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FXAlgoNews November 2023

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ISSUE 32 | NOVEMBER <strong>2023</strong> WWW.FXALGONEWS.COM FOLLOW US AT:<br />

TOP STORIES<br />

Barclays finds internalisation is<br />

key priority for FX algo users<br />

Barclays has conducted its first Global<br />

FX Market Structure Survey, with the<br />

findings revealing a number of insights<br />

directly around how clients are using FX<br />

algos currently and the drivers behind<br />

those choices. Among the algo specific<br />

findings, the survey revealed that when<br />

it came to reviewing a dealer’s algo<br />

functionality, the leading factor cited by<br />

33% of clients was that internalisation<br />

was one of their most important areas<br />

of consideration. Following this, the<br />

configuration of algos at the order<br />

level was the second leading factor<br />

cited by FX algo users. In addition, the<br />

survey revealed the clients were mainly<br />

allocating their algorithmic execution<br />

based upon historical performance, with<br />

29% stating this was key to how they<br />

allocate that flow to their dealers.<br />

“This survey provides client driven<br />

feedback and the findings reflect our<br />

biggest areas of focus as a business,”<br />

says Ajay Kataria, Head of Electronic FX<br />

Distribution, Americas at Barclays. “As<br />

such a large franchise, we keep liquidity<br />

within our four walls while focusing on<br />

being able to offer our clients what they<br />

need. FX algos are a mature product<br />

and we continue to differentiate by<br />

performance, liquidity provision and<br />

helping clients to navigate the changing<br />

FX market structure.”<br />

Ajay Kataria<br />

Deutsche Bank includes<br />

listed derivatives algo<br />

data in real time TCA<br />

Deutsche Bank is expanding its real<br />

time FX algo TCA to include listed<br />

derivatives algo data for the first time.<br />

The move comes as part of a wider<br />

algo rebuild being undertaken by the<br />

bank which will include FX algos as<br />

well as different asset classes. Currently<br />

all post trade and real time algo TCA is<br />

collected by the Market Colour engine.<br />

Deutsche Bank is looking to make<br />

the same toolsets available for listed<br />

derivatives products as well.<br />

IN THIS ISSUE<br />

p1. TOP STORIES<br />

The latest industry stories<br />

p3: NEWS FEATURES<br />

More in-depth news<br />

p5: RECENT EVENT<br />

TradeTech FX in Paris<br />

p6: MARKET WATCH<br />

Algos and the FX Global Code<br />

Vittorio Nuti<br />

“We have developed a best in class<br />

Market Colour app for FX and now<br />

we will expand into different asset<br />

classes. This is the first version where<br />

we have real time TCA data with listed<br />

derivatives algo data included, allowing<br />

clients to view their orders in real time.<br />

It is a big step forward for us in terms<br />

of unifying our algo systems across the<br />

board,” says Vittorio Nuti, Global Head<br />

of Listed Derivatives & FX Algo Trading<br />

at Deutsche Bank.<br />

p8: INDUSTRY VIEWS<br />

What’s in store for 2024?<br />

p16: ASK A PROVIDER<br />

Shining a light on internalisation<br />

p18: BUYSIDE PERSPECTIVES<br />

Navigating FX execution strategies<br />

p22. SUBSCRIPTIONS<br />

Secure your copies of <strong>FXAlgoNews</strong><br />

p23: INFORMATION & RESOURCES<br />

Links and websites of the month


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2 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>


Goldman Sachs boosts NDF<br />

algo execution with new<br />

enhancements<br />

Providers are increasingly focused on how to continue improving execution outcomes<br />

for FX algo users, including making changes in the background to further improve<br />

efficiencies. Dr Ralf Donner, Head of Marquee Execution Solutions at Goldman Sachs,<br />

shares the latest change to the methodology for rolling FX algos and explains why the<br />

new approach is of particular benefit when it comes to NDF algo execution.<br />

TOP STORIES<br />

NEWS FEATURES<br />

Source: Goldman Sachs Marquee. For illustration purposes only<br />

Dr Ralf Donner<br />

As clients become increasingly<br />

sophisticated in their use of FX algos,<br />

including notably NDF algos, Goldman<br />

Sachs has focused on creating further<br />

efficiencies ‘under the hood’ of its<br />

algo offering. This has resulted in a<br />

recent change to the way the bank rolls<br />

algos, with a new focus on improving<br />

the forward points by “TWAP-ing”<br />

the points to ensure tighter spreads<br />

and better quality fills. The new<br />

methodology involves rolling the child<br />

orders during the execution of the<br />

algo, so each time a fill comes in, the<br />

child order is rolled or, in the case of<br />

synthetics, both legs of the order the<br />

forward points are rolled on each of the<br />

individual child orders.<br />

DRIVERS<br />

Donner explains that the initial driver<br />

behind this new development was to<br />

further enhance NDF algo execution.<br />

“Our main motivation was to ensure we<br />

have a very robust product for trading<br />

NDFs, but in doing so we have created a<br />

very important new enhancement to all<br />

our algos. This includes spot algos that<br />

are rolled to a forward date. At some<br />

point in the future, clients will now not<br />

necessarily need to know where the<br />

liquidity is in the given currency pairs,<br />

they will not need to know is it a first<br />

future date, is it a spot date, is it one<br />

month. Instead, the client will see the<br />

EURUSD and EURCZK aggregate orderbooks. The visibly different EURCZK market structure<br />

can pose a challenge to traditional algos<br />

improved performance of the algos<br />

neatly encapsulated in the data, in their<br />

TCA reports, which will give them the<br />

direct insight into their performance.”<br />

This new approach has a number of<br />

advantages, notes Donner. Clients can<br />

now benefit from an average price over<br />

the lifetime of the algo on the forward<br />

points, while also hitting a top-of-book<br />

spread on points when executing which<br />

should result in tighter points. “The new<br />

methodology is also future proof, with<br />

new developments coming down the<br />

line such the new matching pools for FX<br />

swaps, enabling clients to execute algos<br />

on a greater variety of venues.”<br />

FRANCHISE MATCHING<br />

In addition, the recent addition of a<br />

new way to internalise, called Franchise<br />

Matching, is also proving to be very<br />

beneficial in executing certain emerging<br />

markets’ pairs, not just G4 pairs as<br />

was originally expected, says Donner.<br />

Franchise Matching is a new method of<br />

working with Goldman Sachs’ ebook<br />

to bring internalisation to an algo. This<br />

causes the ebook to trigger a skew, that<br />

skew is then shown to certain skew safe<br />

clients to attract liquidity which is in<br />

turn used to fill the algo. “Even if there<br />

is not an offsetting position immediately<br />

available, this can create one,” Donner<br />

adds. “In some of the CEEMEA<br />

pairs, such as Czech/Polish, Franchise<br />

Matching has provided a considerable<br />

improvement to overall execution speed.<br />

This means the client in turn needs to<br />

take less market risk and the mark outs<br />

are very good. It is a very soft mark<br />

out form of liquidity similar to the dark<br />

liquidity that’s available via mid pools.”<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

