Current Population Survey Design and Methodology - Census Bureau

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state representatives. These data, after appropriate review, are adopted in place of NCHS data for those states. The immigration total and the emigration of native-born residents are distributed on the basis of the various segments of the population enumerated in Census 2000. 3. The population updates include a component of change for net internal migration. This is obtained through the computation for each county of rates of net migration based on the number of exemptions under 65 years of age claimed on year-to-year matched pairs of IRS tax returns. Because the IRS codes tax returns by ZIP Code, the ZIP-CRS program (Sater, 1994) is used to identify county and state of residence on the matched returns. The matching of returns allows the identification for any pair of states or counties of the number of ‘‘stayers’’ who remain within the state or county of origin and the number of ‘‘movers’’ who change address between the two. This identification is based on the number of exemptions on the returns and the existence or nonexistence of a change of address. A detailed explanation of the use of IRS data and other facets of the subnational estimates can be found at . The population 65 years of age and over. For the population ages 65 and over, the approach is similar to that used for the population under age 65. The population ages 65 and over in Census 2000, is added to the population estimated to be turning age 65. This quantity, as discussed in the previous section, is subtracted from the base under-age-65 population. The Census Bureau subtracts deaths and adds net immigration, occurring for this same age group. Migration is estimated using data on Medicare enrollees, which are available by county of residence from the U.S. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. Because there is a direct incentive for eligible individuals to enroll in the Medicare program, the coverage rate for this source is high. To adapt this estimate to the Census 2000 level, the Medicare enrollment is adjusted to reflect the difference in coverage of the population 65 years of age and over. Exclusion of the Armed Forces population and inmates of civilian institutions. Once the resident population by the required age, sex, and race groups has been estimated for each state, the population must be restricted to the civilian noninstitutionalized universe. Armed Forces residing in each state are excluded, based on reports of location of duty assignment from the branches of the Armed Forces (including the homeport and projected deployment status of ships for the Navy). Some of the Armed Forces data (especially information on deployment of naval vessels) must be projected from the last available date to the later annual estimate dates. Current Population Survey TP66 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Census Bureau PROCEDURAL REVISIONS The process of producing estimates and projections, like most research activity, is in a constant state of flux. Various technical issues are addressed with each cycle of estimates for possible implementation in the population estimating procedures, which carry over to the CPS controls. These procedural revisions tend to be concentrated early in the decade, reflecting the introduction of data from a new decennial census, which can be associated with new policies regarding population universe or estimating methods. However, revisions may occur at any time, depending on new information obtained regarding the components of population change, or the availability of resources to complete methodological research. SUMMARY LIST OF SOURCES FOR CPS POPULATION CONTROLS The following is a summary list of agencies providing data used to calculate independent population controls for the CPS. Under each agency are listed the major data inputs obtained. 1. The U.S. Census Bureau (Department of Commerce): The Census 2000 population by age, sex, race, Hispanic origin, state of residence, and household or type of group quarters residence Sample data on distribution of the foreign-born population by sex, race, Hispanic origin, and country of birth The population of April 1, 1990, estimated by the Method of Demographic Analysis Decennial census data for Puerto Rico 2. National Center for Health Statistics (Department of Health and Human Services): Live births by age of mother, sex, race, and Hispanic origin Deaths by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin 3. The U.S. Department of Defense: Active-duty Armed Forces personnel by branch of service Personnel enrolled in various active-duty training programs Distribution of active-duty Armed Forces Personnel by age, sex, race, Hispanic origin, and duty location (by state and outside the United States) Deaths to active-duty Armed Forces personnel Dependents of Armed Forces personnel overseas Births occurring in overseas military hospitals Derivation of Independent Population Controls C–11
REFERENCES Ahmed, B. and J. G. Robinson, (1994), Estimates of Emigration of the Foreign-Born Population: 1980−1990, U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division Technical Working Paper No. 9, December, 1994, . Arias, Elizabeth, Robert Anderson, Hsiang-Ching Kung, Sherry Murphy, and Kenneth Kochaneck,‘‘Deaths: Final Data for 2001,’’ National Vital Statistics Reports, Volume 52, Number 3, Division of Vital Statistics, National Center for Health Statistics, . Christenson, M., ‘‘Evaluating Components of International Migration: Migration Between Puerto Rico and the United States,’’ Population Division Technical Working Paper No. 64, January 2002, . Deardoff, K.E. and L. Blumerman, ‘‘Evaluating Components of International Migration: Estimates of the Foreign- Born Population by Migrant Status in 2000,’’ Population Division Technical Working Paper No. 58, December, 2001, . Gibbs, J. G. Harper, M. Rubin, and H. Shin, ‘‘Evaluating Components of International Migration: Native-Born Emigrants,’’ Population Division Technical Working Paper No. 63, January, 2003, . Hamilton, Brady E., Joyce A. Martin, and Paul D. Sutton (2003), ‘‘Births: Preliminary Data for 2002,’’ National Vital Statistics Reports, Volume 51, Number 11, Division of Vital Statistics, National Center for Health Statistics, . Kochaneck, Kenneth; and Betty Smith (2004), ‘‘Deaths: Preliminary Data for 2002,’’ National Vital Statistics Reports, Volume 52, Number 13, Division of Vital Statistics, National Center for Health Statistics, . Martin, Joyce A., Brady E. Hamilton, Stephanie Ventura, Fay Menacker, Melissa M. Park, and Paul D. Sutton (2002), ‘‘Births: Final Data for 2001,’’ National Vital Statistics Reports, Volume 51, Number 2, Division of Vital Statistics, National Center for Health Statistics, . Mulder, T., Frederick Hollmann, Lisa Lollock, Rachel Cassidy, Joseph Costanzo, and Josephine Baker, ‘‘U.S. Census Bureau Measurement of Net International Migration to the United States: 1990 to 2000,’’ Population Division Technical Working Paper No. 51, February, 2002, . Robinson, J. G. (1994), ‘‘Clarification and Documentation of Estimates of Emigration and Undocumented Immigration,’’ unpublished U.S. Census Bureau memorandum. Sater, D. K. (1994), Geographic Coding of Administrative Records— Current Research in the ZIP/SECTORto-County Coding Process, U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division Technical Working Paper No. 7, June, 1994, . Smith, Amy Symens, and Nicholas A. Jones (2003), Dealing With the Changing U.S. Racial Definitions: Producing Population Estimates Using Data With Limited Race Detail. Paper presented at the 2003 meetings of the Population Association of America, Minneapolis, Minnesota, May, 2003. U.S. Census Bureau (1991), Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin Information From the 1990 Census: A Comparison of Census Results With Results Where Age and Race Have Been Modified, 1990 Census of Population and Housing, Publication CPH-L-74. U.S. Immigration and Naturalization Service (1997), Statistical Yearbook of the Immigration and Naturalization Service, 1996, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office. C–12 Derivation of Independent Population Controls Current Population Survey TP66 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Census Bureau
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Design and Methodology Current Popu
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U.S. Department of Labor Elaine L.
