Current Population Survey Design and Methodology - Census Bureau

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CONTENTS Current Population Survey TP66 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Census Bureau Chapter 1. Background Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1–1 Chapter 2. History of the Current Population Survey Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2–1 Major Changes in the Survey: A Chronology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2–1 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2–7 Chapter 3. Design of the Current Population Survey Sample Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3–1 Survey Requirements and Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3–1 First Stage of the Sample Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3–2 Second Stage of the Sample Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3–6 Third Stage of the Sample Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3–13 Rotation of the Sample . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3–13 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3–15 Chapter 4. Preparation of the Sample Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4–1 Listing Activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4–3 Third Stage of the Sample Design (Subsampling) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4–5 Interviewer Assignments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4–5 Chapter 5. Questionnaire Concepts and Definitions for the Current Population Survey Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5–1 Structure of the Survey Instrument . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5–1 Concepts and Definitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5–1 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5–6 Chapter 6. Design of the Current Population Survey Instrument Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6–1 Motivation for Redesigning the Questionnaire Collecting Labor Force Data . 6–1 Objectives of the Redesign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6–1 Highlights of the Questionnaire Revision . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6–3 Continuous Testing and Improvements of the Current Population Survey and its Supplements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6–8 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6–8 Chapter 7. Conducting the Interviews Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7–1 Noninterviews and Household Eligibility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7–1 Initial Interview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7–3 Subsequent Months’ Interviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7–4 Chapter 8. Transmitting the Interview Results Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8–1 Transmission of Interview Data. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8–1 Contents v
CONTENTS Chapter 9. Data Preparation Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9–1 Daily Processing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9–1 Industry and Occupation (I&O) Coding . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9–1 Edits and Imputations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9–1 Chapter 10. Weighting and Seasonal Adjustment for Labor Force Data Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10–1 Unbiased Estimation Procedure. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10–1 Adjustment for Nonresponse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10–2 Ratio Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10–3 First-Stage Ratio Adjustment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10–3 National Coverage Adjustment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10−4 State Coverage Adjustment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10−6 Second-Stage Ratio Adjustment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10−7 Composite Estimator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10–10 Producing Other Labor Force Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10–13 Seasonal Adjustment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10–15 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10–16 Chapter 11. Current Population Survey Supplemental Inquiries Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11–1 Criteria for Supplemental Inquiries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11–1 Recent Supplemental Inquiries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11–2 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11–10 Chapter 12. Data Products From the Current Population Survey Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12–1 Bureau of Labor Statistics Products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12–1 Census Bureau Products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12–1 Chapter 13. Overview of Data Quality Concepts Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13–1 Quality Measures in Statistical Science . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13–1 Quality Measures in Statistical Process Monitoring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13–2 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13–3 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13–3 Chapter 14. Estimation of Variance Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14–1 Variance Estimates by the Replication Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14–1 Method for Estimating Variance for 1990 and 2000 Designs . . . . . . . . . 14–2 Variances for State and Local Area Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14–3 Generalizing Variances . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14–3 Variance Estimates to Determine Optimum Survey Design . . . . . . . . . . 14–5 Total Variances as Affected by Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14–6 Design Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14–7 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14–9 Chapter 15. Sources and Controls on Nonsampling Error Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15–1 Sources of Coverage Error . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15–1 Controlling Coverage Error . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15–2 Sources of Nonresponse Error . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15–4 Controlling Nonresponse Error . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15–5 Sources of Response Error . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15–5 Controlling Response Error . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15–6 Sources of Miscellaneous Errors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15–8 vi Contents Current Population Survey TP66 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Census Bureau
Page 1 and 2: Design and Methodology Current Popu
Page 3 and 4: U.S. Department of Labor Elaine L.
