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ISSUE 32 | NOVEMBER <strong>2023</strong> WWW.FXALGONEWS.COM FOLLOW US AT:<br />
TOP STORIES<br />
Barclays finds internalisation is<br />
key priority for FX algo users<br />
Barclays has conducted its first Global<br />
FX Market Structure Survey, with the<br />
findings revealing a number of insights<br />
directly around how clients are using FX<br />
algos currently and the drivers behind<br />
those choices. Among the algo specific<br />
findings, the survey revealed that when<br />
it came to reviewing a dealer’s algo<br />
functionality, the leading factor cited by<br />
33% of clients was that internalisation<br />
was one of their most important areas<br />
of consideration. Following this, the<br />
configuration of algos at the order<br />
level was the second leading factor<br />
cited by FX algo users. In addition, the<br />
survey revealed the clients were mainly<br />
allocating their algorithmic execution<br />
based upon historical performance, with<br />
29% stating this was key to how they<br />
allocate that flow to their dealers.<br />
“This survey provides client driven<br />
feedback and the findings reflect our<br />
biggest areas of focus as a business,”<br />
says Ajay Kataria, Head of Electronic FX<br />
Distribution, Americas at Barclays. “As<br />
such a large franchise, we keep liquidity<br />
within our four walls while focusing on<br />
being able to offer our clients what they<br />
need. FX algos are a mature product<br />
and we continue to differentiate by<br />
performance, liquidity provision and<br />
helping clients to navigate the changing<br />
FX market structure.”<br />
Ajay Kataria<br />
Deutsche Bank includes<br />
listed derivatives algo<br />
data in real time TCA<br />
Deutsche Bank is expanding its real<br />
time FX algo TCA to include listed<br />
derivatives algo data for the first time.<br />
The move comes as part of a wider<br />
algo rebuild being undertaken by the<br />
bank which will include FX algos as<br />
well as different asset classes. Currently<br />
all post trade and real time algo TCA is<br />
collected by the Market Colour engine.<br />
Deutsche Bank is looking to make<br />
the same toolsets available for listed<br />
derivatives products as well.<br />
IN THIS ISSUE<br />
p1. TOP STORIES<br />
The latest industry stories<br />
p3: NEWS FEATURES<br />
More in-depth news<br />
p5: RECENT EVENT<br />
TradeTech FX in Paris<br />
p6: MARKET WATCH<br />
Algos and the FX Global Code<br />
Vittorio Nuti<br />
“We have developed a best in class<br />
Market Colour app for FX and now<br />
we will expand into different asset<br />
classes. This is the first version where<br />
we have real time TCA data with listed<br />
derivatives algo data included, allowing<br />
clients to view their orders in real time.<br />
It is a big step forward for us in terms<br />
of unifying our algo systems across the<br />
board,” says Vittorio Nuti, Global Head<br />
of Listed Derivatives & FX Algo Trading<br />
at Deutsche Bank.<br />
p8: INDUSTRY VIEWS<br />
What’s in store for 2024?<br />
p16: ASK A PROVIDER<br />
Shining a light on internalisation<br />
p18: BUYSIDE PERSPECTIVES<br />
Navigating FX execution strategies<br />
p22. SUBSCRIPTIONS<br />
Secure your copies of <strong>FXAlgoNews</strong><br />
p23: INFORMATION & RESOURCES<br />
Links and websites of the month
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2 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>
Goldman Sachs boosts NDF<br />
algo execution with new<br />
enhancements<br />
Providers are increasingly focused on how to continue improving execution outcomes<br />
for FX algo users, including making changes in the background to further improve<br />
efficiencies. Dr Ralf Donner, Head of Marquee Execution Solutions at Goldman Sachs,<br />
shares the latest change to the methodology for rolling FX algos and explains why the<br />
new approach is of particular benefit when it comes to NDF algo execution.<br />
TOP STORIES<br />
NEWS FEATURES<br />
Source: Goldman Sachs Marquee. For illustration purposes only<br />
Dr Ralf Donner<br />
As clients become increasingly<br />
sophisticated in their use of FX algos,<br />
including notably NDF algos, Goldman<br />
Sachs has focused on creating further<br />
efficiencies ‘under the hood’ of its<br />
algo offering. This has resulted in a<br />
recent change to the way the bank rolls<br />
algos, with a new focus on improving<br />
the forward points by “TWAP-ing”<br />
the points to ensure tighter spreads<br />
and better quality fills. The new<br />
methodology involves rolling the child<br />
orders during the execution of the<br />
algo, so each time a fill comes in, the<br />
child order is rolled or, in the case of<br />
synthetics, both legs of the order the<br />
forward points are rolled on each of the<br />
individual child orders.<br />
DRIVERS<br />
Donner explains that the initial driver<br />
behind this new development was to<br />
further enhance NDF algo execution.<br />
“Our main motivation was to ensure we<br />
have a very robust product for trading<br />
NDFs, but in doing so we have created a<br />
very important new enhancement to all<br />
our algos. This includes spot algos that<br />
are rolled to a forward date. At some<br />
point in the future, clients will now not<br />
necessarily need to know where the<br />
liquidity is in the given currency pairs,<br />
they will not need to know is it a first<br />
future date, is it a spot date, is it one<br />
month. Instead, the client will see the<br />
EURUSD and EURCZK aggregate orderbooks. The visibly different EURCZK market structure<br />
can pose a challenge to traditional algos<br />
improved performance of the algos<br />
neatly encapsulated in the data, in their<br />
TCA reports, which will give them the<br />
direct insight into their performance.”<br />
This new approach has a number of<br />
advantages, notes Donner. Clients can<br />
now benefit from an average price over<br />
the lifetime of the algo on the forward<br />
points, while also hitting a top-of-book<br />
spread on points when executing which<br />
should result in tighter points. “The new<br />
methodology is also future proof, with<br />
new developments coming down the<br />
line such the new matching pools for FX<br />
swaps, enabling clients to execute algos<br />
on a greater variety of venues.”<br />
FRANCHISE MATCHING<br />
In addition, the recent addition of a<br />
new way to internalise, called Franchise<br />
Matching, is also proving to be very<br />
beneficial in executing certain emerging<br />
markets’ pairs, not just G4 pairs as<br />
was originally expected, says Donner.<br />
Franchise Matching is a new method of<br />
working with Goldman Sachs’ ebook<br />
to bring internalisation to an algo. This<br />
causes the ebook to trigger a skew, that<br />
skew is then shown to certain skew safe<br />
clients to attract liquidity which is in<br />
turn used to fill the algo. “Even if there<br />
is not an offsetting position immediately<br />
available, this can create one,” Donner<br />
adds. “In some of the CEEMEA<br />
pairs, such as Czech/Polish, Franchise<br />
Matching has provided a considerable<br />
improvement to overall execution speed.<br />
This means the client in turn needs to<br />
take less market risk and the mark outs<br />
are very good. It is a very soft mark<br />
out form of liquidity similar to the dark<br />
liquidity that’s available via mid pools.”<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />
3
TOP STORIES<br />
NEWS FEATURES<br />
ANZ Bank joins BidFX as its<br />
newest algo liquidity provider<br />
ANZ Bank has joined BidFX as their newest<br />
algo liquidity provider. BidFX CRO, John<br />
McGrath, commented, “ANZ has a unique<br />
position in the eFX market in terms of<br />
its liquidity franchise and we have seen<br />
strong demand from our sophisticated<br />
institutional clients for ANZ Algo’s on BidFX.<br />
