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The Softwood Forest Products Buyer - March/April 2024

Get the latest softwood industry news in the Softwood Forest Products Buyer! This issue features stories on the FenceTech 2024 convention, the NAHB International Builders' Show and the NKBA Kitchen & Bath Show, Prime Lumber Products, lumber shipping trends and much more.

Get the latest softwood industry news in the Softwood Forest Products Buyer! This issue features stories on the FenceTech 2024 convention, the NAHB International Builders' Show and the NKBA Kitchen & Bath Show, Prime Lumber Products, lumber shipping trends and much more.

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DELTA CEDAR —Continued from page 47<br />

WASHINGTON REPORT —Continued from page 18<br />

"If mortgage rates fall below 6 [percent] in <strong>2024</strong>, more owners will feel comfortable<br />

listing their homes for sale, alleviating some of the shortages, but not<br />

enough to close the supply gap," Maleyev said.<br />

Construction Workforce Shortage Tops 500,000<br />

By Zachary Russell<br />

Delta <strong>Forest</strong>ry Group’s new Raptor Trim Line and 80-bin sorter, at their Halo sawmill,<br />

replaced their green chain, enabling the sawmill to ramp up production.<br />

read every issue online<br />

www.softwoodbuyer.com<br />

Pictured is the new bin sorter building construction at Delta <strong>Forest</strong>ry Group’s Halo<br />

Sawmill.<br />

It isn’t just the president and COO and longtime employees that share in the<br />

hope and optimism of the future of Delta, but new employees such as Rick Harris,<br />

who has spent 30 years in the forest products industry and was just recently<br />

brought on board, that recognizes the future that Delta has. “Delta has a very<br />

successful reputation and brand in and of itself and while the security of the fiber<br />

basket in British Columbia is changing, they are taking on this new landscape and<br />

continuing to grow and expand into different markets and species.”<br />

Delta <strong>Forest</strong>ry Group is a member of BC Wood, North American Wholesale<br />

Lumber Association and Truck Loggers Association.<br />

For more information visit, www.deltaforesterygroup.com. •<br />

of houses for sale, which is generally supportive of prices, along with generally<br />

stable demand that is coming from things like household formation," Roger<br />

Ashworth, senior strategist on the structured credit team at Goldman Sachs, said<br />

this week.<br />

When this story was first reported, new home sales climbed up by 8 percent in<br />

December, according to government data, while prices declined to two-year lows.<br />

<strong>The</strong> fall in prices and a rise in sales was partly due to builders offering inducements<br />

to buyers, according to Yelena Maleyev, a senior economist at KPMG.<br />

"Builders have pivoted to building smaller homes and offering more discounts<br />

and concessions, such as mortgage rate buydowns, to bring in buyers sidelined<br />

by rising mortgage rates," she said in a note shared with Newsweek.<br />

But the data from the U.S. Census Bureau also showed that inventory of newly<br />

built homes fell last month after going up the previous months. <strong>The</strong>re were<br />

453,000 houses available for sale at the end of December, which accounts for 8.2<br />

months' worth of supply.<br />

This constituted a 3.5 percent decline from the same time a year ago, Maleyev<br />

pointed out.<br />

<strong>The</strong> lack of inventory also comes at a time when the used homes market has<br />

struggled. Sales are down in that segment amid a lack of supply of homes as<br />

sellers are reluctant to give up their low rates for new home loans hovering in the<br />

mid-6 percent.<br />

This lack of supply will be key to how prices shake out and the outlook for the<br />

year is not encouraging.<br />

(<strong>The</strong> following article was first published by www.chainstoreage.<br />

com. <strong>The</strong> Associated Builders and Contractors says its model uses<br />

the historical relationship between inflation-adjusted construction<br />

spending growth, sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Value of<br />

Construction Put in Place Survey, and payroll construction employment,<br />

sourced from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, to convert<br />

anticipated increases in construction outlays into demand for labor<br />

at a rate of approximately 3,550 jobs per billion dollars of additional<br />

spending.)<br />

<strong>The</strong> construction industry's labor crunch shows no signs of stopping anytime<br />

soon.<br />

<strong>The</strong> industry will need to attract an estimated 501,000 additional workers on<br />

top of the normal pace of hiring in <strong>2024</strong> to meet the demand for labor, according<br />

to a proprietary model developed by Associated Builders and Contractors.<br />

Looking ahead to 2025, the industry will need to bring in nearly 454,000 new<br />

workers on top of normal hiring to meet construction demand and that’s presuming<br />

that construction spending growth slows significantly next year.<br />

“ABC estimates that the U.S. construction industry needs to attract about a<br />

half million new workers in <strong>2024</strong> to balance supply and demand,” said Michael<br />

Bellaman, ABC president and CEO. “Not addressing the shortage through an<br />

all-of-the-above approach to workforce development will slow improvements<br />

to our shared built environment, worker productivity, living standards and the<br />

places where we heal, learn, play, work and gather.”<br />

<strong>The</strong> U.S. construction industry unemployment rate averaged 4.6 percent for<br />

the second straight year in 2023, matching the second-lowest level on record,<br />

while job openings remained historically elevated at an average of 377,000 per<br />

month through the first 11 months of 2023. Due to labor shortages, contractors<br />

Continued on page 50<br />

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Page KC-24011 48 SW <strong>Buyer</strong> Jan <strong>2024</strong> Ad_6.4x9.35-hor.indd 1<br />

<strong>Softwood</strong> <strong>Forest</strong> <strong>Products</strong> <strong>Buyer</strong> • <strong>March</strong>/<strong>April</strong> 12/7/23 8:48 <strong>2024</strong> AM<br />

<strong>Softwood</strong> <strong>Forest</strong> <strong>Products</strong> <strong>Buyer</strong> • <strong>March</strong>/<strong>April</strong> <strong>2024</strong> Page 49

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