Page 5: Foreword The Current Population Sur
Page 9 and 10: CONTENTS Figures 3-1 CPS Rotation C
Page 11 and 12: Chapter 1. Background The Current P
Page 13 and 14: Chapter 2. History of the Current P
Page 15 and 16: in small circles with an ordinary l
Page 17 and 18: was added as a control to the Hispa
Page 19 and 20: More detailed information on these
Page 21 and 22: social and economic characteristics
Page 23 and 24: d. Stratification is performed inde
Page 25 and 26: Calculation of overall state sampli
Page 27 and 28: use of census information to reduce
Page 29 and 30: Summary of Sampling Frames Table 3-
Page 31 and 32: Examples of Post-Sampling Code Assi
Page 33 and 34: 2. The sample for 1 month is compos
Page 35 and 36: Chapter 4. Preparation of the Sampl
Page 37 and 38: Even without geographic clustering,
Page 39 and 40: Permit listing. Listing in the perm
Page 41 and 42: Chapter 5. Questionnaire Concepts a
Page 43 and 44: Employed citizens of foreign countr
Page 45 and 46: ‘‘What are all of the things yo
Page 47 and 48: Chapter 6. Design of the Current Po
Page 49 and 50: Item Response Analysis The primary
Page 51 and 52: Industry and occupation—Dependent
Page 53 and 54: months. For people reported to be l
Page 55 and 56: Oksenberg, L., C. Cannell, and G. K
Page 57 and 58:
Figure 7−1. Introductory Letter 7
Page 59 and 60:
Figure 7-3. Noninterviews: Main Ite
Page 61 and 62:
Figure 7-5. Summary Table for Deter
Page 63 and 64:
eason, the CATI facilities generall
Page 65 and 66:
Figure 7-9. Interviewing Results (S
Page 67 and 68:
transmitted directly to the compute
Page 69 and 70:
Chapter 9. Data Preparation INTRODU
Page 71 and 72:
Demographic-related recodes are cre
Page 73 and 74:
sample unit (person or household) b
Page 75 and 76:
still be associated with the state-
Page 77 and 78:
Weights After National Coverage Adj
Page 79 and 80:
Table 10−4: Second-Stage Adjustme
Page 81 and 82:
Iteration 2: (Repeat steps above be
Page 83 and 84:
1. For each state 7 and the Distric
Page 85 and 86:
Production of monthly, quarterly, a
Page 87 and 88:
for national CPS labor force series
Page 89 and 90:
Chapter 11. Current Population Surv
Page 91 and 92:
Table 11-1. Current Population Surv
Page 93 and 94:
have completed their eighth and fin
Page 95 and 96:
Table 11−3. Summary of 2004 ASEC
Page 97 and 98:
Current Population Survey TP66 U.S.
Page 99 and 100:
Chapter 12. Data Products From the
Page 101 and 102:
Table 12-1. Bureau of Labor Statist
Page 103 and 104:
Chapter 13. Overview of Data Qualit
Page 105 and 106:
For example, we now recognize that
Page 107 and 108:
the other panel in the SR SECU or N
Page 109 and 110:
means that the estimates of varianc
Page 111 and 112:
Table 14-2. Components of Variance
Page 113 and 114:
Table 14-4. Effect of Compositing o
Page 115 and 116:
Wolter, K. (1984), ‘‘An Investi
Page 117 and 118:
• Master Address File (MAF): The
Page 119 and 120:
no RO review of group quarters list
Page 121 and 122:
5. The questionnaire does not elici
Page 123 and 124:
chance to answer; probing technique
Page 125 and 126:
Chapter 16. Quality Indicators of N
Page 127 and 128:
Figure 16−2. Average Yearly Type
Page 129 and 130:
Table 16-3. Labor Force Status by I
Page 131 and 132:
supposed to be done in person, the
Page 133 and 134:
Figure 16−4. Basic CPS Household
Page 135 and 136:
Appendix A Sample Preparation Mater
Page 137 and 138:
Illustration 1. Segment Folder, BC-
Page 139 and 140:
Illustration 3. Unit/Permit Listing
Page 141 and 142:
Illustration 5. Unit/Permit Listing
Page 143 and 144:
Illustration 7. Permit Sketch Map,
Page 145 and 146:
group numbers are chosen for deleti
Page 147 and 148:
demographic components often cited
Page 149 and 150:
2. The CPS control universe exclude
Page 151 and 152:
A concern exists relative to the co
Page 153 and 154:
The resulting race categories (Whit
Page 155 and 156:
treat race and Hispanic origin as a
Page 157 and 158:
REFERENCES Ahmed, B. and J. G. Robi
Page 159 and 160:
Figure D-1. Map D-2 Organization an
Page 161 and 162:
This report provides the supervisor
Page 163 and 164:
Appendix E. Reinterview: Design and
Page 165 and 166:
Acronyms ADS Annual Demographic Sup
Page 167 and 168:
Births—Con. total population C-4
Page 169 and 170:
Estimates, population—Con. popula
Page 171 and 172:
Listing checks 15-4 Listing Sheets
Page 173 and 174:
Ratio adjustments—Con. second-sta
Page 175:
Vacancy rates 11-2, 11-4 Variance e
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