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-430-<br />

which occurred in the real value of G.D.P. Unfortunately, due to<br />

the absence of reliable indices showing the development in the<br />

cost of living, the second phenomenon is not known.<br />

As can be observed from Annex 49, in some years the value of<br />

G.D.P. at factor cost (constant 1971 prices) even diminished.<br />

This was notably the case in 1975 and in 1977. <strong>The</strong> explanation<br />

lies in the declining activities in the export-oriented sector<br />

which since 1974 had continued to decline in real terms. In some<br />

years this declining output of the enclave or concession sector<br />

had been offset by the growth of the domestic-oriented sector.<br />

This can be observed in the years 1976, 1978 and 1979. However,<br />

figures for 1979 should be handled carefully since their reliability<br />

appears doubtful: how can it be explained that the total<br />

value of the output in the domestic sector is presented whereas<br />

the output of two of its four components is not known? This clearly<br />

confirms the "guesstimate" character of the calculation of<br />

G.D.P. referred to above.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Monetary Economy At <strong>The</strong> End Of <strong>The</strong> T970's'<br />

<strong>The</strong> decline of the export-oriented sector is linked to falling<br />

iron ore prices and the slump in the international steel market.<br />

In fact, the iron ore mining companies are facing a difficult<br />

future. In 1977 the oldest iron ore mine, L.M.C., pulled out after<br />

having produced iron ore since 1951. One of the three remaining<br />

companies in operation, the National Iron Ore Company, was in<br />

that year on the brink of bankruptcy as it had reached the point<br />

where it could no longer honour its debts. <strong>The</strong> Government, which<br />

holds 50 percent of the shares of this company, had to come to<br />

its rescue by granting overdraft facilities. In an attempt to<br />

solve its problems, the World Bank, at the end of the 1970's,<br />

considered assisting this majority Liberian owned mining company.<br />

In 1977 the N.I.O.C. could report a profit of almost $ 1.5 million<br />

but accumulated losses over the preceding five years amounted to<br />

nearly $ 5 million.<br />

<strong>The</strong> financial results of the two major iron ore mining companies<br />

(the LAMCO J.V. and the Bong Mining Company) cause even more concern<br />

as they are of much greater importance to the national economy.<br />

<strong>The</strong> former company reported a loss of about $ 16 million<br />

over 1978 whereas B.M.C, suffered a $ 20 million loss in that<br />

year. As the Government participates in both companies and as its<br />

income from these companies is based on profit sharing, the repercussions<br />

for the Liberian Treasury are obvious. Income from the<br />

iron ore mining companies still had contributed $ 28 million and<br />

$ 20 million to total Government Revenue in 1976 and 1977, respectively.<br />

With these losses reported for 1978, the Government's income<br />

from the iron ore sector in 1978 may not exceed about $ 10<br />

million of which approximately $ 7 million will consist of royalty<br />

payments by the companies. Government's revenues in the coming<br />

years look grim as the companies will carry forward these losses<br />

of 1978 whereas the end of the international recession is not yet<br />

in sight.<br />

Thus, the share of the iron ore mining companies in G.D.P. fell

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