3


TOP STORIES<br />

NEWS FEATURES<br />

ANZ Bank joins BidFX as its<br />

newest algo liquidity provider<br />

ANZ Bank has joined BidFX as their newest<br />

algo liquidity provider. BidFX CRO, John<br />

McGrath, commented, “ANZ has a unique<br />

position in the eFX market in terms of<br />

its liquidity franchise and we have seen<br />

strong demand from our sophisticated<br />

institutional clients for ANZ Algo’s on BidFX.<br />

We are thrilled to have them go live on the<br />

BidFX platform and offer clients unique<br />

liquidity from their franchise”.<br />

John McGrath<br />

By choosing ANZ for FX Algorithmic<br />

execution clients can enjoy:<br />

• Liquidity: Tap into the FX Market<br />

with ANZ’s superior access to unique<br />

liquidity pools.<br />

• Internalisation: Access ANZ’s<br />

exceptional Australian dollar, New<br />

Zealand dollar and Asian franchise,<br />

leveraging the Bank’s strong credit<br />

rating and risk appetite.<br />

• Risk Management: Hedge FX<br />

exposures while meeting reporting<br />

obligations with transaction cost<br />

analysis (TCA).<br />

• Flexibility: Parameters that can be<br />

defined and controlled, including<br />

timing, price, and chosen strategy, all<br />

with prevailing market conditions.<br />

Commenting on this development, ANZ<br />

Head of eFICC Luke Marriott said: “ANZ<br />

is pleased to collaborate with BidFX,<br />

bringing our FX Algorithmic execution<br />

offering to the BidFX Algo Hub. We see<br />

synergy in bringing our unique AUD, NZD<br />

and Asian franchise to our mutual clients<br />

throughout Asia and across the globe.”<br />

BidFX, as an SGX Group company, is<br />

a cloud-based provider of eFX trading<br />

solutions for global buyside institutions.<br />

It delivers customised liquidity in all FX<br />

products from partner banks, non-banks<br />

and ECN’s providing broker-neutral and<br />

cutting-edge execution management<br />

services. The firm offers a complete<br />

suite of negotiation protocols and a hub<br />

to the algo suites of all major banks<br />

featuring best execution capabilities.<br />

Its Liquidity Provision Analytics (LPA)<br />

and advanced TCA solutions feature<br />

pre-trade predictive models, in-trade<br />

benchmarking and post-trade synopses.<br />

The company was recently recognised<br />

as the Best Foreign Exchange Solution<br />

at the Hedgeweek European Emerging<br />

Manager Awards <strong>2023</strong>.<br />

FOR THE DIARY<br />

TradeTech FX USA 2024<br />

February 13, 2024 | Buy Side Only FX Innovation Day<br />

February 14 - 15, 2024 | Main Conference Days<br />

Free attendance for the buy side<br />

TradeTech FX returns in February 2024 (13 - 15) and this<br />

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as the leading buy side focused FX gathering in the US, with<br />

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insights on how you can adapt your execution and<br />

investment strategy to future-proof your FX desk<br />

• Gain unparalleled face-to-face networking with the entire<br />

FX trading community made up of 700+ attendees,<br />

including all the major buy side, sell side, regulators and<br />

technology partners<br />

• Join the ‘Buy Side TradeTech FX Innovation Day’ (13 Feb)<br />

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when booking. Register here: https://tinyurl.com/5brxnna8<br />

4 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>


Photos by Richard Hadley.<br />

TradeTech FX Europe <strong>2023</strong>: FX<br />

algos and TCA in the spotlight<br />

yet. In order for swaps algos to be a<br />

more viable option, panellists highlighted<br />

the need for better TCA and that liquidity<br />

issues in certain currencies outside of<br />

G10, such as emerging markets pairs,<br />

still require a human touch. The current<br />

market structure was cited as another<br />

reason why the development of FX<br />

swaps algos was not at the “forefront”<br />

of future plans.<br />

RECENT EVENT<br />

Market leaders from across the FX<br />

industry convened in Paris this September<br />

to attend the annual TradeTechFX Europe<br />

conference. The event once again<br />

explored the role of FX algos and TCA in<br />

the evolving market infrastructure and<br />

brought into focus key trends and areas<br />

where more work remains to be done.<br />

One of the key areas of interest for the<br />

event was the development of CLOBs for<br />

swaps and what this might mean for the<br />

further electronification of the FX market<br />

and its potential impact. In a panel<br />

discussion, leading figures discussed how<br />

algo offering might potentially accelerate<br />

the electronification of the FX swaps<br />

market or if that was further down the<br />

line. The discussion, chaired by Stephane<br />

Malrait, Chairman, ACI FMA, was held<br />

with Emmanuel Hurault, FX, Credit,<br />

Rates and Derivatives Dealer, Groupama<br />

Asset Management; Ben Pearson, Co-<br />

Head Global G10 & PM STIR Trading,<br />

UBS; Simon Jones, Chief Growth Officer,<br />

360T and Paul Milward, Head of Product<br />

at 24 Exchange.<br />

360T have recently revealed that<br />

Deutsche Bank and ING had executed<br />

the first trade on 360T’s Swaps<br />

User Network (SUN), which allows<br />

streaming mid liquidity via API. The<br />

innovation is hailed as a paradigm shift<br />

for the industry. Commenting on the<br />

development, Jones explained that<br />

360T was confident the move will mark<br />

a “fundamental change in how banks<br />

trade FX swaps, opening the door to<br />

auto-hedging, aggregation and even<br />

algorithmic execution”.<br />

24 Exchange also shared further details<br />

about its own plans for a new swaps<br />

electronic streaming platform. Yet while<br />

the consensus was that while automation<br />

in the swaps space was welcomed, the<br />

need for FX swaps algos was not there<br />

Liquidity access and market impact were<br />

a further primary topic covered during<br />

the event. A panel including business<br />

heads from JP Morgan, FX HedgePool,<br />

XTX Markets, UBS and SEB discussed the<br />

role of TCA and the imbalance between<br />

FX spot, where analytics are more<br />

developed, to other instruments where<br />

TCA is not at the same stage. According<br />

to one panellist, while TCA has come<br />

a long way, there is still a long way to<br />

go. The consensus was that TCA must<br />

provide more insights around the true<br />

market impact, a sentiment which was<br />

backed up an audience poll held during<br />

the discussion. When asked whether TCA<br />

models go far enough to explain market<br />

impact and the potential influence on<br />

the outcome of a trade from prehedging<br />

risk, some 83% said no while a<br />

mere 17% believed that it did.<br />

Poll: Do current TCA models go far<br />

enough to explain market impact<br />

and the potential influence on<br />

the outcome of a trade from prehedging<br />

risk?<br />

No – 83%<br />

Yes – 17 %<br />

The development of the swaps market,<br />

including a CLOB for swaps, was<br />

expected to lead to improved TCA<br />

offerings. Some buyside firms may also<br />

not being using TCA data to the best of<br />

their advantage, according to discussions.<br />

According to a panellist, many are not<br />

aware of the importance of looking at<br />

certain metrics, such as market impact<br />

or reversion. They added that when<br />

analytics users start asking for this data<br />

then they will be able to “know if an<br />

algo is smart”.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

5


MARKETWATCH<br />

Carolina Trujillo, Head of e-FX<br />

Distribution at SEB, evaluates<br />

how a review of the FX Global<br />

Code is likely to impact on algos.<br />

With the latest FX Global Code survey having been recently completed ahead of the<br />

three-year review coming up in early 2024, we asked Carolina Trujillo, Head of e-FX<br />