We are thrilled to have them go live on the<br />
BidFX platform and offer clients unique<br />
liquidity from their franchise”.<br />
John McGrath<br />
By choosing ANZ for FX Algorithmic<br />
execution clients can enjoy:<br />
• Liquidity: Tap into the FX Market<br />
with ANZ’s superior access to unique<br />
liquidity pools.<br />
• Internalisation: Access ANZ’s<br />
exceptional Australian dollar, New<br />
Zealand dollar and Asian franchise,<br />
leveraging the Bank’s strong credit<br />
rating and risk appetite.<br />
• Risk Management: Hedge FX<br />
exposures while meeting reporting<br />
obligations with transaction cost<br />
analysis (TCA).<br />
• Flexibility: Parameters that can be<br />
defined and controlled, including<br />
timing, price, and chosen strategy, all<br />
with prevailing market conditions.<br />
Commenting on this development, ANZ<br />
Head of eFICC Luke Marriott said: “ANZ<br />
is pleased to collaborate with BidFX,<br />
bringing our FX Algorithmic execution<br />
offering to the BidFX Algo Hub. We see<br />
synergy in bringing our unique AUD, NZD<br />
and Asian franchise to our mutual clients<br />
throughout Asia and across the globe.”<br />
BidFX, as an SGX Group company, is<br />
a cloud-based provider of eFX trading<br />
solutions for global buyside institutions.<br />
It delivers customised liquidity in all FX<br />
products from partner banks, non-banks<br />
and ECN’s providing broker-neutral and<br />
cutting-edge execution management<br />
services. The firm offers a complete<br />
suite of negotiation protocols and a hub<br />
to the algo suites of all major banks<br />
featuring best execution capabilities.<br />
Its Liquidity Provision Analytics (LPA)<br />
and advanced TCA solutions feature<br />
pre-trade predictive models, in-trade<br />
benchmarking and post-trade synopses.<br />
The company was recently recognised<br />
as the Best Foreign Exchange Solution<br />
at the Hedgeweek European Emerging<br />
Manager Awards <strong>2023</strong>.<br />
FOR THE DIARY<br />
TradeTech FX USA 2024<br />
February 13, 2024 | Buy Side Only FX Innovation Day<br />
February 14 - 15, 2024 | Main Conference Days<br />
Free attendance for the buy side<br />
TradeTech FX returns in February 2024 (13 - 15) and this<br />
year the event is taking place at the beautiful JW Marriot<br />
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• Join buy side focused sessions led by 50+ buy side heads<br />
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insights on how you can adapt your execution and<br />
investment strategy to future-proof your FX desk<br />
• Gain unparalleled face-to-face networking with the entire<br />
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including all the major buy side, sell side, regulators and<br />
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• Join the ‘Buy Side TradeTech FX Innovation Day’ (13 Feb)<br />
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4 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>
Photos by Richard Hadley.<br />
TradeTech FX Europe <strong>2023</strong>: FX<br />
algos and TCA in the spotlight<br />
yet. In order for swaps algos to be a<br />
more viable option, panellists highlighted<br />
the need for better TCA and that liquidity<br />
issues in certain currencies outside of<br />
G10, such as emerging markets pairs,<br />
still require a human touch. The current<br />
market structure was cited as another<br />
reason why the development of FX<br />
swaps algos was not at the “forefront”<br />
of future plans.<br />
RECENT EVENT<br />
Market leaders from across the FX<br />
industry convened in Paris this September<br />
to attend the annual TradeTechFX Europe<br />
conference. The event once again<br />
explored the role of FX algos and TCA in<br />
the evolving market infrastructure and<br />
brought into focus key trends and areas<br />
where more work remains to be done.<br />
One of the key areas of interest for the<br />
event was the development of CLOBs for<br />
swaps and what this might mean for the<br />
further electronification of the FX market<br />
and its potential impact. In a panel<br />
discussion, leading figures discussed how<br />
algo offering might potentially accelerate<br />
the electronification of the FX swaps<br />
market or if that was further down the<br />
line. The discussion, chaired by Stephane<br />
Malrait, Chairman, ACI FMA, was held<br />
with Emmanuel Hurault, FX, Credit,<br />
Rates and Derivatives Dealer, Groupama<br />
Asset Management; Ben Pearson, Co-<br />
Head Global G10 & PM STIR Trading,<br />
UBS; Simon Jones, Chief Growth Officer,<br />
360T and Paul Milward, Head of Product<br />
at 24 Exchange.<br />
360T have recently revealed that<br />
Deutsche Bank and ING had executed<br />
the first trade on 360T’s Swaps<br />
User Network (SUN), which allows<br />
streaming mid liquidity via API. The<br />
innovation is hailed as a paradigm shift<br />
for the industry. Commenting on the<br />
development, Jones explained that<br />
360T was confident the move will mark<br />
a “fundamental change in how banks<br />
trade FX swaps, opening the door to<br />
auto-hedging, aggregation and even<br />
algorithmic execution”.<br />
24 Exchange also shared further details<br />
about its own plans for a new swaps<br />
electronic streaming platform. Yet while<br />
the consensus was that while automation<br />
in the swaps space was welcomed, the<br />
need for FX swaps algos was not there<br />
Liquidity access and market impact were<br />
a further primary topic covered during<br />
the event. A panel including business<br />
heads from JP Morgan, FX HedgePool,<br />
XTX Markets, UBS and SEB discussed the<br />
role of TCA and the imbalance between<br />
FX spot, where analytics are more<br />
developed, to other instruments where<br />
TCA is not at the same stage. According<br />
to one panellist, while TCA has come<br />
a long way, there is still a long way to<br />
go. The consensus was that TCA must<br />
provide more insights around the true<br />
market impact, a sentiment which was<br />
backed up an audience poll held during<br />
the discussion. When asked whether TCA<br />
models go far enough to explain market<br />
impact and the potential influence on<br />
the outcome of a trade from prehedging<br />
risk, some 83% said no while a<br />
mere 17% believed that it did.<br />
Poll: Do current TCA models go far<br />
enough to explain market impact<br />
and the potential influence on<br />
the outcome of a trade from prehedging<br />
risk?<br />
No – 83%<br />
Yes – 17 %<br />
The development of the swaps market,<br />
including a CLOB for swaps, was<br />
expected to lead to improved TCA<br />
offerings. Some buyside firms may also<br />
not being using TCA data to the best of<br />
their advantage, according to discussions.<br />
According to a panellist, many are not<br />
aware of the importance of looking at<br />
certain metrics, such as market impact<br />
or reversion. They added that when<br />
analytics users start asking for this data<br />
then they will be able to “know if an<br />
algo is smart”.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />
5
MARKETWATCH<br />
Carolina Trujillo, Head of e-FX<br />
Distribution at SEB, evaluates<br />
how a review of the FX Global<br />
Code is likely to impact on algos.<br />
With the latest FX Global Code survey having been recently completed ahead of the<br />
three-year review coming up in early 2024, we asked Carolina Trujillo, Head of e-FX<br />
Distribution at SEB, to reflect on what the latest review has contributed in terms of<br />
algos and whether any more could be done to further enhance transparency and<br />
improve information sharing with users.<br />
Carolina Trujillo<br />
Both the algo and TCA template<br />
introduced under the last FX Global<br />
Code review were highly beneficial and<br />
have contributed to more informed<br />
discussions and questions from our<br />
clients. In particular, the way it has<br />
