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The Trumpet Newspaper Issue 624 (May 29 - June 11 2024)

South Africans go to the polls to choose a new government: what's different this time

South Africans go to the polls to choose a new government: what's different this time

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Opinion<br />

MAY <strong>29</strong> - JUNE <strong>11</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

<strong>The</strong><strong>Trumpet</strong><br />

Democracy, governance and<br />

credible elections (1)<br />

Page9<br />

Continued from Page 8<<br />

Again, that’s where the late Obafemi<br />

Awolowo excelled as a leader! But how<br />

come successive leaders have not been<br />

seeing the link between the minimum<br />

wage, the purchasing power parity and<br />

investments? Call it an election gimmick<br />

but that’s why Governor Godwin Obaseki<br />

of Edo State deserves a standing ovation.<br />

Well, it’s not that N70,000 as minimum<br />

wage for workers in the State is fair<br />

enough but then, the Governor has<br />

demonstrated that a worthy credit analyst<br />

would prefer Benin City where the<br />

purchasing power parity is N50,000 to<br />

Gusau where the purchasing power parity<br />

is N31,000. In a way, Obaseki has shown<br />

that, for any economy to attain its<br />

potentials, it is better to have 15 million<br />

people who are on a living wage of<br />

N105,000 per month than to have 200<br />

million people who are on a minimum<br />

wage of N30,000 per month.<br />

‘Ojú to dilè ni iroré ń so.’ (Pimples<br />

usually infect an idle face. <strong>The</strong> notorious<br />

truth is that we can’t have functional<br />

democracy, good governance and<br />

credible elections without a sound<br />

educational system. Had Nigeria also<br />

been blessed with a sensitive political<br />

class, Nigerians would have been<br />

benefiting from free and compulsory<br />

education as far back as 1974 or 1975. Of<br />

course, the difference would have been<br />

that Nigeria would not have been having<br />

all these problems because of a better<br />

educated population. Matter-of-factly, the<br />

better educated the people are, the better<br />

and the saner the choices. A better<br />

educated population is a better informed<br />

and more productive population. But<br />

when politics fails to deliver its goods to<br />

the people, waiting for much chemistry<br />

to work at the same pace for development<br />

to show up becomes the norm.<br />

Obviously, that’s what Awolowo got right<br />

and that’s why people like Joseph Stiglitz<br />

won the Nobel Prize for Economics.<br />

Secondly, compulsory education is<br />

the best form of population control. On<br />

the day of Nigeria’s independence in<br />

1960, the United Kingdom as the parting<br />

colonial power had 7 million more people<br />

than Nigeria. Whereas Nigeria’s<br />

population grew from 44,928,342 in 1960<br />

to 2<strong>29</strong>,152,217 in <strong>2024</strong>, the British<br />

population has grown by only 15.34<br />

million since 1960. <strong>The</strong> implementation<br />

of the Education Act of 1947, which<br />

made education free and compulsory up<br />

to the age of 18 in the UK, led to the<br />

halving of her population within one<br />

generation. Why and how? Educated<br />

people “marry later” and have fewer<br />

children. What’s more? Educated<br />

populace is better skilled, has higher<br />

Nigeria Democracy<br />

purchasing power parity and many other<br />

advantages. That’s why countries like<br />

Italy and Japan have declining population<br />

growth. <strong>The</strong>y are actually begging and<br />

bribing their citizens to have more<br />

children. For Nigeria, the story is<br />

pathetically different!<br />

Forget the delusion of grandeur,<br />

unless some steps are taken in the right<br />

direction, Nigeria as a country may be<br />

fast sliding into irrelevance. For example,<br />

South Africa is currently the biggest<br />

economy in Africa, of course with the<br />

soundest fundamentals. She is followed<br />

by Egypt and Algeria and only God<br />

knows the true occupier of the 4th<br />

position between Nigeria and Morocco.<br />

South Africa has strong institutions of the<br />

State. As a matter of fact, the ruling<br />

African National Congress (ANC) is<br />

already terrified of losing the<br />

forthcoming elections. Most importantly,<br />

she has basic industries like iron and steel<br />

and machine tools. So, she manufactures<br />

and exports cars to Europe. Unlike<br />

Nigeria, South Africa doesn’t assemble<br />

cars. As former President Donald Trump<br />

once said, “If you don’t have steel, you<br />

don’t have a country.” In terms of<br />

fundamentals therefore, how to arrest<br />

Nigeria’s descent into irrelevance should<br />

be the key question.<br />

But how did we get here? When<br />

Nigeria decided to throw away the<br />

Lyttleton’s, 1960 and 1963 Constitutions,<br />

it became obvious that the country was<br />

gone. Brazil currently operates the 1988<br />

Constitution, which is the 7th enacted<br />

since the country’s independence in 1822,<br />

and the 6th since the proclamation of the<br />

Republic in 1889. Look at today’s Brazil!<br />

She’s currently the world’s 9th largest<br />

economy. Not only that, 92% of all new<br />

cars sold in Brazil are powered, not by<br />

Petroleum Motor Spirit - PMS, but by the<br />

ethanol derived from sugarcane. For<br />

greater certainty, Brazil is a huge<br />

producer of sugarcane. Impliedly, had<br />

Nigeria kept up her existence on the 1960<br />

and 1963 Constitutions, she’d have been<br />

powering not less than 92% of her cars<br />

by ethanol derived from cassava. After<br />

all, dear country is currently the world’s<br />

largest producer of cassava with an<br />

annual output of over 34 million tonnes<br />

of tuberous roots. What this means is that,<br />

instead of buying a litre of PMS for<br />

N700.00, ethanol derived from cassava<br />

would not have cost more than N130.00.<br />

Besides, that would have been a boost for<br />

agriculture and industry would have been<br />

competitive because its cost would be<br />

lower. Added to these is that the destiny<br />

of employment generation in the country<br />

would have been given a lift-up.<br />

● To be concluded.<br />

● KOMOLAFE wrote in from Ijebu-<br />

Jesa, Osun State, Nigeria<br />

(ijebujesa@yahoo.co.uk)

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