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Pearl Harbor: The Seeds and Fruits of Infamy - Ludwig von Mises ...

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854 <strong>Pearl</strong> <strong>Harbor</strong>: <strong>The</strong> <strong>Seeds</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Fruits</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Infamy</strong><br />

Stark sent a warning to Kimmel. Neither FDR nor Hull<br />

“would be surprised over a Japanese surprise attack. . . . [A]n<br />

attack on the Philippines would be the most embarrassing thing<br />

that could happen to us.” Stark didn’t believe the Japanese would<br />

proceed against Russia; he considered “an advance into Th ail<strong>and</strong>,<br />

Indo-China, Burma Road area as the most likely.”<br />

November 26, 1941: Stimson told FDR that a Japanese<br />

expedition <strong>of</strong> fi ve divisions had gone south from Shantung <strong>and</strong><br />

Shansi to Shanghai, whence they had embarked on 30, 40, or 50<br />

southbound ships.<br />

November 26, 1941: Th e modus vivendi was jettisoned. And a<br />

10-point “ultimatum” was issued to Japan.<br />

After this November 26 “ultimatum” had gone out, Washington<br />

<strong>of</strong>fi cials discussed what to tell MacArthur in the Philippines. It<br />

was agreed “we should send the fi nal alert; namely, that he should<br />

be on the qui vive for any attack.” FDR was “particularly concerned<br />

. . . by current southward troop movements from Shanghai<br />

<strong>and</strong> Japan to the Formosa area,” preparing<br />

for an early aggressive movement <strong>of</strong> some character . . .<br />

directed against the Burma Road, Th ail<strong>and</strong>, Malay Peninsula,<br />

Netherl<strong>and</strong>s East Indies or the Philippines. . . . [T]his next<br />

Japanese aggression might cause an outbreak <strong>of</strong> hostilities<br />

between the U.S. <strong>and</strong> Japan.<br />

November 27, 1941: Washington warned (1) Manila, (2)<br />

Hawaii, (3) Atlantic fl eet that Japanese southbound convoys were<br />

heading for the Philippines, Th ai, or Kra Peninsula or possibly<br />

Borneo.<br />

November 27, 1941: Marshall <strong>and</strong> Stark ask for time to prepare<br />

U.S. defenses. Th ey were especially concerned about the<br />

Philippines: “Th e most essential thing now, from the United<br />

States viewpoint is to gain time.” It is recommended that: “military<br />

counteraction be considered only if Japan attacks or directly

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