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FINTECH<br />

Cutting through the hype: Where AI is already making its presence felt in FX<br />

In highly digitised markets such as FX Not only is it globally complex - FX<br />

markets, AI algorithms can enhance does not correlate with isolated or<br />

liquidity management and execution predictable events, but is rather<br />

of large orders with minimal market impacted by random combinations of<br />

impact by optimising duration and a lot of different factors.<br />

order size in a dynamic fashion based<br />

on market conditions. Traders can also “The massive amount of fast moving<br />

deploy AI for risk management and data that is generated as a result<br />

order flow management purposes makes AI analysis (and speed) highly<br />

to streamline execution and produce suited to FX,” adds Carmody. “At the<br />

efficiencies.<br />

same time, the very liquid nature of FX<br />

markets also favours the use of AI in<br />

However, the OECD warned that order execution.”<br />

the lack of explainability of AI model<br />

processes could give rise to potential Meanwhile Alexander Culiniac, chief<br />

pro-cyclicality and systemic risk, and technology officer at SmartTrade<br />

could create possible incompatibilities Technologies also refers to the<br />

with existing financial supervision complexity of the FX market as one<br />

and internal governance frameworks of the factors that make it an ideal<br />

- possibly challenging the technology environment for the application of<br />

neutral approach to policymaking. artificial intelligence, in addition to<br />

So what makes a complex global the huge volumes of data generated<br />

market like FX - which has many and the speed with which the market<br />

different participants reliant on<br />

moves.<br />

various technologies - a good fit for<br />

AI? According to Tim Carmody, chief “AI’s ability to process vast amounts of<br />

technology officer at IPC Systems, varied data in real-time, its predictive<br />

the complexity and global nature of capabilities, and its aptitude for<br />

the FX industry is the most important high frequency trading make it<br />

empowering factor.<br />

indispensable in this environment,”<br />

he says. “Additionally, it enhances risk<br />

“Even more so than other asset management by detecting potential<br />

classes, FX is impacted by geopolitics market shifts, automates routine tasks,<br />

and regulatory and business dynamics and carries out market sentiment<br />

on a global scale,” he says.<br />

analysis through natural language<br />

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, MACHINE LEARNING AND BIG DATA IN FINANCE © OECD 2021<br />

Examples of AI applications in some financial market activities<br />

processing. Its adaptive learning<br />

capabilities also allow it to respond to<br />

dynamic market changes.”<br />

However, Culiniac cautions that while<br />

AI is a powerful tool, its effectiveness is<br />

dependent on the quality of the data<br />

it is trained on and it may not always<br />

accurately predict unforeseen events.<br />

EXPLOITING THE BENEFITS<br />

One of the obvious questions in any<br />

discussion of the use of AI in FX is<br />

whether the buy-side or sell-side is<br />

best placed to exploit the benefits<br />

of AI and what factors will influence<br />

utilisation of the technology.<br />

Culiniac reckons this is something of<br />

a moot point in that the distinction<br />

between buy- and sell-side is<br />

increasingly a grey area with both<br />

taking and making to some extent.<br />

“Sell-side platforms are naturally suited<br />

to exploit AI given that they can access<br />

multiple sources of information to<br />

create proprietary data sets,” he says.<br />

“Of course, there are considerations<br />

around data ownership and licences.<br />

However, the ability to access multiple<br />

sources of information and derive<br />

proprietary data sets gives these<br />

players an advantage.”<br />

“We see our sell side clients looking<br />

at AI to provide clear actionable<br />

data. Client management teams are<br />

swamped by reports and analyses<br />

these days - the issue is not that they<br />

don’t have data, it is that they have<br />

too much information.”<br />

AI and machine learning tools<br />

developed by SmartTrade enable banks<br />

to see how clients are segmented<br />

in ways no human can ascertain.<br />

Once segmented, clients can be<br />

targeted in terms of upselling and<br />

marketing to make sure the bank’s<br />

client interactions are relevant and<br />

offer value. Further practical examples<br />

of AI/machine learning logic include<br />

looking at how client behaviour<br />

patterns change in terms of how and<br />

66 JULY 20<strong>23</strong> e-FOREX

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