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Report of the Bahrain Independent Commission of Inquiry

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<strong>Report</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Bahrain</strong> <strong>Independent</strong> <strong>Commission</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Inquiry</strong><br />

C. Concluding Observations<br />

640. Chapter II, in presenting a brief historical review <strong>of</strong> <strong>Bahrain</strong>,<br />

identified some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sources <strong>of</strong> popular discontent over <strong>the</strong> years. Many <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> demands for political and socio-economic reforms voiced in February and<br />

March 2011 were not new.<br />

641. In <strong>the</strong> present globalised context, events in different parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world<br />

sometimes impact each o<strong>the</strong>r. Thus, understanding one event may require a<br />

broader view <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> larger context. Some regions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world, however, have<br />

more significant strategic and economic weight than o<strong>the</strong>rs. Thus, what<br />

occurs within <strong>the</strong>m has a greater impact on certain parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world and even<br />

on <strong>the</strong> world as a whole. <strong>Bahrain</strong> is in an important strategic region. As an<br />

Arab and Muslim country, <strong>Bahrain</strong> is necessarily a part <strong>of</strong> developments in<br />

<strong>the</strong>se two groups <strong>of</strong> countries and maybe more so with respect to <strong>the</strong> Arab<br />

world to which it is more closely connected. Thus, what is generally called<br />

<strong>the</strong> Arab spring also had its impact in <strong>Bahrain</strong>. Though each Arab country has<br />

reacted differently, <strong>the</strong> Arab spring has stimulated pent up popular reactions<br />

and grievances in many Arab States, including <strong>Bahrain</strong>. Unlike earlier<br />

manifestations <strong>of</strong> unrest, <strong>the</strong> initial protests that began on 14 February were<br />

not orchestrated by institutionalised political opposition groups, but were<br />

triggered and led by networks <strong>of</strong> discontented and politically unaffiliated<br />

youth. Like <strong>the</strong>ir counterparts in o<strong>the</strong>r Arab countries, <strong>the</strong>y used modern<br />

technology, including social media networks to call for demonstrations and<br />

publicise <strong>the</strong>ir demands. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> demands raised during <strong>the</strong> protests<br />

that began on 14 February enjoyed, at least initially, a large degree <strong>of</strong> popular<br />

support that crossed religious, sectarian and ethnic lines.<br />

642. The roots <strong>of</strong> what started on 14 February go back to <strong>the</strong> 1970s, 1980s<br />

and 1990s. During each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se decades, even before <strong>the</strong> appearance <strong>of</strong><br />

social media, people demonstrated for what <strong>the</strong>y believed to be <strong>the</strong>ir political,<br />

economic and social rights. During <strong>the</strong> beginning <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> events in <strong>Bahrain</strong>, as<br />

during <strong>the</strong> past decades, <strong>the</strong> demand was for reforms, not for regime change.<br />

This was <strong>the</strong> same in <strong>the</strong> early stages <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> demonstrations and protests in<br />

Tunisia, Egypt, Syria and Yemen. But as experience shows, when demands<br />

for reforms are rebuffed, <strong>the</strong> demands become for regime change. In <strong>the</strong> end,<br />

<strong>the</strong> society becomes both polarised and radicalised. This situation leaves little<br />

room for a centre that could bring toge<strong>the</strong>r people from all ethnic and<br />

sectarian groups and from all social and economic strata to work for reforms<br />

based on well established principals and processes <strong>of</strong> democracy, good<br />

governance and respect for internationally protected human rights.<br />

1. The Progression <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Protest Movement<br />

643. It is not <strong>the</strong> task <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Commission</strong> to determine which side is<br />

responsible for which outcomes, but it is necessary in order to understand <strong>the</strong><br />

evolution <strong>of</strong> events to look at <strong>the</strong> facts and <strong>the</strong>ir underlying causes. In this<br />

respect, <strong>the</strong>re is no doubt that what occurred in February and March and<br />

subsequent related events was <strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong> an escalating process and that both<br />

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