ANNUAL REPORT 2006 - DG Hyp
ANNUAL REPORT 2006 - DG Hyp
ANNUAL REPORT 2006 - DG Hyp
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OUTLOOK<br />
Market environment<br />
We believe the positive performance of the overall<br />
economy will continue over the next two financial years in<br />
Germany – even though the economic growth will not<br />
again reach the growth recorded in <strong>2006</strong>, due to factors<br />
including the VAT increase. With regard to Germany's real<br />
estate markets, we believe that the main structural problems<br />
seen in previous years have been overcome. However,<br />
the real growth prospects are primarily in the big cities,<br />
which are flourishing financially. The trend towards a more<br />
pronounced differentiation of the real estate markets will<br />
continue. In total, the German real estate market continues<br />
to offer attractive potential for the real estate financing<br />
business.<br />
In all of the foreign property markets in which <strong>DG</strong> HYP<br />
is active, we believe that there continues to be attractive<br />
market potential in the United Kingdom and USA in particular.<br />
In the coming years, the urban centres of business in<br />
these countries will continue to offer real estate investors<br />
attractive returns and opportunities for growth – despite<br />
possible dangers from strong increases in property prices<br />
over the past few years.<br />
German local authorities will have to face major challenges<br />
in the coming years with high requirements for<br />
investments and financing, however the situation is<br />
expected to relax a little as a result of the forecast additional<br />
tax income. In view of cost structures in public budgets,<br />
active alliances with companies in the private sector (in the<br />
form of public-private partnerships) will continue to gain in<br />
importance. We see continuing substantial growth potential<br />
in this regard.<br />
44 Deutsche Genossenschafts-<strong>Hyp</strong>othekenbank AG | Annual Report <strong>2006</strong><br />
Management Report<br />
We believe that there will continue to be very attractive<br />
opportunities for growth in structured financing and portfolio<br />
management. Germany has not yet succeed in finally<br />
implementing the so-called German Real Estate Investment<br />
Trusts (G-REIT) by means of government legislation; however,<br />
we believe that excluding stocks of rented residential<br />
properties from this type of listed real estate investment<br />
will restrict the dynamic growth in the formation of G-REITs<br />
in Germany. At the same time, the currently planned implementation<br />
of the G-REIT initiative is a key step – driving the<br />
transfer of real estate portfolios, and offering attractive<br />
investment opportunities for international real estate<br />
investors.<br />
Buying and selling real estate financing portfolios will<br />
continue to gain importance in the coming years. This will<br />
offer opportunities in particular for smaller banks, such as<br />
cooperative banks, to implement active portfolio management,<br />
thus reducing cluster risks.<br />
Overall, we see continued excellent business opportunities<br />
for our activities in real estate and public-sector<br />
finance. At the same time, we believe that competition will<br />
continue to be intense in our core German market – for<br />
both residential as well as commercial real estate finance.