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Down to the wire : confronting climate collapse / David - Index of

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S<br />

x preface<br />

moment. As a species, however, we are in our adolescence, and as<br />

is common at that stage <strong>of</strong> life we live dangerously. Specifi cally,<br />

we have created three ways <strong>to</strong> commit suicide: by nuclear annihilation,<br />

by ecological degradation, and, as computer scientist Bill<br />

Joy notes, by <strong>the</strong> consequences <strong>of</strong> our own cleverness—eviction<br />

by technologies that can self-replicate and might one day fi nd<br />

Homo sapiens useless and inconvenient. 1 We have entered an era<br />

that Harvard biologist Edward O. Wilson calls “<strong>the</strong> bottleneck”<br />

(Wilson, 2002, pp. 22–41).<br />

This book is written in <strong>the</strong> belief that we will come through<br />

that gauntlet chastened but improved. But it will be trial by fi re,<br />

hopefully, a tempering process in which we will shed our illusions<br />

<strong>of</strong> being separate from nature and our pretense that we can<br />

master nature or each o<strong>the</strong>r through violence. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r side<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bottleneck, maybe we will have gained a clearer vision <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> life and a deeper understanding <strong>of</strong> what it means <strong>to</strong><br />

be stewards and trustees for all life <strong>to</strong> come. But this is certainly<br />

not <strong>the</strong> only scenario one might imagine—perhaps, it is not even<br />

very likely. There are darker possibilities with which we must<br />

contend and which we must have <strong>the</strong> foresight <strong>to</strong> anticipate and<br />

<strong>the</strong> wisdom <strong>to</strong> avoid.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> fossil fuel age we lived in <strong>the</strong> unspoken faith that <strong>the</strong>re<br />

are no “booby traps for unwary species,” as biologist Robert Sinsheimer<br />

once put it. Unwittingly we set our own, and now <strong>the</strong><br />

carbon trap is nearly sprung. Even before <strong>the</strong> coal and oil age we<br />

exploited carbon-rich soils and forests, and that is <strong>the</strong> his<strong>to</strong>ry <strong>of</strong><br />

rising and falling empires and <strong>the</strong> uneven march <strong>of</strong> civilization.<br />

The trap was founded on ignorance <strong>of</strong> our impact on <strong>the</strong> biogeochemical<br />

cycles <strong>of</strong> Earth, which posed no serious problems<br />

when we were fewer and depended on sunlight and wind for<br />

our energy. But now <strong>the</strong> six and a half billion <strong>of</strong> us, soon perhaps<br />

<strong>to</strong> be eight or nine billion, are living carbon-intensive lives. We<br />

set <strong>the</strong> trap and it will now take our most creative and sustained<br />

efforts <strong>to</strong> avert catastrophe, and that will require reducing our

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