generalised some quite specific and<br />
advanced concepts would not have<br />
been reached without the standards<br />
and the recommendations to publish<br />
such information.<br />
Having algo disclaimers on your website<br />
is an excellent start, but we should not<br />
expect clients to browse through their<br />
liquidity providers websites. Making<br />
sure that the salesforce can spread that<br />
valuable information to clients during<br />
meetings and conversations is key to<br />
continue enriching the dialogues and<br />
helping the industry in providing greater<br />
transparency.<br />
The algo discussions we have with clients<br />
can be divided into two main categories.<br />
The first category is how our algos work<br />
and the different parameters that a client<br />
can choose. This even encompasses the<br />
logic we use to select our venues and<br />
what we look at in the execution logic<br />
in order to always strive for the best<br />
possible outcome for the client.<br />
When we evaluate counterparties for<br />
trading, there are a number of metrics<br />
to look at. This can include:<br />
• Fill ratio - this statistic tells us if the<br />
prices that are observed are actually<br />
tradable. If the fill ratio is low, meaning<br />
that the prices are often not tradable,<br />
the expected algo transaction cost<br />
might be too optimistic.<br />
6 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>
• Cost-of-cancel, defined as: “The price movement in the<br />
second-best market (B) from the time an order was sent<br />
to the best market (A), cancelled and re-sent to Market<br />
B.” Where fill ratio tells us what the true transaction<br />
cost estimation is, cost-of-cancel tells us the estimated<br />
opportunity cost of getting the priority between venues<br />
wrong. Fill ratio and cost of cancel are metrics trying to<br />
describe what happens at the time of execution.<br />
We also want to understand what happens in the market after<br />
we execute: Does any venue show signs of market impact? If<br />
the executed amount ends up at a counterparty that would<br />
immediately hedge this flow on a lit market, other market<br />
participants might pick this signal up and thus change the<br />
way they quote in the market, anticipating even more flow.<br />
This is, of course, counterproductive to what the algo is trying<br />
to achieve and is monitored with great care. We minimise<br />
market impact by internalising the Scandi flow through our<br />
unique Scandinavian and international client franchise and<br />
carefully selecting the venues on which we trade. In other<br />
currency pairs, this careful selection is to make sure that we<br />
find counterparties that are internalising the flow, or venues<br />
with the lowest market impact, and thus would not affect the<br />
markets.<br />
The second category of discussion is about a specific<br />
execution. In these conversations we are going to look more<br />
at the external factors that can impact the choice of the<br />
execution. Looking at a concrete example with the help<br />
of data gives valuable insight to our customers about the<br />
execution they are considering. It is some of the information<br />
that a pre-trade TCA can provide to you with. A usual<br />
question from clients is: “When should I use an algo?” These<br />
metrics help clients make that informed decision.<br />
For example:<br />
• What is the current spread in the market and how does<br />
that stand against historical spreads? A wider spread<br />
would advocate a more passive algo.<br />
• What is the current risk transfer price and how does that<br />
stand against historical risk transfer prices? The higher the<br />
risk transfer price is, the more sense it makes to use an<br />
algo for your execution.<br />
• What are the liquidity and volatility conditions? The lower<br />
the liquidity, and the lower the volatility, the longer time<br />
you might want to select for your algo execution.<br />
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A survey on Machine<br />
Learning algorithms<br />
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EDUCATION & TRAINING<br />
RESEARCH & REPORTS<br />
• Are there any upcoming economic events that we need to<br />
take into consideration?<br />
A lot of information needs to be considered when placing an<br />
algo. As we use the same algorithms for our own trading as<br />
the ones we offer to our clients, we do have a great history of<br />
executions to draw conclusions from. This, together with the<br />
expertise from our sales giving color on the current market<br />
conditions, is one of the success factors of the SEB execution<br />
algos.<br />
Machine learning algorithms have been widely employed<br />
in FX trading due to the vast amount of historical data<br />
available. These algorithms can analyze currency exchange<br />
rates, economic indicators, geopolitical events, and other<br />
factors to predict short-term or long-term movements in<br />
currency pairs.<br />
ijsrst.com/IJSRST523103163<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />
7
INDUSTRY VIEWS<br />
What lies in the road ahead<br />
for FX algo trading in 2024?<br />
One constant in any market is change. Looking back over the past year’s headlines in<br />
<strong>FXAlgoNews</strong> and it is easy to see that the evolution of the algo industry has continued<br />
apace. The market is more mature and clients are increasingly adopting algo use for a<br />
wider range of order types. Meanwhile across the wider FX industry, the impact of changes<br />
to volatility, liquidity access and the arrival of new venues and technologies is also being<br />
felt. Some of world’s largest banks are spearheading a great deal of the current innovation<br />
that is taking place in e-FX so what developments do they expect to see with algorithmic FX<br />
trading in 2024? Nicola Tavendale investigates.<br />
Nicola Tavendale<br />
Image by shutterstock<br />
8 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>
Following three years of gathering<br />
insights from an annual Global Client<br />
Fixed Income Market Structure Survey,<br />
Barclays conducted a similar exercise<br />
with its FX clients for the first time this<br />
year. The results provide a telling insight<br />
into the key areas of focus for clients,<br />
particularly so for the FX algo business.<br />
One of the most significant findings<br />
were the number of clients who were<br />
planning to look more closely at FX<br />
market liquidity and how to access it,<br />
says Ajay Kataria, Head of Electronic FX<br />
Distribution, Americas at Barclays. “For<br />
our clients, liquidity access was shown<br />
to be their biggest area of concern,”<br />
Kataria adds. “We believe this is also a<br />
big part of the story for 2024. Putting<br />
this in the context of FX algos, this<br />
means the focus for our clients will<br />
be very much around finding the best<br />
liquidity and navigating this changing<br />
market structure and landscape.”<br />
When clients were asked how they<br />
review a dealer’s algo functionality, the<br />
most important area was found to be<br />
internalisation. Kataria explains that<br />
internalisation will also continue to be<br />
a key area of focus for the business to<br />
further leverage the benefits that come<br />
from having such a large franchise.<br />
Ensuring that the FX algo offering is<br />
constantly improving and adapting<br />
to the changing FX landscape it also<br />
essential, says Preston Mesick, Global<br />
Head of FX Algos at Barclays. “This will<br />
be a big area focus for us next year,”<br />
he adds. “FX is very much a follow-theleader<br />
market. With new venues and<br />
new orders types coming to market,<br />
this will really change the nature of<br />
FX liquidity.” Being able to help clients<br />
navigate the changing landscape and<br />
market structure will be very important<br />
