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Down to the wire : confronting climate collapse / David - Index of

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late-night thoughts about democracy S 55<br />

<strong>of</strong> severity as changes grow more pronounced. Survivors <strong>of</strong> <strong>collapse</strong>d<br />

societies could migrate elsewhere—an option less available<br />

<strong>to</strong> those in <strong>the</strong> long emergency. Moreover, because <strong>the</strong>y were relatively<br />

isolated, <strong>the</strong> <strong>collapse</strong> <strong>of</strong> any one did not necessarily affect<br />

o<strong>the</strong>rs. But in a highly connected, interdependent, and tightly<br />

coupled global society, small disturbances in one place can ripple<br />

throughout <strong>the</strong> world. Even in good times, errant fi nancial decisions<br />

in Hong Kong can bring down long-established banks in<br />

London. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong> levels <strong>of</strong> complexity characteristic <strong>of</strong> global<br />

society are orders <strong>of</strong> magnitude larger than those <strong>of</strong> earlier societies,<br />

as complex as <strong>the</strong>y undoubtedly were. The conditions leading<br />

<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>collapse</strong> <strong>of</strong> earlier societies, whe<strong>the</strong>r environmental or social,<br />

were in varying degrees temporary. But <strong>climate</strong> change and o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

aspects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> long emergency are virtually permanent as we measure<br />

time. Sea levels, for example, are expected <strong>to</strong> continue rising<br />

for <strong>the</strong> next thousand years and beyond. Finally, <strong>climate</strong> change<br />

is only one element <strong>of</strong> what futurist John Platt once described as<br />

a “crisis <strong>of</strong> crises.” In short, in terms <strong>of</strong> duration, complexity, and<br />

scale, no his<strong>to</strong>rical precedent exists for what lies ahead.<br />

ALTERNATIVES TO DEMOCRACY: DOWNSIZE,<br />

DESIGN, AND MARKETS (AGAIN)<br />

There is no escaping <strong>the</strong> fact that we are entering <strong>the</strong> opening<br />

years <strong>of</strong> diffi cult times with no adequate political framework or<br />

philosophy. As Amory Lovins, quoted above, puts it, “We lack a<br />

<strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> governance . . . We need <strong>to</strong> invent whole new institutions,<br />

new ways <strong>of</strong> doing business, and new ways <strong>of</strong> governing”<br />

(Gould and Hosey, 2007, p. 32). What is <strong>to</strong> be done?<br />

One possible answer is that given by libertarians and thinktank<br />

conservatives who say that we do not need much governance<br />

in <strong>the</strong> fi rst place and should <strong>the</strong>refore happily dispense with<br />

most <strong>of</strong> it. They propose <strong>to</strong> replace parasitical governments with<br />

“free” markets and privatize public services. Like many ideologies,

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