Unmanned Aircraft Systems Roadmap 2005-2030 - Federation of ...

Unmanned Aircraft Systems Roadmap 2005-2030 - Federation of ... Unmanned Aircraft Systems Roadmap 2005-2030 - Federation of ...

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UAS ROADMAP 2005 APPENDIX K: SURVIVABILITY OVERVIEW As UA use proliferates into an ever-increasing sphere of combat applications and becomes progressively more important to the war fighter, mission effectiveness and by extension combat survivability becomes increasingly critical. It is thus imperative that the survivability of a UA is a key consideration during the system design process. Unmanned aircraft are but one component within an unmanned aircraft system UAS). To address the survivability of only the UA only partially addresses the survivability of the total system, although, at the present time, the emphasis on UAS survivability is focused on reducing the susceptibility of the aircraft. Future efforts should concentrate on reducing the total system susceptibility and vulnerability. Terms specific to UA Survivability � Survivability. The capability of an aircraft to avoid or withstand a man-made hostile environment � Susceptibility. The inability of an aircraft to avoid the threats in a man-made hostile environment � Vulnerability. The inability of an aircraft to withstand a man-made hostile environment. � Expendable. The UA is minimally survivable. Loss of the UA has minimal cost and operational impact; the UA can be quickly replaced or is not critical to operational success. � Attritable. The UA is somewhat survivable. Loss of the UA will have moderate cost and/or operational impact, but the operational benefits outweigh the potential risks. � Survivable. The UA is highly survivable. Loss of the UA will have a significant cost and/or operational impact. UA SURVIVABILITY IN COMBAT UA have been used in combat since 1944 when the TDR-1 assault drone, guided by a pilot in the loop using television, was used to drop bombs on Japanese positions in the Pacific. Its operating unit lost three out of 50 aircraft during its two months of service due to hostile fire. Later, during the Vietnam War, the AQM-34 was used to collect reconnaissance data. Limited data from 1964-1989 show UA combat loss rates of 3.9/year during the Vietnam conflict (1964-69), 4.5/year in the Bekka Valley conflict (1981-82) and 1/year over the period of the Angolan Border War (1983-87). A more complete data set, including non-combat losses, is available for the period of 1991-2003, which covers the major conflicts Desert Storm (1991), Allied Force (1999) and OEF and OIF (2001-2003). Over that 13-year period 185 UA losses were recorded, an average of 14.2 per year. Considering the specific periods of major conflict; 20 RQ-2 Pioneer UA were lost in Desert Storm over a period of less than a year, 18 were combat losses and two were non-combat losses. In Operation Allied Force in Kosovo, 45 UA of various types were lost. Of the 45 losses, 26 were combat and 19 were non-combat. Data available from OEF and OIF over the period of 2001-2003 show a substantial decrease in UA loss rates, with an average of 2.0 combat losses and 2.7 non-combat losses per year over the three-year period. The threats encountered by UA since the 1960s have evolved over time. In the Vietnam War, the principal threat to the A/BQM-34 was Soviet MiG fighter aircraft. In the 1980s conflicts in Syria and Angola, the Soviet SA-3, -6, and -8 surface-to-air missiles were the principal threat. While in more recent conflicts combat UA losses have been attributed primarily to small arms, air defense artillery, and unspecified ground fire. Any number of tactical, strategic, technological, and political factors will continue to affect the threats UA face in the future. In addition to lethal threats, there exist non-lethal threats based in electronic warfare or information warfare techniques. Both active and passive techniques can degrade or deny the ability of a UA to fulfill its intended mission. UA systems are susceptible to hostile actions against their electronic systems and subsystems, communications data links, GPS systems, and their command and control data links. These hostile actions can be active, as in the case of jamming, meaconing, or deception, or passive, as in the APPENDIX K – SURVIVABILITY Page K-1