looking to 2024, notes Mesick. “For<br />
example, as the market and NDF<br />
liquidity expands, we will continue<br />
to assess and update the number of<br />
liquidity sources that our NDF algo<br />
offering is able to access,” he says.<br />
Another big theme for the coming<br />
year will be improving the quality<br />
of FX algo execution assessments,<br />
according to Vittorio Nuti, Global Head<br />
of Listed Derivatives & FX Algo Trading<br />
at Deutsche Bank. “The industry as<br />
a whole is maturing and the algo<br />
clients are becoming increasingly<br />
sophisticated. With that comes<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />
9
INDUSTRY VIEWS<br />
Ajay Kataria<br />
“For our clients,<br />
liquidity access was<br />
shown to be their<br />
biggest area of<br />
concern.”<br />
demand for a better quality assessment<br />
of the algos that they are employing,<br />
whether that is through third-party<br />
TCA or their own in house analytics,”<br />
Nuti says. Assessing the provider of<br />
the algo should also be an important<br />
consideration, he adds. “The quality of<br />
execution will naturally vary over the<br />
course of weeks, months or even years,<br />
which is why it is important to assess<br />
the quality of algo execution at a global<br />
level,” says Nuti. “For algo providers,<br />
that assessment will be key to getting<br />
more business.”<br />
Preston Mesick<br />
“We have increased our<br />
internalisation rate of<br />
passive algos by around<br />
4x in the past year,<br />
which is substantial.”<br />
INCREASING COMPETITION<br />
A further trend which is increasingly<br />
coming to the fore is demand for client<br />
customisation of algos, although as<br />
Nuti explains, it can prove to be very<br />
difficult to customise algos to clients<br />
requirements. He says: “Most of the<br />
time, those requirements are quite<br />
fuzzy in nature. This is why the industry<br />
as a whole is based on results. It is<br />
about achieving the right outcomes for<br />
the clients, but ultimately each client<br />
may have slightly different targets<br />
that they’re aiming for in their algo<br />
execution.” At Deutsche Bank, the<br />
focus is in on having these detailed<br />
conversations with clients to understand<br />
how to help them effectively. “One of<br />
the main strengths of our algo business<br />
is that the team is perfectly aligned with<br />
wanting to achieve the best outcomes<br />
for our clients,” says Nuti.<br />
Meanwhile at Goldman Sachs, the<br />
recent development of a new way to<br />
bring internalisation to algo execution<br />
is also notably gaining traction.<br />
Called Franchise Matching, it works in<br />
partnership with the ebook to create<br />
an offsetting position for the FX algo,<br />
even when there is not one immediately<br />
available. This has been particularly<br />
successful with more sophisticated<br />
clients, such as systematic hedge funds,<br />
but also with other banks, says Dr Ralf<br />
Donner, Head of Marquee Execution<br />
Solutions at Goldman Sachs. “As one of<br />
the leading algo providers we are active<br />
in marketing our product to the spot<br />
desks of smaller banks, who perhaps<br />
do not have the same means or the<br />
same variety of tools for execution.<br />
Franchise Matching is an exciting<br />
development and has proven to be very<br />
successful with these desks, in providing<br />
something that is competitive compared<br />
to direct market access,” Donner says.<br />
He adds that it is however worth noting<br />
that there will be times where it may<br />
not be suitable, such as Goldman<br />
Sachs having positioned in the same<br />
direction as the client who is attempting<br />
to trade. This is why it is important<br />
to have control and for the Franchise<br />
Matching functionality to not be set<br />
in stone, Donner explains. “It is not<br />
necessary to suspend or cancel the<br />
algo if Franchise Matching is too slow.<br />
Clients can easily modify their access to<br />
different categories of liquidity, selecting<br />
additional liquidity or even unselecting<br />
Franchise Matching if it isn’t effective,<br />
and choose other forms of liquidity<br />
instead,” he says. “Another reason why<br />
it has done so well is that we also have<br />
internal demand for this tool, with our<br />
own voice traders now actively using it<br />
for their risk management purposes.”<br />
INNOVATION AND<br />
DEVELOPMENT<br />
The analytics results from third-party<br />
TCA are also making the offering more<br />
attractive to clients, Donner adds.<br />
Clients have started looking at this data<br />
more closely and increasingly it is not<br />
just about overall all-in performance, he<br />
explains. “The TCA may include certain<br />
specifics, such as performance by<br />
individual venue,” Donner says. “Clients<br />
are now starting to ask questions<br />
about the venues that they’re accessing<br />
when they trade with our algos. It<br />
has become increasingly important<br />
to demonstrate value and, when it<br />
comes to internalisation for instance,<br />
to have made that as high quality as<br />
possible. This is what we have done with<br />
Franchise Matching.”<br />
Differentiation between algo providers<br />
is also going to be a lot more data<br />
driven than it has been in past, says<br />
Mesick. Customers now have more<br />
access to data from external providers<br />
as well as bank TCA, he explains.<br />
“How they interpret and use that data<br />
to make decisions about where to<br />
go with what flow is also becoming<br />
more sophisticated. Our relationship<br />
with customers is very important<br />
but these conversations around algo<br />
performance are becoming much<br />
more data driven than in the past,”<br />
says Mesick. “Differentiating between<br />
the various algo providers is going to<br />
come down to performance. If your<br />
algos are performing, you’re far more<br />
likely to continue executing with those<br />
customers, while the providers who<br />
have issues accessing liquidity are going<br />
to be more easily identified.”<br />
Another effect of better analytics<br />
data is that clients now have a better<br />
understanding of how their execution<br />
impacts the markets, notes Mesick. He<br />
adds: “This is one of the main reasons<br />
why internalisation has been so key,<br />
especially in our passive algos suite.<br />
We have increased our internalisation<br />
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<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />
11
INDUSTRY VIEWS<br />
Vittorio Nuti<br />
“One of the main<br />
strengths of our algo<br />
business is that the<br />
team is perfectly<br />
aligned with wanting<br />
to achieve the best<br />
outcomes for our<br />
clients.”<br />
rate of passive algos by around 4x in<br />
the past year, which is substantial.<br />
We are already seeing the benefits of<br />
that change from a TCA perspective.<br />
Ultimately, it is now one of our biggest<br />
differentiators as an algo provider.”<br />
IMPROVING THE USER<br />
EXPERIENCE<br />
A further differentiator which stands<br />
out for clients is in how well FX algos<br />
can be integrated into their existing<br />
workflows, Mesick says. “Clients are<br />
now more comfortable and familiar<br />
with the algos, so now they are<br />
increasingly looking at how the algos<br />
fit into their workflow, how they can<br />
be more efficient and do the same<br />
amount with less. Seemless workflow<br />
integration is now another important<br />
factor for algo clients, especially in a<br />
cost constrained environment as rates<br />
are obviously in a much different place<br />
than they were a year ago,” he adds.<br />
Kataria agrees, adding that this was also<br />
reflected in the findings of the client<br />
survey results. When asked what the<br />
most important consideration was when<br />
