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ANNUAL REPORT 2006 - DG Hyp

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OUTLOOK<br />

Market environment<br />

We believe the positive performance of the overall<br />

economy will continue over the next two financial years in<br />

Germany – even though the economic growth will not<br />

again reach the growth recorded in <strong>2006</strong>, due to factors<br />

including the VAT increase. With regard to Germany's real<br />

estate markets, we believe that the main structural problems<br />

seen in previous years have been overcome. However,<br />

the real growth prospects are primarily in the big cities,<br />

which are flourishing financially. The trend towards a more<br />

pronounced differentiation of the real estate markets will<br />

continue. In total, the German real estate market continues<br />

to offer attractive potential for the real estate financing<br />

business.<br />

In all of the foreign property markets in which <strong>DG</strong> HYP<br />

is active, we believe that there continues to be attractive<br />

market potential in the United Kingdom and USA in particular.<br />

In the coming years, the urban centres of business in<br />

these countries will continue to offer real estate investors<br />

attractive returns and opportunities for growth – despite<br />

possible dangers from strong increases in property prices<br />

over the past few years.<br />

German local authorities will have to face major challenges<br />

in the coming years with high requirements for<br />

investments and financing, however the situation is<br />

expected to relax a little as a result of the forecast additional<br />

tax income. In view of cost structures in public budgets,<br />

active alliances with companies in the private sector (in the<br />

form of public-private partnerships) will continue to gain in<br />

importance. We see continuing substantial growth potential<br />

in this regard.<br />

44 Deutsche Genossenschafts-<strong>Hyp</strong>othekenbank AG | Annual Report <strong>2006</strong><br />

Management Report<br />

We believe that there will continue to be very attractive<br />

opportunities for growth in structured financing and portfolio<br />

management. Germany has not yet succeed in finally<br />

implementing the so-called German Real Estate Investment<br />

Trusts (G-REIT) by means of government legislation; however,<br />

we believe that excluding stocks of rented residential<br />

properties from this type of listed real estate investment<br />

will restrict the dynamic growth in the formation of G-REITs<br />

in Germany. At the same time, the currently planned implementation<br />

of the G-REIT initiative is a key step – driving the<br />

transfer of real estate portfolios, and offering attractive<br />

investment opportunities for international real estate<br />

investors.<br />

Buying and selling real estate financing portfolios will<br />

continue to gain importance in the coming years. This will<br />

offer opportunities in particular for smaller banks, such as<br />

cooperative banks, to implement active portfolio management,<br />

thus reducing cluster risks.<br />

Overall, we see continued excellent business opportunities<br />

for our activities in real estate and public-sector<br />

finance. At the same time, we believe that competition will<br />

continue to be intense in our core German market – for<br />

both residential as well as commercial real estate finance.

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