Distribution at SEB, to reflect on what the latest review has contributed in terms of<br />

algos and whether any more could be done to further enhance transparency and<br />

improve information sharing with users.<br />

Carolina Trujillo<br />

Both the algo and TCA template<br />

introduced under the last FX Global<br />

Code review were highly beneficial and<br />

have contributed to more informed<br />

discussions and questions from our<br />

clients. In particular, the way it has<br />

generalised some quite specific and<br />

advanced concepts would not have<br />

been reached without the standards<br />

and the recommendations to publish<br />

such information.<br />

Having algo disclaimers on your website<br />

is an excellent start, but we should not<br />

expect clients to browse through their<br />

liquidity providers websites. Making<br />

sure that the salesforce can spread that<br />

valuable information to clients during<br />

meetings and conversations is key to<br />

continue enriching the dialogues and<br />

helping the industry in providing greater<br />

transparency.<br />

The algo discussions we have with clients<br />

can be divided into two main categories.<br />

The first category is how our algos work<br />

and the different parameters that a client<br />

can choose. This even encompasses the<br />

logic we use to select our venues and<br />

what we look at in the execution logic<br />

in order to always strive for the best<br />

possible outcome for the client.<br />

When we evaluate counterparties for<br />

trading, there are a number of metrics<br />

to look at. This can include:<br />

• Fill ratio - this statistic tells us if the<br />

prices that are observed are actually<br />

tradable. If the fill ratio is low, meaning<br />

that the prices are often not tradable,<br />

the expected algo transaction cost<br />

might be too optimistic.<br />

6 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>


• Cost-of-cancel, defined as: “The price movement in the<br />

second-best market (B) from the time an order was sent<br />

to the best market (A), cancelled and re-sent to Market<br />

B.” Where fill ratio tells us what the true transaction<br />

cost estimation is, cost-of-cancel tells us the estimated<br />

opportunity cost of getting the priority between venues<br />

wrong. Fill ratio and cost of cancel are metrics trying to<br />

describe what happens at the time of execution.<br />

We also want to understand what happens in the market after<br />

we execute: Does any venue show signs of market impact? If<br />

the executed amount ends up at a counterparty that would<br />

immediately hedge this flow on a lit market, other market<br />

participants might pick this signal up and thus change the<br />

way they quote in the market, anticipating even more flow.<br />

This is, of course, counterproductive to what the algo is trying<br />

to achieve and is monitored with great care. We minimise<br />

market impact by internalising the Scandi flow through our<br />

unique Scandinavian and international client franchise and<br />

carefully selecting the venues on which we trade. In other<br />

currency pairs, this careful selection is to make sure that we<br />

find counterparties that are internalising the flow, or venues<br />

with the lowest market impact, and thus would not affect the<br />

markets.<br />

The second category of discussion is about a specific<br />

execution. In these conversations we are going to look more<br />

at the external factors that can impact the choice of the<br />

execution. Looking at a concrete example with the help<br />

of data gives valuable insight to our customers about the<br />

execution they are considering. It is some of the information<br />

that a pre-trade TCA can provide to you with. A usual<br />

question from clients is: “When should I use an algo?” These<br />

metrics help clients make that informed decision.<br />

For example:<br />

• What is the current spread in the market and how does<br />

that stand against historical spreads? A wider spread<br />

would advocate a more passive algo.<br />

• What is the current risk transfer price and how does that<br />

stand against historical risk transfer prices? The higher the<br />

risk transfer price is, the more sense it makes to use an<br />

algo for your execution.<br />

• What are the liquidity and volatility conditions? The lower<br />

the liquidity, and the lower the volatility, the longer time<br />

you might want to select for your algo execution.<br />

Oxford Algorithmic<br />

Trading Programme<br />

This programme is for professionals working in the<br />

broader financial services industry, including investors,<br />

system traders, and quantitative analysts, as well as for<br />

technologists designing automated trading architecture,<br />

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comprehensive understanding of the rules that drive<br />

successful algorithmic trading strategies and hedge funds,<br />

as well as a grounded introduction to financial theory and<br />

behavioural finance.<br />

getsmarter.com/products/oxford-algorithmic-trading-programme<br />

A survey on Machine<br />

Learning algorithms<br />

for risk-controlled<br />

algorithmic trading<br />

EDUCATION & TRAINING<br />

RESEARCH & REPORTS<br />

• Are there any upcoming economic events that we need to<br />

take into consideration?<br />

A lot of information needs to be considered when placing an<br />

algo. As we use the same algorithms for our own trading as<br />

the ones we offer to our clients, we do have a great history of<br />

executions to draw conclusions from. This, together with the<br />

expertise from our sales giving color on the current market<br />

conditions, is one of the success factors of the SEB execution<br />

algos.<br />

Machine learning algorithms have been widely employed<br />

in FX trading due to the vast amount of historical data<br />

available. These algorithms can analyze currency exchange<br />

rates, economic indicators, geopolitical events, and other<br />

factors to predict short-term or long-term movements in<br />

currency pairs.<br />

ijsrst.com/IJSRST523103163<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

7


INDUSTRY VIEWS<br />

What lies in the road ahead<br />

for FX algo trading in 2024?<br />

One constant in any market is change. Looking back over the past year’s headlines in<br />

<strong>FXAlgoNews</strong> and it is easy to see that the evolution of the algo industry has continued<br />

apace. The market is more mature and clients are increasingly adopting algo use for a<br />

wider range of order types. Meanwhile across the wider FX industry, the impact of changes<br />

to volatility, liquidity access and the arrival of new venues and technologies is also being<br />

felt. Some of world’s largest banks are spearheading a great deal of the current innovation<br />

that is taking place in e-FX so what developments do they expect to see with algorithmic FX<br />