reviewing the performance of dealer<br />
algos, internalisation was the number<br />
one response, at 33%. “Just behind<br />
internalisation however, the second most<br />
important factor was configuration of<br />
algo at an order level,” says Kataria. “We<br />
differentiate by performance as well as<br />
making sure we offer what our clients<br />
need, such as workflow facilitation.”<br />
The role of analytics will also be<br />
increasing based on observing how a<br />
client trades in order to then suggest<br />
ways to improve their execution, adds<br />
Nuti. He explains that this ties in to the<br />
ability to customise orders. “Our remit<br />
is to optimise capturing that execution<br />
in a reasonable timeframe. But some<br />
clients may have very short term alpha,<br />
where others might have very long term<br />
alpha. So we might have more time<br />
to execute, which is another way of<br />
customising the execution,” says Nuti.<br />
“We have had successful engagements<br />
with clients who trade very small sizes,<br />
to very large sizes, all through FX algos,<br />
and the performance is very sustainable.<br />
Optimising workflows streamlines<br />
the process for clients, so instead of<br />
spending time in trying to manage<br />
various LPs or multiple connections,<br />
they just have one or two. These are<br />
all hidden but real costs, which we can<br />
help to minimise.”<br />
For algos, Nuti says that Deutsche Bank<br />
currently offers some of the widest<br />
coverage on the market. “We offer<br />
deliverables in both G10 and EM pairs,<br />
while also covering LatAm and Asian<br />
NDFs alongside precious metals.” Hedge<br />
funds are also expected to increasingly<br />
adopt algo execution, according to Nuti,<br />
while the size at which they start using<br />
them will change as well. “The average<br />
algo client might currently expect to use<br />
an algo to execute an order size of at<br />
least 20-30 million, but the size at which<br />
they will start to consider using an algo<br />
will likely get much smaller,” he adds.<br />
AREAS OF NEW GROWTH<br />
A key form of internalisation at Barclays<br />
is the ability to use an FX algo to<br />
access the franchise liquidity, notes<br />
Mesick. “Our Barx Gator algo suite in<br />
particular allow us to show interest<br />
to our franchise directly. Being able<br />
to tap into that franchise has really<br />
vaulted our internalisation rates and is<br />
one of the main ways we think about<br />
internalisation.”<br />
Clients are becoming increasingly sophisticated and demanding better quality assessment<br />
of the algos that they are employing<br />
Bringing together the concept of<br />
the evolving liquidity landscape with<br />
customer demand for NDF algos also<br />
makes sense as the two are related,<br />
according to Mesick. The maturation of<br />
the underlying liquidity in the different<br />
electronic venues for various currencies<br />
is a lot more varied than the deliverable<br />
space, he explains. “We already support<br />
NDF algos, but as key markets continue<br />
12 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>
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<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />
13
INDUSTRY VIEWS<br />
Dr Ralf Donner<br />
“Clients are now<br />
starting to ask<br />
questions about the<br />
venues that they’re<br />
accessing when they<br />
trade with our algos.”<br />
to mature and electronify further,<br />
we will be able to offer increasingly<br />
advanced algos to trade.”<br />
Over the past decade, one question<br />
which continues to be raised by FX algo<br />
clients is what volumes are being traded<br />
in a particular currency pair, according<br />
to Donner. “This is still a difficult<br />
question to answer. One development<br />
is that we are currently helping to<br />
contribute to a third-party vwap<br />
benchmark in conjunction with one of<br />
the third-party TCA providers,” he says.<br />
“They have a client request for a vwap<br />
benchmark from a variety of different<br />
banks and we are contributing to that.<br />
As contributors, we then also get to see<br />
the final benchmark. This is the one of<br />
the first concerted attempts to produce<br />
a vwap benchmark for FX.”<br />
In house, Goldman Sachs is also<br />
currently building out a pre-trade toolkit<br />
utilising live market data, Donner adds.<br />
“The fundamental concept is similar in<br />
design to a tool that we had launched<br />
on marquee previously for options<br />
structuring which we call the Visual<br />
Structuring tool. This is essentially an<br />
analogous version of that, but used to<br />
make the decision between trading with<br />
an algo or trading using a risk price.<br />
Equally, it tries to show all aspects of<br />
market liquidity as well as possible algo<br />
outcomes versus alternatives on a single<br />
chart. This is going to be a very powerful<br />
tool which we can share with our clients<br />
in the very near future.”<br />
THE END OF AI IN ALGOS?<br />
When it comes to the future utilisation<br />
of AI in FX algos, Donner re-asserts the<br />
position that AI has no place in this<br />
very limited set of markets. “AI can be<br />
useful for algo trading in other markets<br />
with far more instruments to be traded,<br />
such as futures. But in FX, it’s just<br />
not worth the risk of a very unusual,<br />
unexpected algo outcome in even a<br />
tiny fraction of cases.” Nuti adds that<br />
in the case of AI, the biggest issue is<br />
being able to use it in a highly regulated<br />
industry such as FX. “You go from A<br />
to B, but you cannot explain how you<br />
got there. That is difficult to explain<br />
to a regulator and not a place most<br />
institutions want to be in,” he says. “Yet<br />
machine learning, reinforced learning,<br />
econometrics, things that are much<br />
more deterministic in their outcomes,<br />
are proving to be a much better area<br />
of focus. The algo market is going to<br />
continue concentrating on this area,<br />
rather than AI.”<br />
According to Barclays’ client survey<br />
findings, clients are also increasingly<br />
allocating their algorithmic execution<br />
based upon historical performance.<br />
“Clients have become more<br />
sophisticated in their use of data. When<br />
we asked them how they allocate their<br />
flow to dealers, the largest response at<br />
29% said this was based on historical<br />
algo performance,” says Kataria. “As<br />
data analytics comes more into play, we<br />
will see clients building more of algo<br />
wheels. Data driven decision making<br />
is key in algo trading.” Automation will<br />
also prove key as the use of algo wheels<br />
increases, with more clients investing in<br />
data and analytics behind these tools,<br />
says Mesick. “This will automate algo<br />
selection and provide a better view as<br />
to where they need to be routing their<br />
orders,” he adds.<br />
Another question which continues to be raised by FX algo clients is what volumes are<br />
being traded in a particular currency pair<br />
TOWARDS MATURITY<br />
Generally, the FX algo market is now<br />
fairly robust, says Kataria, with some<br />
37% of clients taking part in the survey<br />
having said that they now leverage<br />
dealer algos. “This follows the general<br />
industry trend of the algo market<br />
now being fairly mature,” he adds. “At<br />
Barclays we have a very mature product<br />
given that we were one of the first<br />
banks to deliver algos. So at this point,<br />
for us, it’s about a lot of small tweaks<br />
that have large back end impacts.<br />
And that’s been our biggest focus for<br />
<strong>2023</strong> and will continue to be a focus<br />
for 2024. Internalisation is one of the<br />
things we have been talking about the<br />
most as it’s had the biggest impact on<br />
our client performance and we think it<br />
