed enterprise, a risky market, an economy occupying the same level such as the one of Iran and Venezuela, a level of corruption similar to Djibouti and the Solomon Islands, a terrible image, a debt and an urgent need to cover the debt, then you have not been able to keep other factors at zero impact but you have produced serious barriers to achieving real market price; let us not say that you have done your utmost not to get it. If selling of the PTK is a necessity of some philosophical orientation, which we doubt it is, since at the end of the day government policies carry out nationalization of assets instead of property through combination Telecom-Highway; then it is right for the selling to take place without haste, not only for the sake of covering the debt, and at a more convenient time. Moreover, in order to avoid the damage of asset selfdevaluation, Kosovo should follow the example of Serbia in determining value minimal threshold, which is expected to be much higher than the planned 300 million. 11 The Weakest Link of Kosovo’s Democracy forum 2015

therefore, they also deserve more noble treatment than burrowing issues.<br />

Selling for debt and in haste is confirmed also in the agreement with the IMF. On 7<br />

July 2010, the Government <strong>of</strong> the Republic signed the first Memorandum with the<br />

IMF. <strong>The</strong> Memorandum was highly appreciated by Kosovans. Article 5, in page four <strong>of</strong><br />

this document, says “...moreover we will proceed with the PTK privatization in order<br />

to ensure deficit funding”. Article 11, on page 7, reads “...it is important that in order<br />

to cover the deficit, privatization should take place quickly...”. <strong>The</strong> same page, Article<br />

12, reads “if revenues from the PTK privatization are less than 300 million, then the<br />

Government will take measures to increase other budget revenues”. Page 15, Table 1,<br />

row 13, provides the final value <strong>of</strong> the PTK and goes “privatization revenues are 300<br />

million euro”. Unfortunately, the Memorandum with the IMF is not the only one determining<br />

revenues <strong>of</strong> 300 million and with this the PTK value. <strong>The</strong>re is a whole range<br />

<strong>of</strong> other public documents that have done the same thing. Medium Term Expenditure<br />

Framework, published in June 2010, provides accurately and clearly the same<br />

amount. Page 9 <strong>of</strong> the document reads “...with inclusion <strong>of</strong> the highway project, great<br />

financing gap is generated. This is why PTK is expected to be privatized by the end <strong>of</strong><br />

2010”. Page 19, Table 6, row 11, determined the expected amount “...revenues from<br />

privatization: 300 million”. <strong>The</strong> first draft budget <strong>of</strong> 2010 makes the same valuation.<br />

Now, if we have signed an agreement where we publically say in three articles that<br />

(one) we are selling to cover the deficit, (two) we are selling in haste and (three) we<br />

expect 300 million or maybe even less then we have done nothing else but the selfdevaluation<br />

<strong>of</strong> the asset.<br />

8<br />

This brings us to the other non-optimal feature <strong>of</strong> this kind <strong>of</strong> privatization: failure<br />

<strong>of</strong> the market to determine its value. When selling hastily, ideas <strong>of</strong> setting the price<br />

by the market powers are unreal. Setting <strong>of</strong> the value <strong>of</strong> an asset by the market implies<br />

“ceteris-paribus” or keeping the influence <strong>of</strong> other factors zero. Market absorbs<br />

whatever you give to it. If you give to the market a well managed enterprise, without<br />

political interference, risk and haste free, then you get the best from the market, the<br />

realistic price. But, our country is not going through a period <strong>of</strong> par excellence image.<br />

Having said this, if you give to the market a badly managed enterprise, a risky<br />

market, an economy occupying the same level such as the one <strong>of</strong> Iran and Venezuela,<br />

a level <strong>of</strong> corruption similar to Djibouti and the Solomon Islands, a terrible image, a<br />

debt and an urgent need to cover the debt, then you have not been able to keep other<br />

factors at zero impact but you have produced serious barriers to achieving real market<br />

price; let us not say that you have done your utmost not to get it.<br />

If selling <strong>of</strong> the PTK is a necessity <strong>of</strong> some philosophical orientation, which we doubt<br />

it is, since at the end <strong>of</strong> the day government policies carry out nationalization <strong>of</strong> assets<br />

instead <strong>of</strong> property through combination Telecom-Highway; then it is right for<br />

the selling to take place without haste, not only for the sake <strong>of</strong> covering the debt,<br />

and at a more convenient time. Moreover, in order to avoid the damage <strong>of</strong> asset selfdevaluation,<br />

Kosovo should follow the example <strong>of</strong> Serbia in determining value minimal<br />

threshold, which is expected to be much higher than the planned 300 million.<br />

11<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Weakest</strong> <strong>Link</strong> <strong>of</strong> Kosovo’s <strong>Democracy</strong><br />

forum 2015

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