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richard_dawkins_-_the_god_delusion

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extravagant God hypothesis and the apparently extravagant multiverse

hypothesis is one of statistical improbability. The multiverse,

for all that it is extravagant, is simple. God, or any intelligent,

decision-taking, calculating agent, would have to be highly improbable

in the very same statistical sense as the entities he is

supposed to explain. The multiverse may seem extravagant in sheer

number of universes. But if each one of those universes is simple in

its fundamental laws, we are still not postulating anything highly

improbable. The very opposite has to be said of any kind of

intelligence.

Some physicists are known to be religious (Russell Stannard and

the Reverend John Polkinghorne are the two British examples 1

have mentioned). Predictably, they seize upon the improbability of

the physical constants all being tuned in their more or less narrow

Goldilocks zones, and suggest that there must be a cosmic intelligence

who deliberately did the tuning. I have already dismissed all

such suggestions as raising bigger problems than they solve. But

what attempts have theists made to reply? How do they cope with

the argument that any God capable of designing a universe, carefully

and foresightfully tuned to lead to our evolution, must be a

supremely complex and improbable entity who needs an even

bigger explanation than the one he is supposed to provide?

The theologian Richard Swinburne, as we have learned to

expect, thinks he has an answer to this problem, and he expounds

it in his book Is There a God?. He begins by showing that his heart

is in the right place by convincingly demonstrating why we should

always prefer the simplest hypothesis that fits the facts. Science

explains complex things in terms of the interactions of simpler

things, ultimately the interactions of fundamental particles. I (and I

dare say you) think it a beautifully simple idea that all things are

made of fundamental particles which, although exceedingly

numerous, are drawn from a small, finite set of types of particle. If

we are sceptical, it is likely to be because we think the idea too

simple. But for Swinburne it is not simple at all, quite the reverse.

Given that the number of particles of any one type, say electrons,

is large, Swinburne thinks it too much of a coincidence that so

many should have the same properties. One electron, he could

stomach. But billions and billions of electrons, all with the same

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