trading in 2024? Nicola Tavendale investigates.<br />

Nicola Tavendale<br />

Image by shutterstock<br />

8 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>


Following three years of gathering<br />

insights from an annual Global Client<br />

Fixed Income Market Structure Survey,<br />

Barclays conducted a similar exercise<br />

with its FX clients for the first time this<br />

year. The results provide a telling insight<br />

into the key areas of focus for clients,<br />

particularly so for the FX algo business.<br />

One of the most significant findings<br />

were the number of clients who were<br />

planning to look more closely at FX<br />

market liquidity and how to access it,<br />

says Ajay Kataria, Head of Electronic FX<br />

Distribution, Americas at Barclays. “For<br />

our clients, liquidity access was shown<br />

to be their biggest area of concern,”<br />

Kataria adds. “We believe this is also a<br />

big part of the story for 2024. Putting<br />

this in the context of FX algos, this<br />

means the focus for our clients will<br />

be very much around finding the best<br />

liquidity and navigating this changing<br />

market structure and landscape.”<br />

When clients were asked how they<br />

review a dealer’s algo functionality, the<br />

most important area was found to be<br />

internalisation. Kataria explains that<br />

internalisation will also continue to be<br />

a key area of focus for the business to<br />

further leverage the benefits that come<br />

from having such a large franchise.<br />

Ensuring that the FX algo offering is<br />

constantly improving and adapting<br />

to the changing FX landscape it also<br />

essential, says Preston Mesick, Global<br />

Head of FX Algos at Barclays. “This will<br />

be a big area focus for us next year,”<br />

he adds. “FX is very much a follow-theleader<br />

market. With new venues and<br />

new orders types coming to market,<br />

this will really change the nature of<br />

FX liquidity.” Being able to help clients<br />

navigate the changing landscape and<br />

market structure will be very important<br />

looking to 2024, notes Mesick. “For<br />

example, as the market and NDF<br />

liquidity expands, we will continue<br />

to assess and update the number of<br />

liquidity sources that our NDF algo<br />

offering is able to access,” he says.<br />

Another big theme for the coming<br />

year will be improving the quality<br />

of FX algo execution assessments,<br />

according to Vittorio Nuti, Global Head<br />

of Listed Derivatives & FX Algo Trading<br />

at Deutsche Bank. “The industry as<br />

a whole is maturing and the algo<br />

clients are becoming increasingly<br />

sophisticated. With that comes<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

9


INDUSTRY VIEWS<br />

Ajay Kataria<br />

“For our clients,<br />

liquidity access was<br />

shown to be their<br />

biggest area of<br />

concern.”<br />

demand for a better quality assessment<br />

of the algos that they are employing,<br />

whether that is through third-party<br />

TCA or their own in house analytics,”<br />

Nuti says. Assessing the provider of<br />

the algo should also be an important<br />

consideration, he adds. “The quality of<br />

execution will naturally vary over the<br />

course of weeks, months or even years,<br />

which is why it is important to assess<br />

the quality of algo execution at a global<br />

level,” says Nuti. “For algo providers,<br />

that assessment will be key to getting<br />

more business.”<br />

Preston Mesick<br />

“We have increased our<br />

internalisation rate of<br />

passive algos by around<br />

4x in the past year,<br />

which is substantial.”<br />

INCREASING COMPETITION<br />

A further trend which is increasingly<br />

coming to the fore is demand for client<br />

customisation of algos, although as<br />

Nuti explains, it can prove to be very<br />

difficult to customise algos to clients<br />

requirements. He says: “Most of the<br />

time, those requirements are quite<br />

fuzzy in nature. This is why the industry<br />

as a whole is based on results. It is<br />

about achieving the right outcomes for<br />

the clients, but ultimately each client<br />

may have slightly different targets<br />

that they’re aiming for in their algo<br />

execution.” At Deutsche Bank, the<br />

focus is in on having these detailed<br />

conversations with clients to understand<br />

how to help them effectively. “One of<br />

the main strengths of our algo business<br />

is that the team is perfectly aligned with<br />

wanting to achieve the best outcomes<br />

for our clients,” says Nuti.<br />

Meanwhile at Goldman Sachs, the<br />

recent development of a new way to<br />

bring internalisation to algo execution<br />

is also notably gaining traction.<br />

Called Franchise Matching, it works in<br />

partnership with the ebook to create<br />

an offsetting position for the FX algo,<br />

even when there is not one immediately<br />

available. This has been particularly<br />

successful with more sophisticated<br />

clients, such as systematic hedge funds,<br />

but also with other banks, says Dr Ralf<br />

Donner, Head of Marquee Execution<br />

Solutions at Goldman Sachs. “As one of<br />

the leading algo providers we are active<br />

in marketing our product to the spot<br />

desks of smaller banks, who perhaps<br />

do not have the same means or the<br />

same variety of tools for execution.<br />

Franchise Matching is an exciting<br />

development and has proven to be very<br />

successful with these desks, in providing<br />

something that is competitive compared<br />

to direct market access,” Donner says.<br />

He adds that it is however worth noting<br />

that there will be times where it may<br />

not be suitable, such as Goldman<br />

Sachs having positioned in the same<br />

direction as the client who is attempting<br />

to trade. This is why it is important<br />

to have control and for the Franchise<br />

Matching functionality to not be set<br />

in stone, Donner explains. “It is not<br />

necessary to suspend or cancel the<br />

algo if Franchise Matching is too slow.<br />

Clients can easily modify their access to<br />

different categories of liquidity, selecting<br />

additional liquidity or even unselecting<br />

Franchise Matching if it isn’t effective,<br />

and choose other forms of liquidity<br />

instead,” he says. “Another reason why<br />

it has done so well is that we also have<br />

internal demand for this tool, with our<br />

own voice traders now actively using it<br />

for their risk management purposes.”<br />

INNOVATION AND<br />

DEVELOPMENT<br />

The analytics results from third-party<br />

TCA are also making the offering more<br />

attractive to clients, Donner adds.<br />

Clients have started looking at this data<br />

more closely and increasingly it is not<br />

just about overall all-in performance, he<br />

explains. “The TCA may include certain<br />

specifics, such as performance by<br />

individual venue,” Donner says. “Clients<br />

are now starting to ask questions<br />

about the venues that they’re accessing<br />

when they trade with our algos. It<br />

has become increasingly important<br />

to demonstrate value and, when it<br />

comes to internalisation for instance,<br />

to have made that as high quality as<br />

possible. This is what we have done with<br />

Franchise Matching.”<br />

Differentiation between algo providers<br />

is also going to be a lot more data<br />

driven than it has been in past, says<br />

Mesick. Customers now have more<br />

access to data from external providers<br />

as well as bank TCA, he explains.<br />

“How they interpret and use that data<br />

to make decisions about where to<br />

go with what flow is also becoming<br />

more sophisticated. Our relationship<br />

with customers is very important<br />

but these conversations around algo<br />

performance are becoming much<br />

more data driven than in the past,”<br />

says Mesick. “Differentiating between<br />

the various algo providers is going to<br />

come down to performance. If your<br />

algos are performing, you’re far more<br />

likely to continue executing with those<br />

customers, while the providers who<br />

have issues accessing liquidity are going<br />

to be more easily identified.”<br />

Another effect of better analytics<br />

data is that clients now have a better<br />

understanding of how their execution<br />

impacts the markets, notes Mesick. He<br />

adds: “This is one of the main reasons<br />

why internalisation has been so key,<br />

especially in our passive algos suite.<br />

We have increased our internalisation<br />

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<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

