09.01.2013 Views

Proceedings World Bioenergy 2010

Proceedings World Bioenergy 2010

Proceedings World Bioenergy 2010

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Southern or Northern Pipelines, could help spread<br />

awareness and educate villagers about the benefits of<br />

Biogas, as it is directly responsible for the distribution of<br />

natural gas.<br />

Consultants can also be hired in order to learn from<br />

expertise of the ones who have been successful at Biogas<br />

deployments. Working with non-profit organizations<br />

such as SNV, which has had immense success in Asia,<br />

will be necessary. The Indian Government, which has<br />

deployed community biogas plants on a large scale, and<br />

has had public-private partnership program in place since<br />

a couple of years, can also be asked for support [15].<br />

However a major hindrance to such a system would<br />

be the issue of availability of suitable land. Even though<br />

it might be leased from a private landholder, or provided<br />

by the government, it would definitely slow the process<br />

as land ownership can be a serious issue in the rural area.<br />

A short term disruption of availability of fertilizer in a<br />

community may also arise until slurry can be used. A<br />

long term disadvantage of such a system is that it can<br />

eventually lead to a higher market price of manure, which<br />

is widely used as fertilizer. Another problem in the long<br />

run could be animals that are acutely malnourished, as<br />

they might be fed to produce manure rather than quality<br />

meat and milk, however this might already be the case, as<br />

manure can be used as fertilizer or sold in the market.<br />

Of course such a system is for domestic use only,<br />

and Natural gas for transportation will require a different<br />

model than this, characterized by a distribution channel<br />

that connects the rural and urban areas of the country. On<br />

the other hand, gas for industry too will require a<br />

different model.<br />

5.2 Possible ethanol fuel Public-private partnership for<br />

use in transport<br />

The cost of producing ethanol fuel is still high,<br />

therefore the best way to produce it would be to take the<br />

path the government has been trying to attempt for a<br />

couple of years. Pakistan has a massive sugar refining<br />

industry that uses sugar cane to make refined sugar.<br />

Many of these are already making ethanol, and they are<br />

most likely to already have the existing scale, financial<br />

strength, and the cost base, to produce ethanol in large<br />

quantities, on their existing sugar mills [9]. The<br />

government would have to work with these Sugar Mill<br />

owners and give them incentives to start producing fuel<br />

grade ethanol from Sugar cane. One of the incentives that<br />

can be given to these Sugar Mill owners would be a fixed<br />

price of ethanol, independent of market price. On top of<br />

that, simply finding a steady buyer would be a great<br />

incentive as well, as it would help reduce overall risk and<br />

uncertainty. The role of foreign private and public sector<br />

would be to support in terms of expertise, technology<br />

transfers and of course, bringing in funds. The help of<br />

experts from Brazil and the US, which are by far leaders<br />

in terms of technology and prevalence of Bio-ethanol,<br />

will be necessary. Work has already begun on such a<br />

business model, however it is currently at the testing<br />

stage and only the government owned ‘Pakistan State<br />

Oil’ is allowed to sell it. It is currently being supplied in<br />

the south of the country.<br />

It must be remembered that this model needs to be<br />

further expanded to include all Major Oil Marketing<br />

Companies and perhaps also encourage mill owners to<br />

use multiple feed stocks, such as Maize or Sweet<br />

Sorghum as well, rather than just sugar cane, in order<br />

ease the supply pressures that will be put on sugar cane.<br />

74 world bioenergy <strong>2010</strong><br />

Therefore the most important part of the government<br />

would be to control the prices of Sugar Cane and Sugar<br />

Cane products, and therefore prices in the market, which<br />

would be highly open to exploitation by distributors to<br />

produce artificial shortages in such a condition. Hence<br />

apparent that the possible setbacks of this model is that if<br />

it is not implemented correctly with proper policing,<br />

sugar supplies can fall (genuinely and artificially) as<br />

resources are diverted to making ethanol, ultimately<br />

resulting in high prices (and rising imports) of Sugar (or<br />

any other crop). Ideally, a non food source should be<br />

used as feedstock; however that will require heavy<br />

investments of time and effort before a complete industry<br />

can be established, as such crops usually have little<br />

market value and therefore are short in supply to begin<br />

with.<br />

In the end, it must be remembered that the problems<br />

of an inattentive and negligent governance, corrupting<br />

and misappropriation of funds is something that is likely<br />

to continue in the current political and bureaucratic<br />

culture in Pakistan. It is a long term challenge and needs<br />

to be solved for any real progress, in any field. Already<br />

Pakistan’s current energy policy is not being<br />

implemented [5]. Also Pakistan dwells in a fragile<br />

political system that is both corrupt and uncertain.<br />

Usually, policies are not retained or sustained over longer<br />

periods and successive governments. Stakeholders such<br />

as the IMF, or Asian Development Bank, whose help<br />

would be needed in acquiring fund and expertise, could<br />

become tools of accountability. Also involvement of<br />

other stake holders such as universities, domestic and<br />

foreign private and public sector companies and nonprofit<br />

organization, could help keep accountability, and also<br />

make sure that policies transcend governments.<br />

6 CONSLUSION<br />

The energy crisis in Pakistan is deep and worsening.<br />

By 2030, energy supply and demand gap is expected to<br />

increase to over 140.9 MTOE i.e. 64% of the total supply<br />

[16]. Due to Pakistan’s large agriculture base, Biomass is<br />

one of the alternative energy solutions that can help ease<br />

this crisis. However it cannot be done by the private or<br />

public sectors alone, and would require help of all kinds<br />

from foreign governments, agencies (e.g. The <strong>World</strong><br />

Bank or USAID), technology companies, nonprofit<br />

organizations (such as SNV), universities and<br />

consultancies, in order acquire the expertise and the funds<br />

to make it all happen.<br />

It must be remembered though that there are serious<br />

long term issues that need to be overcome for any real<br />

progress. One such issues is that of water stress that<br />

Pakistan is under. Water could soon be scarce in<br />

Pakistan, which can have a significant negative impact on<br />

the economy in general and the agriculture sector,<br />

including crops and livestock, in particular (1; 28; 30).<br />

Overall, Pakistan’s culture of corruption and the<br />

inability to implement and sustain policies with changing<br />

governments is another major issue. can be overcome by<br />

involving as many stakeholders a possible, including<br />

international agencies, foreign and domestic private<br />

companies, therefore helping put pressure on successive<br />

governments to continue legislation and government<br />

initiatives.<br />

However, Bio Energy alone cannot solve Pakistan<br />

problems. With all the issues arising from Biomass, and

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!