will continue to have that impact,” he<br />
concludes.<br />
14 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>
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<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />
15
?<br />
ASK A PROVIDER<br />
Commerzbank shines light<br />
on internalisation impact<br />
for FX algos<br />
The concept of internalisation is particularly nuanced in FX, while the varying definitions<br />
between providers can make like-for-like comparisons difficult. Tibor Gergely, Head of<br />
e-FX Liquidity Provision at Commerzbank, explains the issues this creates for FX algo clients<br />
and how Commerzbank helps to promote greater transparency around the liquidity sources<br />
used by its execution algos.<br />
Tibor Gergely<br />
How does Commerzbank define<br />
internalisation? What is the impact<br />
of internalisation in the use of<br />
execution algos?<br />
In the specific context of an agency<br />
algorithmic execution, we define<br />
internalisation as the proportion of<br />
At Commerzbank we think<br />
that the internalisation<br />
rate should be defined in<br />
the simplest way as client<br />
only volume divided by<br />
total volume traded.<br />
volume filled on Commerzbank’s<br />
principal liquidity coming from its<br />
automated e-FX market making desk.<br />
All of Commerzbank’s execution<br />
algorithms allow the client to either<br />
select Commerzbank liquidity only as<br />
the liquidity pool, or a hybrid mode,<br />
where both our market making desk’s<br />
liquidity and external market sources<br />
are used to fill the order. When only<br />
our liquidity is selected, the algo’s<br />
internalisation rate is 100%.<br />
The natural and important subsequent<br />
consideration is what is the<br />
internalisation rate of Commerzbank’s<br />
eFX principal market making desk?<br />
It would be deceiving to say the<br />
execution algorithm has a 100%<br />
internationalisation rate if the principal<br />
market making desk hedged every<br />
single child order back-to-back<br />
right away on external markets. The<br />
precise definition of internalisation<br />
for a principal market making desk is<br />
more equivocal. Clearly, hedging the<br />
market making risk on public venues<br />
that disseminate market data and<br />
are considered paramount for price<br />
discovery constitutes externalisation. But<br />
what about dark mid match venues?<br />
One can argue it is externalisation as the<br />
risk is transferred to another liquidity<br />
provider (LP). On the other hand, that<br />
other liquidity provider was posting<br />
interest because it had the opposite<br />
position in its book. Therefore, when<br />
thinking about liquidity providers as a<br />
group, the client flow ended up being<br />
absorbed in one of the LP’s inventories<br />
and thus it was internalised.<br />
The main reason liquidity consumers<br />
prefer LPs that internalise is to limit<br />
market impact. If the flow ends its path<br />
with an LP that is happy to sit on that<br />
risk for a while, one can argue the flow<br />
was internalised and the market did<br />
not move because of it. How about<br />
skewing, showing an axe to liquidity<br />
consumers? Again, one can argue that<br />
it is internalisation as the LP exits risk<br />
with a liquidity consumer (LC). It is<br />
not that simple, skewing to the wrong<br />
LC will create market impact. Market<br />
participants who take advantage of LP<br />
skews to recycle their liquidity will have<br />
market impact.<br />
Why does Commerzbank’s approach<br />
particularly benefit FX algo users?<br />
Image by shutterstock<br />
At Commerzbank, we think that the<br />
internalisation rate should be defined in<br />
the simplest way as client only volume<br />
divided by total volume traded. LPs with<br />
a large and diverse franchise who see<br />
16 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>
Can algo analytics help to shape<br />
and inform client understanding<br />
and further improve their execution<br />
performance when using algos?<br />
bi-directional flows will display the highest<br />
internalisation rates. Commerzbank<br />
has increased is risk appetite over the<br />
last few months and is increasing its<br />
internalisation rate. We take pride in being<br />
able to provide liquidity even during the<br />
most volatile market conditions, when<br />
interbank liquidity can be patchier in<br />
some currency pairs. Trading with a true<br />
We take pride in being<br />
able to provide liquidity<br />
even during the most<br />
volatile market conditions<br />
market maker that absorbs the flow<br />
and can take on large inventory limits<br />
market impact and benefits the liquidity<br />
consumers. An execution algorithm<br />
filling a large proportion on internal<br />
liquidity is better to avoid signalling<br />
and market impact only if the principal<br />
source of liquidity behind it has a very<br />
high internalisation rate too.<br />
It is paramount to be entirely<br />
transparent on the liquidity sources<br />
used to fill an execution algorithm. It is<br />
not enough to report what proportion<br />
of trades are filled on ‘internal’<br />
liquidity as the market impact benefit<br />
will eventually be dictated by the<br />
internalisation rate of the internal source<br />
of liquidity. A good TCA will clearly<br />
give the source of liquidity for every<br />
child order. A step further in the right<br />
direction can be to give a sense of the<br />
potential for signalling or market impact<br />
depending on which liquidity source<br />
is used by the execution algorithm.<br />
The issue of different definitions of<br />
internalisation used by algo providers<br />
impacts clients when trying to compare<br />
key algo performance metrics, but this<br />
can be overcome by being explicit in<br />
terms of what is the exact definition of<br />
internalization used when an LP says<br />
‘we internalise X%’.<br />
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<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />
17
BUYSIDE PERSPECTIVES<br />
Navigating the shift<br />
in FX execution<br />
strategies<br />
By Allan Guild and James Chapman, Directors at Hilltop Walk Consulting<br />
In foreign exchange (FX) markets, participants are continuously seeking ways to enhance<br />
efficiency, reduce costs, and optimize their trading strategies. In particular, participants are<br />
looking to shift their execution to more sophisticated algorithmic (algo) trading strategies<br />
and away from traditional Request for Quote (RFQ) or Risk Transfer. This evolution in<br />
trading practices reflects a broader industry move towards automation and data-driven<br />
decision-making. This article aims to delve into the reasons behind the growing preference<br />
for executing using algos rather than traditional methods like RFQ or Risk Transfer.<br />
Through the insights of Hilltop Walk<br />
Consulting and a detailed analysis of<br />
these points above, we can start to<br />
provide FX market participants with a<br />
guide on transitioning to algo trading,<br />
ensuring more informed decisions and<br />
successful outcomes in their trading<br />
strategies.<br />
REDUCING TOTAL EXECUTION<br />
COST WITH ALGOS<br />
Embracing larger trades for cost<br />
efficiency<br />
Allan Guild<br />
We will explore five key considerations<br />
for market participants contemplating a<br />
switch to using FX algos:<br />
1. Reducing total execution cost<br />
with algos: Understanding how algo<br />
trading can lead to more efficient<br />
and cost-effective execution.<br />
2. Effective FX algo strategies:<br />
Evaluating the three main algo<br />
strategies that stand out as viable<br />
alternatives to traditional methods.<br />
3. Choosing algo providers: The<br />
James Chapman<br />
importance of selecting the right<br />
algo providers and why limiting the<br />
choice to a few is beneficial.<br />