11


INDUSTRY VIEWS<br />

Vittorio Nuti<br />

“One of the main<br />

strengths of our algo<br />

business is that the<br />

team is perfectly<br />

aligned with wanting<br />

to achieve the best<br />

outcomes for our<br />

clients.”<br />

rate of passive algos by around 4x in<br />

the past year, which is substantial.<br />

We are already seeing the benefits of<br />

that change from a TCA perspective.<br />

Ultimately, it is now one of our biggest<br />

differentiators as an algo provider.”<br />

IMPROVING THE USER<br />

EXPERIENCE<br />

A further differentiator which stands<br />

out for clients is in how well FX algos<br />

can be integrated into their existing<br />

workflows, Mesick says. “Clients are<br />

now more comfortable and familiar<br />

with the algos, so now they are<br />

increasingly looking at how the algos<br />

fit into their workflow, how they can<br />

be more efficient and do the same<br />

amount with less. Seemless workflow<br />

integration is now another important<br />

factor for algo clients, especially in a<br />

cost constrained environment as rates<br />

are obviously in a much different place<br />

than they were a year ago,” he adds.<br />

Kataria agrees, adding that this was also<br />

reflected in the findings of the client<br />

survey results. When asked what the<br />

most important consideration was when<br />

reviewing the performance of dealer<br />

algos, internalisation was the number<br />

one response, at 33%. “Just behind<br />

internalisation however, the second most<br />

important factor was configuration of<br />

algo at an order level,” says Kataria. “We<br />

differentiate by performance as well as<br />

making sure we offer what our clients<br />

need, such as workflow facilitation.”<br />

The role of analytics will also be<br />

increasing based on observing how a<br />

client trades in order to then suggest<br />

ways to improve their execution, adds<br />

Nuti. He explains that this ties in to the<br />

ability to customise orders. “Our remit<br />

is to optimise capturing that execution<br />

in a reasonable timeframe. But some<br />

clients may have very short term alpha,<br />

where others might have very long term<br />

alpha. So we might have more time<br />

to execute, which is another way of<br />

customising the execution,” says Nuti.<br />

“We have had successful engagements<br />

with clients who trade very small sizes,<br />

to very large sizes, all through FX algos,<br />

and the performance is very sustainable.<br />

Optimising workflows streamlines<br />

the process for clients, so instead of<br />

spending time in trying to manage<br />

various LPs or multiple connections,<br />

they just have one or two. These are<br />

all hidden but real costs, which we can<br />

help to minimise.”<br />

For algos, Nuti says that Deutsche Bank<br />

currently offers some of the widest<br />

coverage on the market. “We offer<br />

deliverables in both G10 and EM pairs,<br />

while also covering LatAm and Asian<br />

NDFs alongside precious metals.” Hedge<br />

funds are also expected to increasingly<br />

adopt algo execution, according to Nuti,<br />

while the size at which they start using<br />

them will change as well. “The average<br />

algo client might currently expect to use<br />

an algo to execute an order size of at<br />

least 20-30 million, but the size at which<br />

they will start to consider using an algo<br />

will likely get much smaller,” he adds.<br />

AREAS OF NEW GROWTH<br />

A key form of internalisation at Barclays<br />

is the ability to use an FX algo to<br />

access the franchise liquidity, notes<br />

Mesick. “Our Barx Gator algo suite in<br />

particular allow us to show interest<br />

to our franchise directly. Being able<br />

to tap into that franchise has really<br />

vaulted our internalisation rates and is<br />

one of the main ways we think about<br />

internalisation.”<br />

Clients are becoming increasingly sophisticated and demanding better quality assessment<br />

of the algos that they are employing<br />

Bringing together the concept of<br />

the evolving liquidity landscape with<br />

customer demand for NDF algos also<br />

makes sense as the two are related,<br />

according to Mesick. The maturation of<br />

the underlying liquidity in the different<br />

electronic venues for various currencies<br />

is a lot more varied than the deliverable<br />

space, he explains. “We already support<br />

NDF algos, but as key markets continue<br />

12 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>


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<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

13


INDUSTRY VIEWS<br />

Dr Ralf Donner<br />

“Clients are now<br />

starting to ask<br />

questions about the<br />

venues that they’re<br />

accessing when they<br />

trade with our algos.”<br />

to mature and electronify further,<br />

we will be able to offer increasingly<br />

advanced algos to trade.”<br />

Over the past decade, one question<br />

which continues to be raised by FX algo<br />

clients is what volumes are being traded<br />

in a particular currency pair, according<br />

to Donner. “This is still a difficult<br />

question to answer. One development<br />

is that we are currently helping to<br />

contribute to a third-party vwap<br />

benchmark in conjunction with one of<br />

the third-party TCA providers,” he says.<br />

“They have a client request for a vwap<br />

benchmark from a variety of different<br />

banks and we are contributing to that.<br />

As contributors, we then also get to see<br />

the final benchmark. This is the one of<br />

the first concerted attempts to produce<br />

a vwap benchmark for FX.”<br />

In house, Goldman Sachs is also<br />

currently building out a pre-trade toolkit<br />

utilising live market data, Donner adds.<br />

“The fundamental concept is similar in<br />

design to a tool that we had launched<br />

on marquee previously for options<br />

structuring which we call the Visual<br />

Structuring tool. This is essentially an<br />

analogous version of that, but used to<br />

make the decision between trading with<br />

an algo or trading using a risk price.<br />

Equally, it tries to show all aspects of<br />

market liquidity as well as possible algo<br />

outcomes versus alternatives on a single<br />

chart. This is going to be a very powerful<br />

tool which we can share with our clients<br />

in the very near future.”<br />

THE END OF AI IN ALGOS?<br />

When it comes to the future utilisation<br />

of AI in FX algos, Donner re-asserts the<br />

position that AI has no place in this<br />

very limited set of markets. “AI can be<br />

useful for algo trading in other markets<br />

with far more instruments to be traded,<br />

such as futures. But in FX, it’s just<br />

not worth the risk of a very unusual,<br />

unexpected algo outcome in even a<br />

tiny fraction of cases.” Nuti adds that<br />

in the case of AI, the biggest issue is<br />

being able to use it in a highly regulated<br />

industry such as FX. “You go from A<br />

to B, but you cannot explain how you<br />

got there. That is difficult to explain<br />

to a regulator and not a place most<br />

institutions want to be in,” he says. “Yet<br />

machine learning, reinforced learning,<br />

econometrics, things that are much<br />

more deterministic in their outcomes,<br />

are proving to be a much better area<br />

of focus. The algo market is going to<br />

continue concentrating on this area,<br />

rather than AI.”<br />

According to Barclays’ client survey<br />

findings, clients are also increasingly<br />

allocating their algorithmic execution<br />

based upon historical performance.<br />

“Clients have become more<br />

sophisticated in their use of data. When<br />

we asked them how they allocate their<br />

flow to dealers, the largest response at<br />

29% said this was based on historical<br />

algo performance,” says Kataria. “As<br />

data analytics comes more into play, we<br />

will see clients building more of algo<br />

wheels. Data driven decision making<br />

is key in algo trading.” Automation will<br />

also prove key as the use of algo wheels<br />

increases, with more clients investing in<br />

data and analytics behind these tools,<br />

says Mesick. “This will automate algo<br />

selection and provide a better view as<br />

to where they need to be routing their<br />

orders,” he adds.<br />

Another question which continues to be raised by FX algo clients is what volumes are<br />

being traded in a particular currency pair<br />

TOWARDS MATURITY<br />

Generally, the FX algo market is now<br />

fairly robust, says Kataria, with some<br />

37% of clients taking part in the survey<br />

having said that they now leverage<br />

dealer algos. “This follows the general<br />

industry trend of the algo market<br />

now being fairly mature,” he adds. “At<br />

Barclays we have a very mature product<br />

given that we were one of the first<br />

banks to deliver algos. So at this point,<br />

for us, it’s about a lot of small tweaks<br />

that have large back end impacts.<br />

And that’s been our biggest focus for<br />

<strong>2023</strong> and will continue to be a focus<br />

for 2024. Internalisation is one of the<br />

things we have been talking about the<br />

most as it’s had the biggest impact on<br />

our client performance and we think it<br />

will continue to have that impact,” he<br />

concludes.<br />

14 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>


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<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

