Pearl Harbor: The Seeds and Fruits of Infamy - Ludwig von Mises ...

Pearl Harbor: The Seeds and Fruits of Infamy - Ludwig von Mises ... Pearl Harbor: The Seeds and Fruits of Infamy - Ludwig von Mises ...

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Talk of Ultimatums and Deadlines 121 November 7 meeting, Stimson wrote, “Th e Far Eastern situation was uppermost in many of our minds.” Hull reported that U.S. relations with Japan had become “extremely critical and that we should be on the outlook for an attack by Japan at any time.” But, as Marshall and Stark had stated in no uncertain terms in their memorandum to FDR just two days before, the military were anxious to avoid becoming involved in any action with Japan at that time. Nevertheless, according to Stimson’s diary, “our military advisors . . . had urged military action if Japan attacked . . . American, British or Dutch territory.” In anticipation that we might be called on to take some such action under the Singapore agreement with the British and Dutch, the military had been fl ying heavy B-17 bombers out to the Philippines for some time, whenever they could be spared from other duties. None of the cabinet members except Hull and Stimson knew of this ongoing buildup. Roosevelt took “an informal vote” of the cabinet members on how the American people might react “if it became necessary to strike at Japan, in case she should attack England in Malaya or the Dutch in the East Indies.” According to Stimson’s diary, “Th e Cabinet was unanimous in the feeling that the country would support such a move,” that is, a strike against Japan if she were to attack the British or Dutch in southeast Asia. 17 News of “Victory Program” Leaks; Marshall Denies Its Existence Th e all-encompassing “Victory Program,” prepared at the Roosevelt’s request had been completed by September 10. It contained estimates of the military needs of the United States and her potential allies, and of the military stocks available worldwide to win a war in which this country was not as yet offi cially involved. Th e details and the very existence of the “Victory Program” was 17 Ibid., part 11, p. 5420.

122 Pearl Harbor: The Seeds and Fruits of Infamy a carefully guarded secret. Th e small number of copies made had been distributed only to a select few military and administration offi cials. However, if it was to be intelligently implemented, the offi cers who would be involved had to know about it. Th erefore, War Plans Division (WPD) prepared a strategic estimate of the situation, which it circulated in mid-November among War Department offi cials. 18 In spite of the careful security surrounding WPD’s estimate, news of the “Victory Program” leaked out. A rumor circulated in November that an American expeditionary force (AEF) was being planned. If true, this was contrary to Marshall’s testimony before Congress in July when testifying on the extension of Selective Service. At that time, he had discounted any threat of militarism and assured Congress that he was not considering an AEF, but merely “task forces” of 5,000, 15,000, or 30,000 men. Marshall issued a categorical denial to scotch the rumor about an AEF: “Th ere is no foundation whatsoever for the allegation or rumor that we are preparing troops for a possible expedition to Africa or other critical areas outside this hemisphere.” 19 The Japanese Push for Agreement Th e seriousness of the Japanese deadline became increasingly apparent to anyone reading the secret “Purple” dispatches during this period. Japan was sending Nomura repeated reminders of the need for urgency. She realized she had to reach some agreement with the United States. And with this in mind, Ambassador Nomura and representatives of the U.S. State Department continued their discussions. 18 Mark Skinner Watson, Th e War Department: Chief of Staff : Prewar Plans and Preparations (Washington, D.C.: Department of the Army, Historical Division, 1950), pp. 220–31, 358. 19 Ibid., p. 359.

Talk <strong>of</strong> Ultimatums <strong>and</strong> Deadlines 121<br />

November 7 meeting, Stimson wrote, “Th e Far Eastern situation<br />

was uppermost in many <strong>of</strong> our minds.” Hull reported that U.S.<br />

relations with Japan had become “extremely critical <strong>and</strong> that we<br />

should be on the outlook for an attack by Japan at any time.” But,<br />

as Marshall <strong>and</strong> Stark had stated in no uncertain terms in their<br />

memor<strong>and</strong>um to FDR just two days before, the military were<br />

anxious to avoid becoming involved in any action with Japan at<br />

that time. Nevertheless, according to Stimson’s diary, “our military<br />

advisors . . . had urged military action if Japan attacked . . .<br />

American, British or Dutch territory.” In anticipation that we<br />

might be called on to take some such action under the Singapore<br />

agreement with the British <strong>and</strong> Dutch, the military had been fl ying<br />

heavy B-17 bombers out to the Philippines for some time,<br />

whenever they could be spared from other duties. None <strong>of</strong> the<br />

cabinet members except Hull <strong>and</strong> Stimson knew <strong>of</strong> this ongoing<br />

buildup.<br />

Roosevelt took “an informal vote” <strong>of</strong> the cabinet members on<br />

how the American people might react “if it became necessary to<br />

strike at Japan, in case she should attack Engl<strong>and</strong> in Malaya or<br />

the Dutch in the East Indies.” According to Stimson’s diary, “Th e<br />

Cabinet was unanimous in the feeling that the country would<br />

support such a move,” that is, a strike against Japan if she were to<br />

attack the British or Dutch in southeast Asia. 17<br />

News <strong>of</strong> “Victory Program” Leaks;<br />

Marshall Denies Its Existence<br />

Th e all-encompassing “Victory Program,” prepared at the<br />

Roosevelt’s request had been completed by September 10. It contained<br />

estimates <strong>of</strong> the military needs <strong>of</strong> the United States <strong>and</strong> her<br />

potential allies, <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> the military stocks available worldwide to<br />

win a war in which this country was not as yet <strong>of</strong>fi cially involved.<br />

Th e details <strong>and</strong> the very existence <strong>of</strong> the “Victory Program” was<br />

17 Ibid., part 11, p. 5420.

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