4. Systematic benchmarking<br />
and analytics: How a structured<br />
approach to benchmarking and<br />
analytics is vital in assessing algo<br />
trading performance.<br />
5. Considering the end-to-end<br />
impact: Understanding the broader<br />
implications of changing your<br />
execution model on overall trading<br />
operations.<br />
A key criterion for realizing the reduced<br />
execution costs promised by algo<br />
trading is the consistent execution<br />
of FX trades significantly larger than<br />
the minimum interdealer trade size<br />
of around $1 million; trades should<br />
consistently be in excess of $10 million<br />
to $20 million. Smaller trades cannot be<br />
broken down any further by an algo and<br />
have less market impact to consider, so<br />
it is less likely that they are suited to this<br />
execution style.<br />
Understanding the cost dynamics<br />
The primary motivation for shifting<br />
from RFQ/Risk Transfer execution to FX<br />
algos lies in the potential for reduced<br />
18 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>
there are really just three primary algo<br />
strategies that participants should<br />
consider as alternatives to traditional<br />
RFQ or Risk Transfer execution.<br />
Understanding these strategies and<br />
their implications is key for market<br />
participants looking to optimize their FX<br />
execution.<br />
The choice of FX algo strategy depends on the specific needs and circumstances of the<br />
market participant<br />
execution costs. However, this doesn’t<br />
necessarily mean each trade will cost<br />
less in isolation. Transitioning to algo<br />
trading involves transferring market risk<br />
from the market-maker to the trader.<br />
This shift means that the final price of<br />
each trade executed using an FX algo<br />
depends on the fluctuations in the<br />
underlying currency price during the<br />
execution period.<br />
The shift in risk and its implications<br />
In traditional market-making, the<br />
provider does not know the price at<br />
which they will be able to hedge the<br />
trade. As a result, they make a profit<br />
on some client risk-transfer trades<br />
and a loss on others, incorporating<br />
a risk premium into their pricing to<br />
mitigate this uncertainty. In contrast,<br />
algo execution usually incurs a smaller,<br />
risk-free algo usage fee, as marketmakers<br />
no longer need to charge a risk<br />
premium to guarantee an upfront price.<br />
take a substantial number of trades and<br />
a significant time period to gather firm<br />
evidence of a reduction in execution<br />
costs.<br />
EFFECTIVE FX ALGO<br />
STRATEGIES<br />
Choosing the right algo strategies is<br />
crucial for effective execution. It can<br />
be difficult to navigate the myriad of<br />
different algo providers and differently<br />
named algo implementations. However,<br />
1. Execution Scheduling algo<br />
This strategy is characterized by its<br />
systematic approach to executing<br />
trades over a specified period. The most<br />
common form in FX trading is the Time<br />
Weighted Average Price (TWAP), where<br />
the trader specifies the amount to be<br />
executed and the time period, aiming to<br />
match the average price throughout the<br />
execution. Variations include the Volume<br />
Weighted Average Price (VWAP), which<br />
weights the execution by the volume<br />
traded during the period, and the<br />
Percentage of Volume (PoV), where the<br />
trader specifies a percentage of the total<br />
market volume they wish to transact in<br />
the execution of the trade.<br />
The rationale behind spreading out<br />
execution is twofold: benchmarking<br />
a trade against an average price over<br />
time instead of a single arrival price,<br />
and reducing the market impact of<br />
the trade. The duration of execution<br />
is a critical decision for the user, as<br />
a longer period may result in lower<br />
market impact but introduces more<br />
price variance due to market movements<br />
during execution.<br />
Variance in execution costs<br />
While switching to algos is likely to<br />
reduce the expected total execution<br />
cost, it also increases the variance in<br />
execution costs between different<br />
trades. This increased variance requires<br />
a level of comfort from traders, as<br />
they must be prepared for fluctuations<br />
in costs from one trade to another.<br />
Furthermore, due to this variance, it may<br />
While minimizing fees is a<br />
natural goal for any algo user,<br />
the fee difference between<br />
providers is often marginal<br />
compared to the benefits of<br />
choosing an algo that fits a<br />
specific use-case well<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />
19
BUYSIDE PERSPECTIVES<br />
Typically, algo users will benefit from<br />
having more than one algo provider, but<br />
probably not more than three.<br />
The challenge of benchmarking and<br />
comparison<br />
Benchmarking and comparing<br />
outcomes from different algo providers<br />
is considerably more challenging than<br />
it is for RFQ providers. This difficulty<br />
arises due to the expected variance in<br />
outcomes between different trades<br />
executed using the same FX algo. Each<br />
provider’s algorithms might perform<br />
differently under various market<br />
conditions, making direct comparisons<br />
less straightforward.<br />
One of the advantages of algo trading is the vast amount of data generated<br />
2. Arrival Price algos<br />
When executing via RFQ with a marketmaker,<br />
a market participant locks in a<br />
cost against the Arrival Price, the midmarket<br />
price at the start of execution.<br />
Arrival Price algos aim to minimize<br />
execution cost relative to this Arrival<br />
Price, typically using an implementation<br />
shortfall model to balance the potential<br />
market impact of fast execution against<br />
the risk of price changes during slower<br />
execution.<br />
Many Arrival Price algos adapt their<br />
strategy in real-time based on market<br />
conditions, such as accelerating<br />
execution if the market moves against<br />
the algo User or slowing down if the<br />
market moves favourably. This approach<br />
is similar to how market-makers hedge<br />
risk in risk transfer trades, making Arrival<br />
Price algos potentially a good starting<br />
point for participants transitioning<br />
from RFQ to algo trading. However,<br />
understanding the complexity of these<br />
models often leads new algo users to<br />
begin with Execution Scheduling algos.<br />
3. Market Impact Minimisation algos<br />
These algos focus on minimizing the<br />
market impact of a trade, striving to<br />
ensure that the market price follows<br />
its natural path as if the trade had<br />
not occurred. While this objective<br />
is appealing, these algos typically<br />
do not perform well against Arrival<br />
Price benchmarks. As these algos<br />
look to leverage supply and demand<br />
imbalances, they tend to slow down<br />
execution when the market moves<br />
against the buying currency and<br />
accelerate when it moves favourably,<br />
leading to highly variable execution<br />
speeds.<br />
As a result, Market Impact Minimisation<br />
algos are generally suitable for<br />
sophisticated market participants who<br />
have a continuous need to buy or sell<br />
a particular currency in significant<br />
volumes.<br />
The choice of FX algo strategy depends<br />
on the specific needs and circumstances<br />
of the market participant. While<br />
Execution Scheduling algos offer a more<br />
straightforward approach suitable for<br />
many, Arrival Price and Market Impact<br />
Minimisation algos cater to more<br />
specific needs and require a deeper<br />
understanding of market dynamics.<br />
Regardless of the choice, each strategy<br />
offers distinct advantages and plays a<br />
crucial role in the effective execution<br />
