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Plan de cours - Sciences Po

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Course Syllabus<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Econometrics for Decision Makers<br />

Christophe RAULT (Full Professor of Econometrics)<br />

Laboratoire d’Economie d’Orléans (UMR CNRS 7322, France), CESifo, IZA<br />

(Germany), and WDI (University of Michigan, USA),<br />

Email: chrault@hotmail.com, Site web : http://chrault3.free.fr<br />

Fall 2012 - Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong><br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


Important<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

This syllabus is preliminary.<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

The Web page will be updated regularly.<br />

As a courtesy, lecture notes will be ma<strong>de</strong> available on the Web<br />

page.<br />

The online notes are not meant to replace your responsibility to<br />

attend class and take notes.<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


Course Purpose<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

The general objectives of this <strong>cours</strong>e are as follows:<br />

i) Introduce stu<strong>de</strong>nts to the basic elements of the general<br />

econometric procedure based on the study of the simple linear<br />

regression mo<strong>de</strong>l, in or<strong>de</strong>r to equip them with the basic knowledge<br />

required for performing quantitative analyses. Speci…cally, we will<br />

<strong>de</strong>al with applications of statistical methods to the testing and<br />

estimation of economic and …nancial relationships. The main topics<br />

covered inclu<strong>de</strong> the linear regression mo<strong>de</strong>l, extensions of the basic<br />

linear regression mo<strong>de</strong>l, and problems that arise when analyzing<br />

cross section and time series data by means of regression mo<strong>de</strong>ls.<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


Course Purpose<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

ii) Familiarise stu<strong>de</strong>nts with the use of general econometric<br />

software in empirical research using the EViews 5.0 software.<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


O¢ ce Hours<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

The best place to …nd me is before class in the classroom. I can<br />

also be reached by email at christophe.rault@univ-orleans.fr<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


Textbook<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

The main textbook for this class are:<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

- Chris Brooks (2008), Introductory Econometrics for Finance,<br />

Cambridge University Press, Fourth Edition.<br />

-Je¤rey M. Wooldridge (2009), Introductory Econometrics: A<br />

Mo<strong>de</strong>rn Approach, 4th ed., South-Western.<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


Textbook<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

Please be aware that there are notation di¤erences between my<br />

lectures and the book. You are expected to i<strong>de</strong>ntify these and<br />

make the necessary translations. This is your responsibility.<br />

The following book by Kennedy is recommen<strong>de</strong>d as supplementary<br />

reading. It contains useful comments. Kennedy P., A Gui<strong>de</strong> to<br />

Econometrics. MIT Press, 5th ed., 2003.<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


Prerequisites<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

Appendices A and B in the Wooldridge contain the requisite<br />

background material. I can not guarantee that you will be able to<br />

validate this <strong>cours</strong>e without this background.<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Remains to be <strong>de</strong>…ned.<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


Software<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

During the lectures, I will use some concrete examples based on<br />

regressions done with the EViews 5.0 software There will be some<br />

lab component to the <strong>cours</strong>e. However, stu<strong>de</strong>nts are also expected<br />

to spend time outsi<strong>de</strong> of class sessions in or<strong>de</strong>r to replicate the<br />

estimations. The data for the replications will be posted on the<br />

<strong>cours</strong>e Web page. So, be prepared to <strong>de</strong>vote some time to<br />

programming, since that is essential to becoming pro…cient in the<br />

methods discussed in this <strong>cours</strong>e.<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


Calculators<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

Since numerical calculations will be done often in class, you will<br />

need a calculator with the usual functions.<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


Course Outline<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

Based on my prior experience with <strong>cours</strong>es of this nature, I have<br />

not inclu<strong>de</strong>d dates to allow for maximum ‡exibility in covering the<br />

topics listed below. This <strong>cours</strong>e outline is preliminary and may be<br />

subject to revision.<br />

1 The methodology of econometrics<br />

2 A brief overview of the classical linear regression mo<strong>de</strong>l<br />

3 Further <strong>de</strong>velopment and analysis of the classical linear<br />

regression mo<strong>de</strong>l<br />

4 Classical linear regression mo<strong>de</strong>l assumptions and diagnostics<br />

5 Univariate time series mo<strong>de</strong>lling and forecasting<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)


References<br />

Course Syllabus<br />

Important<br />

Course Purpose<br />

O¢ ce Hours<br />

Textbook<br />

Prerequisites<br />

Grading <strong>Po</strong>licy<br />

Software<br />

Calculators<br />

Course Outline<br />

References<br />

Chris Brooks (2008), Introductory Econometrics for Finance,<br />

Cambridge University Press, Fourth Edition.<br />

Je¤rey M. Wooldridge (2009), Introductory Econometrics: A<br />

Mo<strong>de</strong>rn Approach, 4th ed., South-Western.<br />

Christophe RAULT Econometrics for Decision Makers (Master PSIA - <strong>Sciences</strong>-<strong>Po</strong>)

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