UAS ROADMAP 2005 case of interception and exploitation of the data collected by the UA. All classes of UA are susceptible to non-lethal threats. While UA have been used in combat since the Vietnam War, combat and non-combat loss data is notably sparse. With the proliferation of militarized UA in the last decade it is likely that a significant portion of the information about UA combat experience is widely dispersed and undocumented. In addition, the limited data that is readily available does not provide insight on subsystem/damage mode contribution to combat loss or characterize the damage inflicted on UA that have returned from combat missions. Data of this type regarding combat damage to manned aircraft since Vietnam have proven invaluable in understanding the vulnerability of the aircraft and mitigating the threat. The systematic collection of equivalent data for unmanned aircraft would be of equal benefit. SURVIVABILITY AS A SYSTEMS DESIGN DISCIPLINE DoD systems are intended to accomplish their mission in “a man-made hostile threat environment.” In order to be mission effective, survivability must be considered; survivability becomes one of the design factors in achieving the most mission effective system at the lowest cost. Is it less costly to procure many inexpensive expendable UA, a few more expensive attritable UA, or even fewer more expensive but more survivable UA? For manned systems, loss of human life is a consideration that pushes the systems to a higher level of survivability. For unmanned systems this is not the case. However, DoD UA still need to be effective and able to accomplish their missions in hostile environments. To achieve that, survivability must be part of the design process. The extent that survivability will be included in a design is dependant on many factors including the mission(s) to be accomplished, the criticality of those mission(s), the threat environment that will be encountered, and the number of assets available taking into account the UA aircraft as well as the payload. To perform a noncritical mission in a low threat environment other aspects of the design (e.g., cost, range, or payload) will take precedence over survivability features. This may also be true if a large number of expendable assets are available to perform the mission. If one or more of the assets are destroyed, the mission can still accomplished at lower life-cycle cost. A more critical mission in a higher threat environment increases the importance of survivability design features. If few assets are available, completing the mission the first time and with a single vehicle may be imperative. It is important to weigh all the factors in determining how “survivable” a UAS must be to fulfill its specified functional capability. By considering survivability early in the design process one can make design trade-offs and minimize the potential cost and performance impacts. Modifications later in the design cycle will always come with increased cost and performance penalties. If survivability is considered early in the design process there are “no cost” design practices that will enhance a system’s survivability. An example is the placement of critical systems to shield them from ground fire. No matter what decisions are made, considering all facets of the design early will decrease the overall system life-cycle cost. For combat aircraft, survivability must be a part of the trade space. UNMANNED AIRCRAFT SYSTEM SURVIVABILITY CONSIDERATIONS Regardless of size or cost, all UAS have the following functional components: (1) one or more aircraft, (2) a system for command and control of the aircraft and associated payloads, (3) payload(s) and (4) a means of disseminating the information obtained by the payload. Each of these functional components is addressed separately below. Aircraft UA range in size from under one foot flying at 100 feet at 20 knots to those with wingspans over 130 feet flying at 60,000 feet at 340 knots. A standard survivability approach will not work for all aircraft because of this wide range of sizes and performance. Passive susceptibility reduction measures, such as visual and acoustic signature reduction, may be the only way to increase the survivability of small aircraft due to their limited size. Larger aircraft can support the introduction of active susceptibility reduction measures APPENDIX K – SURVIVABILITY Page K-2

UAS ROADMAP <strong>2005</strong><br />

case <strong>of</strong> interception and exploitation <strong>of</strong> the data collected by the UA. All classes <strong>of</strong> UA are susceptible to<br />

non-lethal threats.<br />

While UA have been used in combat since the Vietnam War, combat and non-combat loss data is notably<br />

sparse. With the proliferation <strong>of</strong> militarized UA in the last decade it is likely that a significant portion <strong>of</strong><br />

the information about UA combat experience is widely dispersed and undocumented. In addition, the<br />

limited data that is readily available does not provide insight on subsystem/damage mode contribution to<br />

combat loss or characterize the damage inflicted on UA that have returned from combat missions. Data<br />

