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Bradley Distinguished Lecture Series<br />

Economist Hubbard Credits Sound Policy and<br />

Nature of American Economy for Its Resilience<br />

Glenn Hubbard<br />

In describing America’s strong<br />

economy to a <strong>Milwaukee</strong> audience<br />

recently, Glenn Hubbard used bold<br />

phrases such as “productivity miracle”<br />

and “growth revolution of the United<br />

States.” Hubbard is the former Chairman<br />

of the President’s Council of Economic<br />

Advisers (2001-03), and currently serves<br />

as Dean and Russell L. Carson Professor<br />

of Finance and Economics at the Columbia<br />

Business School.<br />

He spoke to the business community and<br />

Lubar School alumni at the Bradley<br />

Distinguished Lecture Series in early April.<br />

The series is co-sponsored by The Lynde<br />

and Harry Bradley Foundation and the<br />

Sheldon B. Lubar School of Business.<br />

“The American economy has performed<br />

extraordinarily well through a set of<br />

shocks that anybody would have called<br />

devastating, including investment collapse,<br />

equity market collapse, terrorism,<br />

accounting scandals, and geopolitical<br />

risks,” he said.<br />

Why is this? Hubbard credits both sound<br />

policy and the foundations of the American<br />

economy for its resilience.<br />

“Monetary policy plays a starring role in<br />

the U.S., both in cushioning the downturns<br />

and enhancing the upturns,” he stated.<br />

He also asserted that President Bush’s tax<br />

policy has had a signifi cant impact on the<br />

nation’s economic recovery.<br />

Still, Hubbard argued, too much focus is<br />

placed on policy developments, when<br />

much of our experience is due to the<br />

basic underpinnings of the American<br />

economy. “There is something about<br />

American institutions that matters a great<br />

deal,” he said.<br />

For example, he noted — because of the<br />

market for risk capital in the U.S. —<br />

“we’re able systematically to take funds<br />

and bring to market types of risks that are<br />

unheard of in much of the affl uent world.”<br />

He also pointed to the fact that the<br />

American labor system allows great<br />

fl exibility with how we allocate our talent<br />

— in this country and around the world.<br />

“But this long term success story is not<br />

manna from heaven,” he said. “It requires<br />

stewardship.”<br />

Though Hubbard is confi dent that<br />

economic recovery still has very much life<br />

and room to grow — projecting growth in<br />

the 2.5% to 3% range with substantial<br />

upside potential — he cautions against<br />

specifi c risks.<br />

These risks include infl ation, the “puzzlingly<br />

low” capital spending by business,<br />

and potential overregulation in capital<br />

markets.<br />

Hubbard is also concerned about the<br />

current level of protectionist sentiment in<br />

the U.S. “Never in my career have I seen<br />

such support on both sides of the aisle<br />

and from business leaders,” he stated. If<br />

this sentiment is translated into policy, he<br />

said, we run the risk of “derailing” the<br />

economy.<br />

“Competition from any source infl uences<br />

productivity growth and creates an<br />

incentive to innovate,” he concluded.<br />

“Trade matters.”<br />

In addition to his responsibilities at<br />

Columbia, Glenn Hubbard is a research<br />

associate at the National Bureau of<br />

Economic Research and a visiting scholar<br />

at the American Enterprise Institute in<br />

Washington. During his term as CEA<br />

Chairman, he chaired the Economic<br />

Policy Committee of the OECD. He was<br />

Deputy Assistant Secretary of the U.S.<br />

Treasury Department for Tax Policy from<br />

1991-93.<br />

SPRING 2007 5

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