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Natural Hazards: Causes and Effects - Disaster Management Center ...

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present state <strong>and</strong> would be better off as forest. Therefore, it is necessary to gather information<br />

on overall forest trends.<br />

In much of the world this data on forest trends has generally been unreliable or altogether<br />

lacking. But recently a large number of surveys have been initiated, many of them making use<br />

of satellite photography, <strong>and</strong> the quality of forest data is improving fast.<br />

Discussions of forest trends are plagued by definitional problems. How many trees, how close<br />

together, make a forest? At what point does selective logging become deforestation? If the<br />

clearing of a slash-<strong>and</strong>-burn farmer will be left for natural regrowth, has deforestation occurred?<br />

Even statistics on tree planting can be confusing. A eucalyptus plantation established on former<br />

cropl<strong>and</strong> should not be lumped together with a restored hillside forest of mixed native species.<br />

And “reforestation” often means clearing st<strong>and</strong>ing forests to make room for tree plantations.<br />

Impact on Built <strong>and</strong> <strong>Natural</strong> Environments<br />

Impact on Buildings<br />

Deforestation <strong>and</strong> timber scarcity have an especially harmful impact on housing in poor<br />

countries. Even if Third World governments were to make a serious effort to meet the housing<br />

problem, adequate wood supplies would not be available in many cases. For example, in the<br />

late 1970s the Indian state of Gujarat conceived of an ambitious plan to construct huts for<br />

l<strong>and</strong>less laborers. The plan was derailed by the lack of raw materials. The program called for<br />

25 million wood poles, but only 400,000 of these became available each year; <strong>and</strong> only four<br />

million bamboo stalks were produced a year although 765 million were needed.<br />

Impact on Agriculture <strong>and</strong> Ecology<br />

Deforestation’s impact on food supply follows this chain of events:<br />

1. deforestation<br />

2. erosion<br />

3. collapse of hillsides<br />

4. loss of topsoil <strong>and</strong> agricultural l<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Deforestation also unbalances the water supply by contributing to drought <strong>and</strong> flood.<br />

Impact on Economy<br />

What are the economic consequences of uncontrolled deforestation <strong>and</strong> forest-product scarcity?<br />

One outcome of a nation’s forestry shortcomings can be a rising dependence on imported forest<br />

products. Already most Third World countries are net importers of forest products, particularly<br />

paper (the production of which requires both wood-fiber <strong>and</strong> manufacturing plants).<br />

Trade-deficit figures do not come close to capturing the negative impacts of tree scarcity, some<br />

of which are acutely felt by low-income citizens even in timber-exporting countries. For one<br />

thing the major forest products used by most Third World residents never enter the market<br />

economy; when fruits or firewood become scarce, people either do without or switch to<br />

noncommercial alternatives rather than to imported goods. In addition, foreign exchange<br />

shortages <strong>and</strong> high prices can hold a nation’s wood <strong>and</strong> paper consumption well below the<br />

levels at which basic needs are satisfied.<br />

Acute scarcities of firewood <strong>and</strong> timber plague wide areas of Africa, Asia, <strong>and</strong> Latin America.<br />

But a continuation of the last quarter-century’s trends of deforestation, inadequate forest<br />

renewal, <strong>and</strong> growth in wood dem<strong>and</strong> would have worldwide repercussions. The amount of

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