15


?<br />

ASK A PROVIDER<br />

Commerzbank shines light<br />

on internalisation impact<br />

for FX algos<br />

The concept of internalisation is particularly nuanced in FX, while the varying definitions<br />

between providers can make like-for-like comparisons difficult. Tibor Gergely, Head of<br />

e-FX Liquidity Provision at Commerzbank, explains the issues this creates for FX algo clients<br />

and how Commerzbank helps to promote greater transparency around the liquidity sources<br />

used by its execution algos.<br />

Tibor Gergely<br />

How does Commerzbank define<br />

internalisation? What is the impact<br />

of internalisation in the use of<br />

execution algos?<br />

In the specific context of an agency<br />

algorithmic execution, we define<br />

internalisation as the proportion of<br />

At Commerzbank we think<br />

that the internalisation<br />

rate should be defined in<br />

the simplest way as client<br />

only volume divided by<br />

total volume traded.<br />

volume filled on Commerzbank’s<br />

principal liquidity coming from its<br />

automated e-FX market making desk.<br />

All of Commerzbank’s execution<br />

algorithms allow the client to either<br />

select Commerzbank liquidity only as<br />

the liquidity pool, or a hybrid mode,<br />

where both our market making desk’s<br />

liquidity and external market sources<br />

are used to fill the order. When only<br />

our liquidity is selected, the algo’s<br />

internalisation rate is 100%.<br />

The natural and important subsequent<br />

consideration is what is the<br />

internalisation rate of Commerzbank’s<br />

eFX principal market making desk?<br />

It would be deceiving to say the<br />

execution algorithm has a 100%<br />

internationalisation rate if the principal<br />

market making desk hedged every<br />

single child order back-to-back<br />

right away on external markets. The<br />

precise definition of internalisation<br />

for a principal market making desk is<br />

more equivocal. Clearly, hedging the<br />

market making risk on public venues<br />

that disseminate market data and<br />

are considered paramount for price<br />

discovery constitutes externalisation. But<br />

what about dark mid match venues?<br />

One can argue it is externalisation as the<br />

risk is transferred to another liquidity<br />

provider (LP). On the other hand, that<br />

other liquidity provider was posting<br />

interest because it had the opposite<br />

position in its book. Therefore, when<br />

thinking about liquidity providers as a<br />

group, the client flow ended up being<br />

absorbed in one of the LP’s inventories<br />

and thus it was internalised.<br />

The main reason liquidity consumers<br />

prefer LPs that internalise is to limit<br />

market impact. If the flow ends its path<br />

with an LP that is happy to sit on that<br />

risk for a while, one can argue the flow<br />

was internalised and the market did<br />

not move because of it. How about<br />

skewing, showing an axe to liquidity<br />

consumers? Again, one can argue that<br />

it is internalisation as the LP exits risk<br />

with a liquidity consumer (LC). It is<br />

not that simple, skewing to the wrong<br />

LC will create market impact. Market<br />

participants who take advantage of LP<br />

skews to recycle their liquidity will have<br />

market impact.<br />

Why does Commerzbank’s approach<br />

particularly benefit FX algo users?<br />

Image by shutterstock<br />

At Commerzbank, we think that the<br />

internalisation rate should be defined in<br />

the simplest way as client only volume<br />

divided by total volume traded. LPs with<br />

a large and diverse franchise who see<br />

16 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>


Can algo analytics help to shape<br />

and inform client understanding<br />

and further improve their execution<br />

performance when using algos?<br />

bi-directional flows will display the highest<br />

internalisation rates. Commerzbank<br />

has increased is risk appetite over the<br />

last few months and is increasing its<br />

internalisation rate. We take pride in being<br />

able to provide liquidity even during the<br />

most volatile market conditions, when<br />

interbank liquidity can be patchier in<br />

some currency pairs. Trading with a true<br />

We take pride in being<br />

able to provide liquidity<br />

even during the most<br />

volatile market conditions<br />

market maker that absorbs the flow<br />

and can take on large inventory limits<br />

market impact and benefits the liquidity<br />

consumers. An execution algorithm<br />

filling a large proportion on internal<br />

liquidity is better to avoid signalling<br />

and market impact only if the principal<br />

source of liquidity behind it has a very<br />

high internalisation rate too.<br />

It is paramount to be entirely<br />

transparent on the liquidity sources<br />

used to fill an execution algorithm. It is<br />

not enough to report what proportion<br />

of trades are filled on ‘internal’<br />

liquidity as the market impact benefit<br />

will eventually be dictated by the<br />

internalisation rate of the internal source<br />

of liquidity. A good TCA will clearly<br />

give the source of liquidity for every<br />

child order. A step further in the right<br />

direction can be to give a sense of the<br />

potential for signalling or market impact<br />

depending on which liquidity source<br />

is used by the execution algorithm.<br />

The issue of different definitions of<br />

internalisation used by algo providers<br />

impacts clients when trying to compare<br />

key algo performance metrics, but this<br />

can be overcome by being explicit in<br />

terms of what is the exact definition of<br />

internalization used when an LP says<br />

‘we internalise X%’.<br />

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<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

17


BUYSIDE PERSPECTIVES<br />

Navigating the shift<br />

in FX execution<br />

strategies<br />

By Allan Guild and James Chapman, Directors at Hilltop Walk Consulting<br />

In foreign exchange (FX) markets, participants are continuously seeking ways to enhance<br />

efficiency, reduce costs, and optimize their trading strategies. In particular, participants are<br />

looking to shift their execution to more sophisticated algorithmic (algo) trading strategies<br />

and away from traditional Request for Quote (RFQ) or Risk Transfer. This evolution in<br />

trading practices reflects a broader industry move towards automation and data-driven<br />

decision-making. This article aims to delve into the reasons behind the growing preference<br />

for executing using algos rather than traditional methods like RFQ or Risk Transfer.<br />

