Natural Hazards: Causes and Effects - Disaster Management Center ...
Natural Hazards: Causes and Effects - Disaster Management Center ...
Natural Hazards: Causes and Effects - Disaster Management Center ...
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Chapter 7<br />
Drought<br />
Introduction<br />
Drought has long been recognized as one of the most insidious causes of human misery. It has<br />
today the unfortunate distinction of being the natural disaster that annually claims the most<br />
victims. Its ability to cause widespread misery is actually increasing.<br />
While generally associated with semiarid climates, drought can occur in areas that normally<br />
enjoy adequate rainfall <strong>and</strong> moisture levels. In the broadest sense, any lack of water for the<br />
normal needs of agriculture, livestock, industry, or human population may be termed a drought.<br />
The cause may be lack of supply, contamination of supply, inadequate storage or conveyance<br />
facilities, or abnormal dem<strong>and</strong>. Drought, as commonly understood, is a condition of climatic<br />
dryness that is severe enough to reduce soil moisture <strong>and</strong> water below the minimums<br />
necessary for sustaining plant, animal, <strong>and</strong> human life. Drought is usually accompanied by hot,<br />
dry winds <strong>and</strong> may be followed by damaging floods. 1 More socially relevant than technically<br />
correct is the definition used by Ari Toubo Eibrahim, the minister of agriculture in Niger, who has<br />
said that a drought is “Not as much water as the people need.” 2<br />
Historical Examples<br />
Chad, 1970s<br />
Chad, the largest l<strong>and</strong>locked country of the African Sahel region, suffered greatly from the<br />
prolonged drought of the 1970s. Based on a 60 percent reduction in cereal grain output <strong>and</strong> 50<br />
percent loss in the livestock herd, the dollar damage was assessed at more than U.S. $84<br />
million. Because of inadequate data, the actual number of starvation victims <strong>and</strong> displaced<br />
persons is unknown. However, it is estimated that more than 900,000 people were severely<br />
affected by the drought.<br />
Contributing to the problems created by the drought, the growing populations of humans <strong>and</strong><br />
livestock put excessive pressure on the already barren l<strong>and</strong>. This led to overgrazing,<br />
continuous cropping, <strong>and</strong> lowering of the groundwater table. Thus, the sharply lower rainfall of<br />
1972 <strong>and</strong> 1973 served to increase a degenerative process that was already underway.<br />
While attention has been focused on the magnitude of human suffering, the drought’s impact on<br />
the economy has been equally profound. In real terms, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of<br />
Chad was down nine percent in 1973, the worst year of the drought. The loss in real economic<br />
growth was a devastating setback for Chad; its 1975 per capita Gross National Product (GNP)<br />
of $120 ranked Chad as one of the lowest income countries in the world.<br />
One of the greatest effects of the drought was on livestock production, an important source of<br />
income, employment, <strong>and</strong> exports in Chad. The national herd of 4.7 million cattle, goats, <strong>and</strong><br />
sheep was reduced by one half, <strong>and</strong> the remaining animals suffered from malnutrition <strong>and</strong><br />
disease. Because of the importance livestock played as a foreign exchange earner, the losses<br />
had a severe impact on the budgetary <strong>and</strong> balance of payments situations.