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FINTECH<br />
Cutting through the hype: Where AI is already making its presence felt in FX<br />
In highly digitised markets such as FX Not only is it globally complex - FX<br />
markets, AI algorithms can enhance does not correlate with isolated or<br />
liquidity management and execution predictable events, but is rather<br />
of large orders with minimal market impacted by random combinations of<br />
impact by optimising duration and a lot of different factors.<br />
order size in a dynamic fashion based<br />
on market conditions. Traders can also “The massive amount of fast moving<br />
deploy AI for risk management and data that is generated as a result<br />
order flow management purposes makes AI analysis (and speed) highly<br />
to streamline execution and produce suited to FX,” adds Carmody. “At the<br />
efficiencies.<br />
same time, the very liquid nature of FX<br />
markets also favours the use of AI in<br />
However, the OECD warned that order execution.”<br />
the lack of explainability of AI model<br />
processes could give rise to potential Meanwhile Alexander Culiniac, chief<br />
pro-cyclicality and systemic risk, and technology officer at SmartTrade<br />
could create possible incompatibilities Technologies also refers to the<br />
with existing financial supervision complexity of the FX market as one<br />
and internal governance frameworks of the factors that make it an ideal<br />
- possibly challenging the technology environment for the application of<br />
neutral approach to policymaking. artificial intelligence, in addition to<br />
So what makes a complex global the huge volumes of data generated<br />
market like FX - which has many and the speed with which the market<br />
different participants reliant on<br />
moves.<br />
various technologies - a good fit for<br />
AI? According to Tim Carmody, chief “AI’s ability to process vast amounts of<br />
technology officer at IPC Systems, varied data in real-time, its predictive<br />
the complexity and global nature of capabilities, and its aptitude for<br />
the FX industry is the most important high frequency trading make it<br />
empowering factor.<br />
indispensable in this environment,”<br />
he says. “Additionally, it enhances risk<br />
“Even more so than other asset management by detecting potential<br />
classes, FX is impacted by geopolitics market shifts, automates routine tasks,<br />
and regulatory and business dynamics and carries out market sentiment<br />
on a global scale,” he says.<br />
analysis through natural language<br />
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, MACHINE LEARNING AND BIG DATA IN FINANCE © OECD 2021<br />
Examples of AI applications in some financial market activities<br />
processing. Its adaptive learning<br />
capabilities also allow it to respond to<br />
dynamic market changes.”<br />
However, Culiniac cautions that while<br />
AI is a powerful tool, its effectiveness is<br />
dependent on the quality of the data<br />
it is trained on and it may not always<br />
accurately predict unforeseen events.<br />
EXPLOITING THE BENEFITS<br />
One of the obvious questions in any<br />
discussion of the use of AI in FX is<br />
whether the buy-side or sell-side is<br />
best placed to exploit the benefits<br />
of AI and what factors will influence<br />
utilisation of the technology.<br />
Culiniac reckons this is something of<br />
a moot point in that the distinction<br />
between buy- and sell-side is<br />
increasingly a grey area with both<br />
taking and making to some extent.<br />
“Sell-side platforms are naturally suited<br />
to exploit AI given that they can access<br />
multiple sources of information to<br />
create proprietary data sets,” he says.<br />
“Of course, there are considerations<br />
around data ownership and licences.<br />
However, the ability to access multiple<br />
sources of information and derive<br />
proprietary data sets gives these<br />
players an advantage.”<br />
“We see our sell side clients looking<br />
at AI to provide clear actionable<br />
data. Client management teams are<br />
swamped by reports and analyses<br />
these days - the issue is not that they<br />
don’t have data, it is that they have<br />
too much information.”<br />
AI and machine learning tools<br />
developed by SmartTrade enable banks<br />
to see how clients are segmented<br />
in ways no human can ascertain.<br />
Once segmented, clients can be<br />
targeted in terms of upselling and<br />
marketing to make sure the bank’s<br />
client interactions are relevant and<br />
offer value. Further practical examples<br />
of AI/machine learning logic include<br />
looking at how client behaviour<br />
patterns change in terms of how and<br />
66 JULY 20<strong>23</strong> e-FOREX