Through the insights of Hilltop Walk<br />

Consulting and a detailed analysis of<br />

these points above, we can start to<br />

provide FX market participants with a<br />

guide on transitioning to algo trading,<br />

ensuring more informed decisions and<br />

successful outcomes in their trading<br />

strategies.<br />

REDUCING TOTAL EXECUTION<br />

COST WITH ALGOS<br />

Embracing larger trades for cost<br />

efficiency<br />

Allan Guild<br />

We will explore five key considerations<br />

for market participants contemplating a<br />

switch to using FX algos:<br />

1. Reducing total execution cost<br />

with algos: Understanding how algo<br />

trading can lead to more efficient<br />

and cost-effective execution.<br />

2. Effective FX algo strategies:<br />

Evaluating the three main algo<br />

strategies that stand out as viable<br />

alternatives to traditional methods.<br />

3. Choosing algo providers: The<br />

James Chapman<br />

importance of selecting the right<br />

algo providers and why limiting the<br />

choice to a few is beneficial.<br />

4. Systematic benchmarking<br />

and analytics: How a structured<br />

approach to benchmarking and<br />

analytics is vital in assessing algo<br />

trading performance.<br />

5. Considering the end-to-end<br />

impact: Understanding the broader<br />

implications of changing your<br />

execution model on overall trading<br />

operations.<br />

A key criterion for realizing the reduced<br />

execution costs promised by algo<br />

trading is the consistent execution<br />

of FX trades significantly larger than<br />

the minimum interdealer trade size<br />

of around $1 million; trades should<br />

consistently be in excess of $10 million<br />

to $20 million. Smaller trades cannot be<br />

broken down any further by an algo and<br />

have less market impact to consider, so<br />

it is less likely that they are suited to this<br />

execution style.<br />

Understanding the cost dynamics<br />

The primary motivation for shifting<br />

from RFQ/Risk Transfer execution to FX<br />

algos lies in the potential for reduced<br />

18 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>


there are really just three primary algo<br />

strategies that participants should<br />

consider as alternatives to traditional<br />

RFQ or Risk Transfer execution.<br />

Understanding these strategies and<br />

their implications is key for market<br />

participants looking to optimize their FX<br />

execution.<br />

The choice of FX algo strategy depends on the specific needs and circumstances of the<br />