of FX trades in today’s algorithm-driven<br />
market.<br />
CHOOSING ALGO PROVIDERS:<br />
STRIKING THE RIGHT<br />
BALANCE<br />
Selecting the appropriate algo<br />
providers can significantly influence the<br />
effectiveness of shifting trading to algos.<br />
Quality of major market-maker<br />
algos<br />
Most major FX market-makers now offer<br />
high-quality FX algo solutions, partly<br />
because they utilize these algorithms<br />
for their internal risk management.<br />
These providers typically have a deep<br />
understanding of market dynamics and<br />
access to extensive data, which enables<br />
them to develop sophisticated and<br />
effective algo solutions.<br />
Specialized algo providers<br />
Besides major market-makers, there<br />
are other algo providers who may have<br />
access to specific pools of liquidity<br />
or unique execution methods. These<br />
providers can offer distinct advantages,<br />
especially in niche areas or for certain<br />
types of trades. Their specialized<br />
approaches can sometimes provide<br />
superior outcomes compared to more<br />
general offerings from larger players.<br />
Balancing fees with fit and support<br />
While minimizing fees is a natural goal<br />
for any algo user, the fee difference<br />
between providers is often marginal<br />
compared to the benefits of choosing<br />
an algo that fits a specific use-case<br />
well. Equally important is the provider’s<br />
user support function, which can be<br />
crucial in responding to queries and<br />
issues. A provider with strong and<br />
responsive support can add significant<br />
value, potentially outweighing any fee<br />
differential.<br />
Avoiding over-reliance on a single<br />
provider<br />
Although most market participants will<br />
find they need fewer algo providers<br />
than market-makers for RFQ business,<br />
20 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>
it is advisable not to rely solely on a<br />
single provider. Having more than one<br />
provider ensures diversification, reduces<br />
dependency risks, and can provide<br />
different perspectives and solutions for<br />
executing trades.<br />
SYSTEMATIC BENCHMARKING<br />
AND ANALYTICS IN FX ALGO<br />
TRADING<br />
A strategic approach to benchmarking<br />
and analytics is crucial for evaluating<br />
the effectiveness of algo trade<br />
executions. algo trading lends itself<br />
to a systematic methodology not<br />
just in trade execution but also in<br />
performance analysis. One of the<br />
advantages of algo trading is the vast<br />
amount of data generated, which<br />
covers both details of the trade<br />
execution and the underlying market<br />
conditions. This data, while rich, can<br />
often be overwhelming, making the<br />
extraction of actionable insights a<br />
challenge, especially given the variance<br />
in outcomes inherent to algo trading.<br />
To navigate this complexity, it’s essential<br />
to adopt a systematic and appropriate<br />
approach for each algo execution.<br />
Using the right benchmarks tailored to<br />
the specific algorithm is a crucial step.<br />
For example, it would be ineffective<br />
to measure the performance of a<br />
Market Impact Minimisation algorithm<br />
against an Arrival Price benchmark. It’s<br />
imperative to match the benchmark to<br />
the intended function of the algo.<br />
While most algo providers offer their<br />
own analytics, relying solely on these<br />
may not be prudent. There are inherent<br />
biases to be aware of, such as a<br />
provider effectively ‘grading their own<br />
homework’, which can skew objectivity.<br />
Moreover, when multiple providers<br />
are used, it becomes challenging to<br />
compare performance across different<br />
algos due to the lack of a standardized<br />
framework.<br />
To mitigate these concerns, engaging a<br />
third-party benchmarking and analytics<br />
provider is often beneficial. Numerous<br />
providers offer a variety of features, with<br />
some permitting the pooling of activity<br />
with other algo users on an anonymized<br />
basis. This can significantly enhance<br />
the analytical process by enabling a<br />
comparative performance analysis across<br />
When multiple providers are used, it becomes challenging to compare performance across<br />
different algos due to the lack of a standardized framework<br />
a broader data set, thus providing a more<br />
comprehensive view of an algo’s efficacy<br />
in different market scenarios.<br />
CONSIDERING THE END-TO-<br />
END IMPACT OF CHANGING<br />
YOUR EXECUTION MODEL<br />
When transitioning to FX algo trading,<br />
it’s crucial to understand that the<br />
change involves much more than<br />
merely altering the execution protocol.<br />
It’s critical to consider the broader<br />
implications, and to implement a<br />
comprehensive end-to-end plan for<br />
successful adoption. This plan must<br />
define how algos will be used, including<br />
the selection of providers, the choice of<br />
algo strategies, and the determination<br />
of specific parameters such as the<br />
duration for a TWAP.<br />
The migration requires a series of<br />
interconnected changes that go beyond<br />
the execution method itself, however.<br />
Key areas of change are:<br />
• Counterparties and credit risk:<br />
Transitioning to algo trading<br />
might involve changing execution<br />
counterparties, which in turn affects<br />
the credit risk profile. It’s important<br />
to reassess and manage these risks<br />
appropriately in the new trading<br />
environment.<br />
• Execution platforms: A change<br />
in trading methodology often<br />
necessitates a shift to different<br />
trading platforms that are optimized<br />
for algo trading. This could mean new<br />
software, interfaces, and possibly<br />
infrastructure.<br />
• Role of executing trader: algo<br />
trading transforms the role of the<br />
trader. Instead of making individual<br />
trading decisions, the focus shifts<br />
towards overseeing algo strategies<br />
and ensuring their effective<br />
implementation.<br />
• Trade affirmation and settlement: The<br />
processes for affirming and settling<br />
trades may also change. This could<br />
involve adapting to new systems<br />
or protocols that align with the<br />
systematic nature of algo trading.<br />
CONCLUSION<br />
Navigating the complexities of the<br />
transition we have been talking about<br />
can be challenging. With their deep<br />
expertise and experience in the FX<br />
market, the team at Hilltop Walk<br />
Consulting bring unique insights into<br />
the process. Allan Guild, having led<br />
FX Client algo Trading at HSBC, and<br />
James Chapman, with his background<br />
in FX Market-Making at Lucid<br />
Markets, have seen first-hand the<br />
evolving landscape of FX trading. Their<br />
boutique consultancy is dedicated to<br />
assisting clients in navigating these<br />
changes.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />
21
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References<br />
Richard S. Sutton and Andrew G. Barto, 2018, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, Second<br />
Edition<br />
Cameron Davidson-Pilon, “Bayesian Methods for Hackers: Probabilistic Programming and Bayesian<br />
Inference “, 2016, Addison-Wesley Data & Analytics<br />
Merton, Robert, 1980, On estimating the expected return on the market: An exploratory investigation.<br />
Journal of Financial Economics, Volume 8, Issue 4, December 1980, Pages 323-361<br />
Junya Honda and Akimichi Takemura, Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Gaussian Bandits<br />
Depends on Priors, Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, Volume 33: Artificial Intelligence<br />
and Statistics, 22-25 April 2014<br />
Tze Leung Lai and Herbert Robbins. Asymptotically efficient adaptive allocation rules. Advances in<br />
applied mathematics, 6(1):4–22, 1985<br />
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