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e-Forex-Nov-23

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Electronification rising amid turbulence: Taking a closer look at the MENA FX picture<br />

REGIONAL E-FX PERSPECTIVE<br />

“During the past couple of years, what with strong GDP<br />

growth in the region, there has been a material shift in FX<br />

requirements, particularly after the pandemic.”<br />

Hussain Almohri<br />

to South Asian countries despite<br />

slowing economic growth (The Gulf<br />

region grew by 7.4% in 2022, a<br />

number expected to drop to 2.5% per<br />

the World Bank.)<br />

“We have seen SAR, AED, and KWD<br />

as the currencies most in demand,”<br />

Almohri says, “with AED having the<br />

most notable growth in terms of<br />

volumes over the past 18 months.”<br />

News is not as positive with the Israeli<br />

Shekel, which has lost strength due<br />

to internal government crises in that<br />

country and the recent war.<br />

Despite Israel’s central bank pouring<br />

$30 billion into supporting its currency,<br />

the Shekel shed 3% in its biggest fall<br />

since February 20<strong>23</strong>, when the judicial<br />

crisis was at its peak. Observers can<br />

divide the MENA picture between<br />

the GCC and the rest, with the rest<br />

experiencing considerable strain.<br />

Lebanon continues to reel under the<br />

weight of consecutive economic crises,<br />

and Egypt’s dependence on external<br />

tourism for hard currency receipts<br />

has not reduced. Given its proximity<br />

to the Gaza war zone and recent<br />

errant excursions by Israel’s military,<br />

Egypt faces significant challenges in<br />

managing its currency exchange rate.<br />

On the positive side, Chinese<br />

investments in the region have<br />

increased, creating more diverse<br />

sources of FX flows, and pushing<br />

traders to call for more transparency<br />

and efficient risk management. Small<br />

vanilla FX flows are largely automated,<br />

with more market participants<br />

demanding TCA as standard.<br />

Albert Blackburn, EMEA EM Business<br />

Development Manager, FX, at LSEG,<br />

explains, “The buy side is eager to<br />

understand trade costs and what their<br />

impact is on the market and how their<br />

liquidity will be used. Pre-trade and<br />

post-trade analytics continue to see an<br />

increase in their usage and offer better<br />

transparency to the market.”<br />

And what about STP and TMS<br />

demands?<br />

“STP and Treasury Management<br />

Systems continue to be rolled out at<br />

pace across the regions as firms seek<br />

to maximise their positions,” he says.<br />

This rise in electronification has shrunk<br />

spreads, with more banks offering<br />

greater context behind their pricing, like<br />

market news and historical trends.<br />

Other transparency-enhancing efforts<br />

include IM communication channels<br />

and data-backed insights into RFQ<br />

workflows. Blackburn lists a few<br />

ways in which LSEG is meeting these<br />

demands. “LSEG FX has a history<br />

of delivering market infrastructure<br />

and workflow tools into frontier and<br />

emerging markets,” he says.<br />

“Matching and FXall offer robust bestin-class<br />

solutions that can be leveraged<br />

by regional banks and clients with<br />

little friction. Our white-label workflow<br />

products provide turn-key solutions<br />

that reduce time-to-market for smaller<br />

banks looking to quickly expand their<br />

digital footprint.”<br />

Regulation and continued government investment in infrastructure are slowly turning the GCC into a hub for<br />

sophisticated investors<br />

Blackburn notes that local banks have<br />

released new features to their platform<br />

in response to corporate demand. And<br />

what are some of these? “Competitive<br />

quotes are always key, and the ability to<br />

trade at the best price is key,” he says.<br />

“However resting orders, options, and<br />

fixing orders are also in demand. Some<br />

of the banks have started to use algo<br />

for trading and this continues to be a<br />

new growth area for the banks that<br />

serve the region.”<br />

34 NOVEMBER 20<strong>23</strong> e-FOREX

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