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Foreword The Current Population Sur
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CONTENTS Chapter 9. Data Preparatio
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CONTENTS Figures 3-1 CPS Rotation C
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Chapter 1. Background The Current P
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Chapter 2. History of the Current P
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in small circles with an ordinary l
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was added as a control to the Hispa
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More detailed information on these
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social and economic characteristics
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d. Stratification is performed inde
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Calculation of overall state sampli
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use of census information to reduce
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Summary of Sampling Frames Table 3-
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Examples of Post-Sampling Code Assi
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2. The sample for 1 month is compos
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Chapter 4. Preparation of the Sampl
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Even without geographic clustering,
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Permit listing. Listing in the perm
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Chapter 5. Questionnaire Concepts a
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Employed citizens of foreign countr
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‘‘What are all of the things yo
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Chapter 6. Design of the Current Po
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Item Response Analysis The primary
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Industry and occupation—Dependent
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months. For people reported to be l
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Oksenberg, L., C. Cannell, and G. K
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Figure 7−1. Introductory Letter 7
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Figure 7-3. Noninterviews: Main Ite
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Figure 7-5. Summary Table for Deter
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eason, the CATI facilities generall
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Figure 7-9. Interviewing Results (S
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transmitted directly to the compute
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Chapter 9. Data Preparation INTRODU
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Demographic-related recodes are cre
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sample unit (person or household) b
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still be associated with the state-
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Weights After National Coverage Adj
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Table 10−4: Second-Stage Adjustme
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Iteration 2: (Repeat steps above be
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1. For each state 7 and the Distric
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Production of monthly, quarterly, a
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for national CPS labor force series
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Chapter 11. Current Population Surv
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Table 11-1. Current Population Surv
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have completed their eighth and fin
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Table 11−3. Summary of 2004 ASEC
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Current Population Survey TP66 U.S.
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Chapter 12. Data Products From the
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Table 12-1. Bureau of Labor Statist
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Chapter 13. Overview of Data Qualit
Page 105 and 106: For example, we now recognize that
Page 107 and 108: the other panel in the SR SECU or N
Page 109 and 110: means that the estimates of varianc
Page 111 and 112: Table 14-2. Components of Variance
Page 113 and 114: Table 14-4. Effect of Compositing o
Page 115 and 116: Wolter, K. (1984), ‘‘An Investi
Page 117 and 118: • Master Address File (MAF): The
Page 119 and 120: no RO review of group quarters list
Page 121 and 122: 5. The questionnaire does not elici
Page 123 and 124: chance to answer; probing technique
Page 125 and 126: Chapter 16. Quality Indicators of N
Page 127 and 128: Figure 16−2. Average Yearly Type
Page 129 and 130: Table 16-3. Labor Force Status by I
Page 131 and 132: supposed to be done in person, the
Page 133 and 134: Figure 16−4. Basic CPS Household
Page 135 and 136: Appendix A Sample Preparation Mater
Page 137 and 138: Illustration 1. Segment Folder, BC-
Page 139 and 140: Illustration 3. Unit/Permit Listing
Page 141 and 142: Illustration 5. Unit/Permit Listing
Page 143 and 144: Illustration 7. Permit Sketch Map,
Page 145 and 146: group numbers are chosen for deleti
Page 147 and 148: demographic components often cited
Page 149 and 150: 2. The CPS control universe exclude
Page 151 and 152: A concern exists relative to the co
Page 153 and 154: The resulting race categories (Whit
Page 155: treat race and Hispanic origin as a
Page 159 and 160: Figure D-1. Map D-2 Organization an
Page 161 and 162: This report provides the supervisor
Page 163 and 164: Appendix E. Reinterview: Design and
Page 165 and 166: Acronyms ADS Annual Demographic Sup
Page 167 and 168: Births—Con. total population C-4
Page 169 and 170: Estimates, population—Con. popula
Page 171 and 172: Listing checks 15-4 Listing Sheets
Page 173 and 174: Ratio adjustments—Con. second-sta
Page 175: Vacancy rates 11-2, 11-4 Variance e
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