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e-Forex-Nov-23

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REGIONAL E-FX PERSPECTIVE<br />

The MENA region has never grabbed<br />

FX headlines quite as violently as it did<br />

this past month. News of the Israel-<br />

Hamas conflict increased volatility in<br />

the stock and commodity markets, with<br />

the side effects impacting FX flows.<br />

However, the current crisis has not<br />

changed the prevailing e-FX story in<br />

MENA. The electronification of FX,<br />

fintech sophistication, and the Gulf<br />

region’s decoupling from oil wealth<br />

are all steadily rising. Add to this the<br />

resilience of Israel’s nascent fintech<br />

sector and growing diversity in financial<br />

products on offer and the MENA’s<br />

overall economic and technology<br />

outlook seems well placed despite<br />

current events.<br />

Hussain Almohri, Head of Trading,<br />

MENAT, at HSBC, points to strong GDP<br />

growth as a factor for increasing FX<br />

demand. “During the past couple of<br />

years, what with strong GDP growth in<br />

the region,” he says, “there has been<br />

a material shift in FX requirements,<br />

particularly after the pandemic.”<br />

“Saudi Arabia alone is projected to<br />

see its GDP reach US$1.7tn by 2030.<br />

It stood at over US$1trn for 2022, up<br />

from US$868bn the year before. In<br />

addition, many asset managers and<br />

hedge funds have moved their physical<br />

locations to MENA, to capitalise on<br />

the economic growth of the region,<br />

the region’s vision to invest in its<br />

infrastructure, as well as its ambitious<br />

growth plans.”<br />

DELIVERING TRANSPARENCY<br />

Recent local economic reports show that<br />

cross-border FX needs have remained<br />

high, given the number of expat<br />

workers in the region’s biggest markets.<br />

While recent drives to hire citizens in<br />

Gulf countries have slowed FX volumes a<br />

bit, the region continues to account for<br />

a significant amount of outflows.<br />

For instance, the Gulf region accounts<br />

for the highest amount of FX outflows<br />

NOVEMBER 20<strong>23</strong> e-FOREX 33

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