market participant<br />

execution costs. However, this doesn’t<br />

necessarily mean each trade will cost<br />

less in isolation. Transitioning to algo<br />

trading involves transferring market risk<br />

from the market-maker to the trader.<br />

This shift means that the final price of<br />

each trade executed using an FX algo<br />

depends on the fluctuations in the<br />

underlying currency price during the<br />

execution period.<br />

The shift in risk and its implications<br />

In traditional market-making, the<br />

provider does not know the price at<br />

which they will be able to hedge the<br />

trade. As a result, they make a profit<br />

on some client risk-transfer trades<br />

and a loss on others, incorporating<br />

a risk premium into their pricing to<br />

mitigate this uncertainty. In contrast,<br />

algo execution usually incurs a smaller,<br />

risk-free algo usage fee, as marketmakers<br />

no longer need to charge a risk<br />

premium to guarantee an upfront price.<br />

take a substantial number of trades and<br />

a significant time period to gather firm<br />

evidence of a reduction in execution<br />

costs.<br />

EFFECTIVE FX ALGO<br />

STRATEGIES<br />

Choosing the right algo strategies is<br />

crucial for effective execution. It can<br />

be difficult to navigate the myriad of<br />

different algo providers and differently<br />

named algo implementations. However,<br />

1. Execution Scheduling algo<br />

This strategy is characterized by its<br />

systematic approach to executing<br />

trades over a specified period. The most<br />

common form in FX trading is the Time<br />

Weighted Average Price (TWAP), where<br />

the trader specifies the amount to be<br />

executed and the time period, aiming to<br />

match the average price throughout the<br />

execution. Variations include the Volume<br />

Weighted Average Price (VWAP), which<br />

weights the execution by the volume<br />

traded during the period, and the<br />

Percentage of Volume (PoV), where the<br />

trader specifies a percentage of the total<br />

market volume they wish to transact in<br />

the execution of the trade.<br />

The rationale behind spreading out<br />

execution is twofold: benchmarking<br />

a trade against an average price over<br />

time instead of a single arrival price,<br />

and reducing the market impact of<br />

the trade. The duration of execution<br />

is a critical decision for the user, as<br />

a longer period may result in lower<br />

market impact but introduces more<br />

price variance due to market movements<br />

during execution.<br />

Variance in execution costs<br />

While switching to algos is likely to<br />

reduce the expected total execution<br />

cost, it also increases the variance in<br />

execution costs between different<br />

trades. This increased variance requires<br />

a level of comfort from traders, as<br />

they must be prepared for fluctuations<br />

in costs from one trade to another.<br />

Furthermore, due to this variance, it may<br />

While minimizing fees is a<br />

natural goal for any algo user,<br />

the fee difference between<br />

providers is often marginal<br />

compared to the benefits of<br />

choosing an algo that fits a<br />

specific use-case well<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

19


BUYSIDE PERSPECTIVES<br />

Typically, algo users will benefit from<br />

having more than one algo provider, but<br />

probably not more than three.<br />

The challenge of benchmarking and<br />

comparison<br />

Benchmarking and comparing<br />

outcomes from different algo providers<br />

is considerably more challenging than<br />

it is for RFQ providers. This difficulty<br />

arises due to the expected variance in<br />

outcomes between different trades<br />

executed using the same FX algo. Each<br />

provider’s algorithms might perform<br />

differently under various market<br />

conditions, making direct comparisons<br />

less straightforward.<br />

One of the advantages of algo trading is the vast amount of data generated<br />

2. Arrival Price algos<br />

When executing via RFQ with a marketmaker,<br />

a market participant locks in a<br />

cost against the Arrival Price, the midmarket<br />

price at the start of execution.<br />

Arrival Price algos aim to minimize<br />

execution cost relative to this Arrival<br />

Price, typically using an implementation<br />

shortfall model to balance the potential<br />

market impact of fast execution against<br />

the risk of price changes during slower<br />

execution.<br />

Many Arrival Price algos adapt their<br />

strategy in real-time based on market<br />

conditions, such as accelerating<br />

execution if the market moves against<br />

the algo User or slowing down if the<br />

market moves favourably. This approach<br />

is similar to how market-makers hedge<br />

risk in risk transfer trades, making Arrival<br />

Price algos potentially a good starting<br />

point for participants transitioning<br />

from RFQ to algo trading. However,<br />

understanding the complexity of these<br />

models often leads new algo users to<br />

begin with Execution Scheduling algos.<br />

3. Market Impact Minimisation algos<br />

These algos focus on minimizing the<br />

market impact of a trade, striving to<br />

ensure that the market price follows<br />

its natural path as if the trade had<br />

not occurred. While this objective<br />

is appealing, these algos typically<br />

do not perform well against Arrival<br />

Price benchmarks. As these algos<br />

look to leverage supply and demand<br />

imbalances, they tend to slow down<br />

execution when the market moves<br />

against the buying currency and<br />

accelerate when it moves favourably,<br />

leading to highly variable execution<br />

speeds.<br />

As a result, Market Impact Minimisation<br />

algos are generally suitable for<br />

sophisticated market participants who<br />

have a continuous need to buy or sell<br />

a particular currency in significant<br />

volumes.<br />

The choice of FX algo strategy depends<br />

on the specific needs and circumstances<br />

of the market participant. While<br />

Execution Scheduling algos offer a more<br />

straightforward approach suitable for<br />

many, Arrival Price and Market Impact<br />

Minimisation algos cater to more<br />

specific needs and require a deeper<br />

understanding of market dynamics.<br />

Regardless of the choice, each strategy<br />

offers distinct advantages and plays a<br />

crucial role in the effective execution<br />

of FX trades in today’s algorithm-driven<br />

market.<br />

CHOOSING ALGO PROVIDERS:<br />

STRIKING THE RIGHT<br />

BALANCE<br />

Selecting the appropriate algo<br />

providers can significantly influence the<br />

effectiveness of shifting trading to algos.<br />

Quality of major market-maker<br />

algos<br />

Most major FX market-makers now offer<br />

high-quality FX algo solutions, partly<br />

because they utilize these algorithms<br />

for their internal risk management.<br />

These providers typically have a deep<br />

understanding of market dynamics and<br />

access to extensive data, which enables<br />

them to develop sophisticated and<br />

effective algo solutions.<br />

Specialized algo providers<br />

Besides major market-makers, there<br />

are other algo providers who may have<br />

access to specific pools of liquidity<br />

or unique execution methods. These<br />

providers can offer distinct advantages,<br />

especially in niche areas or for certain<br />

types of trades. Their specialized<br />

approaches can sometimes provide<br />

superior outcomes compared to more<br />

general offerings from larger players.<br />

Balancing fees with fit and support<br />

While minimizing fees is a natural goal<br />

for any algo user, the fee difference<br />

between providers is often marginal<br />

compared to the benefits of choosing<br />

an algo that fits a specific use-case<br />

well. Equally important is the provider’s<br />

user support function, which can be<br />

crucial in responding to queries and<br />

issues. A provider with strong and<br />

responsive support can add significant<br />

value, potentially outweighing any fee<br />

differential.<br />

Avoiding over-reliance on a single<br />

provider<br />

Although most market participants will<br />

find they need fewer algo providers<br />

than market-makers for RFQ business,<br />

20 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong>


it is advisable not to rely solely on a<br />

single provider. Having more than one<br />

provider ensures diversification, reduces<br />

dependency risks, and can provide<br />

different perspectives and solutions for<br />

executing trades.<br />

SYSTEMATIC BENCHMARKING<br />

AND ANALYTICS IN FX ALGO<br />

TRADING<br />

A strategic approach to benchmarking<br />

and analytics is crucial for evaluating<br />

the effectiveness of algo trade<br />

executions. algo trading lends itself<br />

to a systematic methodology not<br />

just in trade execution but also in<br />

performance analysis. One of the<br />

advantages of algo trading is the vast<br />

amount of data generated, which<br />

covers both details of the trade<br />

execution and the underlying market<br />

conditions. This data, while rich, can<br />

often be overwhelming, making the<br />

extraction of actionable insights a<br />

challenge, especially given the variance<br />

in outcomes inherent to algo trading.<br />

To navigate this complexity, it’s essential<br />

to adopt a systematic and appropriate<br />

approach for each algo execution.<br />

Using the right benchmarks tailored to<br />

the specific algorithm is a crucial step.<br />

For example, it would be ineffective<br />

to measure the performance of a<br />

Market Impact Minimisation algorithm<br />

against an Arrival Price benchmark. It’s<br />

imperative to match the benchmark to<br />

the intended function of the algo.<br />

While most algo providers offer their<br />

own analytics, relying solely on these<br />

may not be prudent. There are inherent<br />

biases to be aware of, such as a<br />

provider effectively ‘grading their own<br />

homework’, which can skew objectivity.<br />

Moreover, when multiple providers<br />

are used, it becomes challenging to<br />

compare performance across different<br />

algos due to the lack of a standardized<br />

framework.<br />

To mitigate these concerns, engaging a<br />

third-party benchmarking and analytics<br />

provider is often beneficial. Numerous<br />

providers offer a variety of features, with<br />

some permitting the pooling of activity<br />

with other algo users on an anonymized<br />

basis. This can significantly enhance<br />

the analytical process by enabling a<br />

comparative performance analysis across<br />

When multiple providers are used, it becomes challenging to compare performance across<br />

different algos due to the lack of a standardized framework<br />

a broader data set, thus providing a more<br />

comprehensive view of an algo’s efficacy<br />

in different market scenarios.<br />

CONSIDERING THE END-TO-<br />

END IMPACT OF CHANGING<br />

YOUR EXECUTION MODEL<br />

When transitioning to FX algo trading,<br />

it’s crucial to understand that the<br />

change involves much more than<br />

merely altering the execution protocol.<br />

It’s critical to consider the broader<br />

implications, and to implement a<br />

comprehensive end-to-end plan for<br />

successful adoption. This plan must<br />

define how algos will be used, including<br />

the selection of providers, the choice of<br />

algo strategies, and the determination<br />

of specific parameters such as the<br />

duration for a TWAP.<br />

The migration requires a series of<br />

interconnected changes that go beyond<br />

the execution method itself, however.<br />

Key areas of change are:<br />

• Counterparties and credit risk:<br />

Transitioning to algo trading<br />

might involve changing execution<br />

counterparties, which in turn affects<br />

the credit risk profile. It’s important<br />

to reassess and manage these risks<br />

appropriately in the new trading<br />

environment.<br />

• Execution platforms: A change<br />

in trading methodology often<br />

necessitates a shift to different<br />

trading platforms that are optimized<br />

for algo trading. This could mean new<br />

software, interfaces, and possibly<br />

infrastructure.<br />

• Role of executing trader: algo<br />

trading transforms the role of the<br />

trader. Instead of making individual<br />

trading decisions, the focus shifts<br />

towards overseeing algo strategies<br />

and ensuring their effective<br />

implementation.<br />

• Trade affirmation and settlement: The<br />

processes for affirming and settling<br />

trades may also change. This could<br />

involve adapting to new systems<br />

or protocols that align with the<br />

systematic nature of algo trading.<br />

CONCLUSION<br />

Navigating the complexities of the<br />

transition we have been talking about<br />

can be challenging. With their deep<br />

expertise and experience in the FX<br />

market, the team at Hilltop Walk<br />

Consulting bring unique insights into<br />

the process. Allan Guild, having led<br />

FX Client algo Trading at HSBC, and<br />

James Chapman, with his background<br />

in FX Market-Making at Lucid<br />

Markets, have seen first-hand the<br />

evolving landscape of FX trading. Their<br />

boutique consultancy is dedicated to<br />

assisting clients in navigating these<br />

changes.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

21


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References<br />

Richard S. Sutton and Andrew G. Barto, 2018, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, Second<br />

Edition<br />

Cameron Davidson-Pilon, “Bayesian Methods for Hackers: Probabilistic Programming and Bayesian<br />

Inference “, 2016, Addison-Wesley Data & Analytics<br />

Merton, Robert, 1980, On estimating the expected return on the market: An exploratory investigation.<br />

Journal of Financial Economics, Volume 8, Issue 4, December 1980, Pages 323-361<br />

Junya Honda and Akimichi Takemura, Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Gaussian Bandits<br />

Depends on Priors, Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, Volume 33: Artificial Intelligence<br />

and Statistics, 22-25 April 2014<br />

Tze Leung Lai and Herbert Robbins. Asymptotically efficient adaptive allocation rules. Advances in<br />

applied mathematics, 6(1):4–22, 1985<br />

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