<strong>of</strong> this type regarding combat damage to manned aircraft since Vietnam have proven invaluable in<br />

understanding the vulnerability <strong>of</strong> the aircraft and mitigating the threat. The systematic collection <strong>of</strong><br />

equivalent data for unmanned aircraft would be <strong>of</strong> equal benefit.<br />

SURVIVABILITY AS A SYSTEMS DESIGN DISCIPLINE<br />

DoD systems are intended to accomplish their mission in “a man-made hostile threat environment.” In<br />

order to be mission effective, survivability must be considered; survivability becomes one <strong>of</strong> the design<br />

factors in achieving the most mission effective system at the lowest cost.<br />

Is it less costly to procure many inexpensive expendable UA, a few more expensive attritable UA, or even<br />

fewer more expensive but more survivable UA? For manned systems, loss <strong>of</strong> human life is a<br />

consideration that pushes the systems to a higher level <strong>of</strong> survivability. For unmanned systems this is not<br />

the case. However, DoD UA still need to be effective and able to accomplish their missions in hostile<br />

environments. To achieve that, survivability must be part <strong>of</strong> the design process. The extent that<br />

survivability will be included in a design is dependant on many factors including the mission(s) to be<br />

accomplished, the criticality <strong>of</strong> those mission(s), the threat environment that will be encountered, and the<br />

number <strong>of</strong> assets available taking into account the UA aircraft as well as the payload. To perform a noncritical<br />

mission in a low threat environment other aspects <strong>of</strong> the design (e.g., cost, range, or payload) will<br />

take precedence over survivability features. This may also be true if a large number <strong>of</strong> expendable assets<br />

are available to perform the mission. If one or more <strong>of</strong> the assets are destroyed, the mission can still<br />

accomplished at lower life-cycle cost. A more critical mission in a higher threat environment increases<br />

the importance <strong>of</strong> survivability design features. If few assets are available, completing the mission the<br />

first time and with a single vehicle may be imperative. It is important to weigh all the factors in<br />

determining how “survivable” a UAS must be to fulfill its specified functional capability.<br />

By considering survivability early in the design process one can make design trade-<strong>of</strong>fs and minimize the<br />

potential cost and performance impacts. Modifications later in the design cycle will always come with<br />

increased cost and performance penalties. If survivability is considered early in the design process there<br />

are “no cost” design practices that will enhance a system’s survivability. An example is the placement <strong>of</strong><br />

critical systems to shield them from ground fire. No matter what decisions are made, considering all<br />

facets <strong>of</strong> the design early will decrease the overall system life-cycle cost. For combat aircraft,<br />

survivability must be a part <strong>of</strong> the trade space.<br />

UNMANNED AIRCRAFT SYSTEM SURVIVABILITY CONSIDERATIONS<br />

Regardless <strong>of</strong> size or cost, all UAS have the following functional components: (1) one or more aircraft,<br />

(2) a system for command and control <strong>of</strong> the aircraft and associated payloads, (3) payload(s) and (4) a<br />

means <strong>of</strong> disseminating the information obtained by the payload. Each <strong>of</strong> these functional components is<br />

addressed separately below.<br />

<strong>Aircraft</strong><br />

UA range in size from under one foot flying at 100 feet at 20 knots to those with wingspans over 130 feet<br />

flying at 60,000 feet at 340 knots. A standard survivability approach will not work for all aircraft because<br />

<strong>of</strong> this wide range <strong>of</strong> sizes and performance. Passive susceptibility reduction measures, such as visual and<br />

acoustic signature reduction, may be the only way to increase the survivability <strong>of</strong> small aircraft due to<br />

their limited size. Larger aircraft can support the introduction <strong>of</strong> active susceptibility reduction measures<br />

APPENDIX K – SURVIVABILITY<br />

Page K-2

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