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Proceedings World Bioenergy 2010

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Pakistan’s reserves. Pakistani bureaucracy rushed to<br />

reach an agreement with the Saudi government to provide<br />

$5.9 billion of Oil on deferred payments i.e. 6 month<br />

supply [26]. Prior to this, oil prices in Pakistan reached<br />

unbearable levels and first signs of severe shortage had<br />

begun to appear as the government did not have the<br />

reserves to buy oil [30]. This incident exposed a major<br />

flaw in Pakistan’s energy security.<br />

2.2.3 Electricity<br />

Electricity is another important source of energy in<br />

Pakistan. The average share of electricity as a percentage<br />

of the total energy consumed was was about 18% during<br />

1998-2007. Electricity consumption grew in all economic<br />

sectors during the last five years. Currently Pakistan is<br />

facing severe electricity crisis as the shortfall has varies<br />

between 3000 to 4000 MW [24].<br />

The current energy crisis stems from the decline in<br />

hydro sources of energy and over reliance on the<br />

expansive source of electricity. On top there are 30%<br />

transmission losses due to poor quality<br />

infrastructure and large scale power theft [25]. Another<br />

issues is what has come to be known as circular debt.<br />

IPPs or Independent Power Producers make up 45.23%<br />

of Pakistan’s electricity supply. These IPPs sell<br />

electricity to the government, however many of them<br />

have faced delay in payments, and many remain unpaid.<br />

Therefore many IPPs has stopped operations as they<br />

could no longer finance themselves [3].<br />

The issue is also related to the problem of oil as oilbased<br />

thermal plants accounts supply 68% of generating<br />

capacity, far more than the 30% share of hydroelectric<br />

plants [7]. Rising oil prices and the depreciation of the<br />

rupee has led to huge generation costs, while several IPPs<br />

saw their costs rising and were forced to close down as<br />

payments were not made [5]. As a result, manufacturing<br />

costs and inflation are rising and, Pakistani exports are<br />

becoming expensive, further pushing pressure on the<br />

deficit ridden balance of payments [24]. All of this has<br />

negatively impacted economic growth. Overall the<br />

energy sector of Pakistan is poorly managed, service<br />

quality is low, theft of power and gas is rampant and until<br />

recently, most utilities are still receiving subsidies<br />

making them even more inefficient [32].<br />

Therefore, it can see that Pakistan’s energy mix relies<br />

heavily on Oil, Gas and electricity, all of which are<br />

creating uncertainty for Pakistan’s energy needs. Even<br />

though average consumption of oil is falling, its unstable<br />

price creates havoc for Pakistan. Gas reserves too have<br />

depleted and soon Pakistan will start importing gas from<br />

Iran to fulfill its needs. Coming to electricity, generation<br />

is not keeping up with demand and there is a dire need to<br />

fill the gap as it has already has a significant negative<br />

impact on industry. To get Pakistan out of this crisis and<br />

prepare for the future there is an urgent need to expand<br />

and upgrade the domestic resource base, by exploring<br />

new sources, exploiting existing ones, improving<br />

efficiency, undertaking conservation efforts and diversity<br />

the energy mix through alternative energy [16; 7]. One of<br />

such alternative energy solution is Biomass, which seems<br />

very promising for Pakistan.<br />

3 POTENTIAL FOR BIOMASS:<br />

There are several alternative energy solutions being<br />

implemented throughout the world. Efforts range from<br />

capturing wind power though wind turbines, Solar energy<br />

using PV cells and even capturing kinetic energy of tidal<br />

waves in the oceans to produce what is known as Tidal<br />

Power. Biomass is one such solution which shows<br />

promise and potential within Pakistan. However to look<br />

at the significance and potential of Biomass as an<br />

alternate energy of fuel it is important to get insights into<br />

exactly what it really is.<br />

3.1 What is Biomass?<br />

Biomass essentially is organic matter i.e. plants, that<br />

can be used as renewable energy. The energy comes from<br />

stored sun light through photosynthesis, known as Bio<br />

energy. Unlike Fossil fuels, which have been created<br />

through millions of years of heat and pressure, Biomass<br />

comes from fresh sources that can be grown again with<br />

relative ease [22]. Most Biomass fuels recycle agriculture<br />

byproducts. This can be from, cow dung [biogas] and<br />

agricultural residues [bio diesel or ethanol] or non<br />

agriculture byproducts such as fuel wood from forests,<br />

while traditional biomass, relies on such things as directly<br />

incineration firewood or cow dung, have serious<br />

implications for health and emissions [34]; however they<br />

are still prevalent in developing countries, where 2.4-2.5<br />

billion people still rely on it (mainly for cooking), a<br />

number that is set to increase to 2.7 billion by the year<br />

2030. Already in the South Asia region 70-80%<br />

individuals rely in some way to traditional Biomass. In<br />

Pakistan 19% of Biomass energy is sourced from, cow<br />

dung, 22% from crop residue and 60% from fuel wood<br />

[10].<br />

As the source of Biomass is basically agriculture (and<br />

forestry), there is immense potential for Biomass within<br />

Pakistan, which is largely an agricultural economy.<br />

3.2 Bio energy Potential of Pakistan<br />

Agriculture accounts for for 21% of the GDP and<br />

employees 45% of the total workforce and is hence the<br />

largest employer [11; 7]. 62% of the population already<br />

lives in the rural areas, where agriculture is the main<br />

source of income.<br />

Of the Total area of 79.61 million hectares of the<br />

country, 27% is cultivated while only 8% is forest [12].<br />

The ratio of cultivated land to population is 0.16 ha per<br />

person. Of the cropped area, Food grains are grown on<br />

56%, cash crops on 17%, pulses on 7%, oilseeds on 3%,<br />

fruits on 2%, vegetables and condiments on 1% each, and<br />

other crops, including fodder, on 13%. Most of the 17.2<br />

million hectares of cultivated area is irrigated and 70% of<br />

the water is supplied by canals, thanks to the Indus Basin,<br />

the largest continuous irrigation system in the world,<br />

provides most of the canal irrigation. 30% of water<br />

comes from wells. Traditionally monsoons in July and<br />

August and conventional winter rains ,in January and<br />

February have been a source of irrigation as well.<br />

It must be noted that Maize and Sugar Cane, are both<br />

large sources of Bio-ethanol, and are among the top 5<br />

major crops of the country [7]. Looking at livestock,<br />

while the contribution of the crop sector declined from 65<br />

percent of the total agricultural activity in 1990-91 to just<br />

43.9 percent in 2009-<strong>2010</strong>, the share of livestock has<br />

risen from 30 percent to 53.2 percent over this period, or<br />

11.4% of the total GDP, therefore becoming the biggest<br />

contributor to agriculture [7; 8]. This is derived from an<br />

estimated livestock population of 30.8 millon Buffaloes,<br />

34.3 million cattle, 59.9 million goats , sheep 27.8 and<br />

610 milion chickens [7], averaging close to 2-5 cattle per<br />

household [23]. The estates for making biogas from these<br />

world bioenergy <strong>2010</strong><br />

71

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