Pearl Harbor: The Seeds and Fruits of Infamy - Ludwig von Mises ...
Pearl Harbor: The Seeds and Fruits of Infamy - Ludwig von Mises ... Pearl Harbor: The Seeds and Fruits of Infamy - Ludwig von Mises ...
The Countdown Begins 189 southeast Asia and the Dutch East Indies. Japanese residents, especially women and children, had been evacuated from British India, Singapore, the Netherlands East Indies, the Philippines, Hong Kong, and Australia, and many had been withdrawn from the United States, Canada, and South America. 14 Admiral Wilkinson made an appointment at noon on December 1 to go with McCollum to see Chief of Naval Operations Stark. As McCollum later testifi ed, “We knew that the Japanese fl eet was ready for action. We knew that it had been called home, docked and extensively repaired and was looking for action.” Also the Japanese fl eet had just changed its call signs and frequency allocations again after only a relatively short interval. Th is change in radio transmissions, when considered in conjunction with the various other clues, was one further indication that something was afoot. 15 Wilkinson, in subsequent testimony, said that “On the evidence available we had concluded…that the Japanese were contemplating an early attack, primarily directed at Th ailand, Burma, and the Malay Peninsula.” 16 At the meeting with Stark, both Wilkinson and McCollum “urged that a dispatch of warning be sent to the fl eet at that time.” Stark assured them that such a dispatch had already been sent—on November 27—and that it had defi nitely included the phrase, “Th is is a war warning.” 17 The Army’s December 1 View of Atlantic and Pacific Theaters of War Under date of December 5, Brigadier General Sherman Miles, acting assistant chief of staff , G-2 (Intelligence), prepared 14Ibid., part 15, pp. 1839–42; part 36 (Hewitt Inquiry Exhibit #10), pp. 659–60. 15 Ibid., part 36, p. 17, McCollum testimony before the Hewitt Inquiry. 16 Ibid., part 4, p. 1847, Wilkinson testimony before the Joint Committee. 17Ibid., part 36, p. 19, McCollum testimony before the Hewitt Inquiry.
190 Pearl Harbor: The Seeds and Fruits of Infamy a long memorandum for the benefi t of Marshall, an “Estimate of the Situation December 1, 1941–March 31, 1942.” 18 G-2 was responsible for the collection, interpretation, and distribution of information about our enemies or potential enemies. G-2’s duties included codes and ciphers and liaison with other intelligence agencies. 19 Th e assistant chief of staff of G-2 was on the list to see MAGIC, and presumably Miles, as acting assistant chief of staff also had access to this information derived from reading the Japanese “Purple” intercepts. 20 Miles presented a rather complete analysis of the situation from the Army’s viewpoint. His memorandum 21 in brief: Th is estimate is addressed to the objective of Nazi defeat. Its purpose is to examine the factors of strength and weakness and of strategic positions of the Nazis and of their opponents, in order to present the military possibilities and probabilities during the period December 1, 1941, to March 1, 1942. Miles went on to review the military situation in the Atlantic, Europe, Middle East, and the Pacifi c. Germany, “though weakened by her losses in Russia, will remain the only power capable of launching large scale strategic off ensives.” She was not “in a position [at this time] to attempt an invasion of the [British] islands,” and if she did attempt it, it “will be delayed until mid-summer of 1942.” 18Ibid., part 14, pp. 1373–83. 19 Mark Skinner Watson, Th e War Department: Chief of Staff : Prewar Plans and Preparations (Washington, D.C.: Department of the Army, Historical Division, 1950), p. 73. 20 Joint Committee, Pearl Harbor Attack, part 36, p. 23, McCollum testimony before the Hewitt Inquiry. 21Ibid., part 14, pp. 1373–84. Miles memorandum and Supporting Estimates.
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<strong>The</strong> Countdown Begins 189<br />
southeast Asia <strong>and</strong> the Dutch East Indies. Japanese residents,<br />
especially women <strong>and</strong> children, had been evacuated from British<br />
India, Singapore, the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s East Indies, the Philippines,<br />
Hong Kong, <strong>and</strong> Australia, <strong>and</strong> many had been withdrawn from<br />
the United States, Canada, <strong>and</strong> South America. 14<br />
Admiral Wilkinson made an appointment at noon on<br />
December 1 to go with McCollum to see Chief <strong>of</strong> Naval<br />
Operations Stark. As McCollum later testifi ed, “We knew that<br />
the Japanese fl eet was ready for action. We knew that it had been<br />
called home, docked <strong>and</strong> extensively repaired <strong>and</strong> was looking for<br />
action.” Also the Japanese fl eet had just changed its call signs <strong>and</strong><br />
frequency allocations again after only a relatively short interval.<br />
Th is change in radio transmissions, when considered in conjunction<br />
with the various other clues, was one further indication that<br />
something was afoot. 15<br />
Wilkinson, in subsequent testimony, said that “On the evidence<br />
available we had concluded…that the Japanese were contemplating<br />
an early attack, primarily directed at Th ail<strong>and</strong>, Burma,<br />
<strong>and</strong> the Malay Peninsula.” 16 At the meeting with Stark, both<br />
Wilkinson <strong>and</strong> McCollum “urged that a dispatch <strong>of</strong> warning be<br />
sent to the fl eet at that time.” Stark assured them that such a dispatch<br />
had already been sent—on November 27—<strong>and</strong> that it had<br />
defi nitely included the phrase, “Th is is a war warning.” 17<br />
<strong>The</strong> Army’s December 1 View <strong>of</strong> Atlantic<br />
<strong>and</strong> Pacific <strong>The</strong>aters <strong>of</strong> War<br />
Under date <strong>of</strong> December 5, Brigadier General Sherman<br />
Miles, acting assistant chief <strong>of</strong> staff , G-2 (Intelligence), prepared<br />
14Ibid., part 15, pp. 1839–42; part 36 (Hewitt Inquiry Exhibit #10), pp.<br />
659–60.<br />
15 Ibid., part 36, p. 17, McCollum testimony before the Hewitt Inquiry.<br />
16 Ibid., part 4, p. 1847, Wilkinson testimony before the Joint Committee.<br />
17Ibid., part 36, p. 19, McCollum testimony before the Hewitt Inquiry.